船用核动力装置可靠性与安全性分析的关系探讨

以船用核动力装置为对象,探讨其可靠性与安全性分析的发展及现状,对二者关系进行分析,从概念、方法和工程背景角度提出作者的观点.     

Dynamic institutionalization: the foundations of Japan’s radioactive problem

Many have suggested that the true purpose behind Japan’s development of a closed nuclear-fuel cycle is to maintain the technical potential to develop nuclear weapons. However, closer examination of the development of Japan’s nuclear industry shows that, although Japan possesses advanced nuclear technologies, there has been no deliberate strategy to create a nuclear-weapon option. There is no “nuclear hedge.” To illustrate this point, this article presents a framework called “dynamic institutionalization” to explain the origins of Japan’s nuclear policies and the different sets of institutionalized pressures and constraints that have perpetuated these policies over time. Japan’s continued development of closed fuel-cycle technologies is primarily driven by domestic politics and the lack of a permanent spent-fuel management solution. On the other hand, Japan’s institutionalized nuclear forbearance is driven by the calculation that, as long as US extended deterrence remains credible, Japan’s security is best guaranteed through reliance on the US nuclear umbrella. By analytically untangling the policy of closed fuel-cycle development from the rationale for nuclear forbearance, this article provides a more nuanced view of the relationships between the domestic and international variables shaping Japan’s nuclear policies.     

新一轮科技革命孕育发展的动向及思考

当今世界正处于新科技革命的前夜,变革突破的能量正在不断积累。本文分析新一轮科技革命孕育发展的基本动因,梳理主要军事强国把握科技革命机遇推动科技创新的主要做法,提出新时期加强我国国防科技创新发展的几点思考。     

关于颠覆性技术发展的理性认知

随着美国揭开第三次"抵消战略"重点发展对象的面纱,研发"颠覆性技术"已成为主要军事大国获得技术优势的手段。当前世界新一轮科技革命、产业革命、军事革命交织并行,给颠覆性技术提供了难得的良好机遇。但当我们看见颠覆性技术引领时代新型武器装备潮流发展的同时,也应理性看待其背后潜藏的风险。通过概述总结颠覆性技术研究现状,分析其推动的科技内生性变革,从本质上对其进行理性认知。研究表明,发展颠覆性技术必须积极作为,谨慎对待。     

有温度反馈时中子动力学方程的新解法

当引入大阶跃反应性时 ,应用去耦合法求解中子动力学方程 ,导出了堆功率新的响应表达式 .与老的表达式相比 ,该表达式的应用范围更广 ,适用于初始功率为任意值     

论马克思主义哲学在当代中国的发展——从“革命的哲学”到“建设的哲学”

实现从"革命的哲学"到"建设的哲学"的转变,是马克思主义哲学在当代中国发展的显著标志和巨大成果,是中国共产党人对"马克思主义过时论"做出的最有说服力的应答.正确把握马克思主义哲学的精神实质和宗旨,是实现这一转变的逻辑前提;准确揭示、大力弘扬马克思主义哲学的理论精髓,是实现这一转变的关键;明确"和平与发展"的时代主题,不断深化对"三个规律"的认识,是实现这一转变的显著标志.     

弹道导弹防御中多目标拦截的策略

多目标拦截是弹道导弹防御的重大难题,也是目前美国导弹防御系统所遇到的最大的技术难点。在将多目标问题分为单弹头攻击和多弹头攻击2类问题的基础上,结合美国的相关研究计划,分别针对核爆炸防御、助推段防御、先进的目标识别器和多拦截器防御等多目标拦截策略进行了分析研究。     

A historical overview of US counter-insurgency

Say not the struggle naught availeth,

The labour and the wounds are vain,

The enemy faints not, nor faileth,

And as things have been, things remain.

Arthur Hugh Clough     

Counterinsurgency American style: Considering David Petraeus and twenty-first century irregular war

This article examines the complex legacy of David Petraeus who was a key figure in the emergence of the US military shift towards counterinsurgency doctrine in the years after 2006. Although Petraeus has been perceived by critics as a publicity seeker, he can be credited with laying the foundations for a more serious commitment to COIN involving in particular in integrating conventional and Special Forces in arenas like village stability operations. The article looks a Petraeus's role in both Iraq and Afghanistan: it concludes that, in the case of Afghanistan, it is too early to assess whether counterinsurgency has had a decisive impact of the outcome of the war against the Taliban.