CONTRIBUTORS

ABSTRACT

Narratives about Brazil's nuclear program are distorted by supporters and critics alike. In Brazil, the national nuclear infrastructure is undergoing a period of expansion, with plans to build new nuclear power plants and industrial-scale fuel production facilities. While Brazil's leaders herald the nuclear sector as a triumph for indigenous science and technology, foreigners view the nuclear program as a dangerous legacy of the military regime. This discrepancy becomes even more apparent in discussions about the ongoing construction of Brazil's first nuclear powered submarine. Brazil's military touts the submarine as a symbol of political status, economic growth, and military might. But from abroad, the military's involvement in nuclear development is considered unnecessary, worrisome, and even irresponsible. These narratives—often incomplete or selective—have polarized discussions about Brazil's nuclear submarine program and caused considerable political antagonism during safeguards negotiations. This article works to dispel myths, highlight legitimate concerns, and explain historical perspectives that shed light on some difficulties that can be anticipated in future negotiations.     

基于观测值和真值计算的概率差异分析

作战效能与攻击决策通常都用概率描述一些不确定问题,然而概率有主观与客观之分,为了说明其不同,以一个假想的直进射击问题为例,只考虑目标运动速率误差,对已知真值或观测值所面对的不确定问题的实质进行了讨论。结论表明,当涉及射击成功概率这些问题时,对其实质与作用有必要给出清楚的说明。只知观测值所计算的概率是主观的,可用于决策信念的支持,基于主观概率进行决策,其精确性十分依赖于所使用的关于观测量真值先验知识的精确性。     

在Vs．net集成环境下创建带卸载的安装程序

创建安装程序是一件很简单的事,Vs.net提供了创建安装程序的向导,开发人员能够轻松地创建一个便于用户使用的安装程序。而按向导创建的安装程序没有为用户提供相应的卸载程序或快捷方式,为用户带来许多不便。以示例的形式详细介绍如何在Vs.net集成环境下创建带卸载的安装程序。     

基于POPS和PSR的美军里程碑节点审查方法

里程碑节点审查是美军装备采办过程中的核心控制手段。选取美军在该领域应用的最具代表性的项目成功可能性评审方法(Probability of Program Success,POPS)和项目支持评审方法(Program Support Review,PSR),围绕任务目标归纳出方法的主要思路,从程序步骤、评审内容框架等方面深入探究方法的特点,并从应用条件、使用范围、优点和局限性等方面进行对比分析,最后提出启示建议,为优化我军节点审查方法、提升装备采购过程管控能力提供借鉴和参考。     

D运输问题在物资调度中的应用

D运输问题是含离散目标约束的目标规划问题.首先将此多目标问题转化为单一目标问题,使之简化为传统的运输问题,然后使用一种相对简单的方法求解.最后结合一个实例,讨论了D运输问题在物资调度中的应用.     

战场物资快速运输的指挥控制

针对战场快速物资运输的指挥控制问题,提出一种基于线性规划的方法。根据供求双方物质的供应和需求总量、地理空间上的位置以及运输工具的运载能力等信息,制订一个满足供求双方物资总运载量,并以运送所有物资耗费时间为最小的优化目标,改进了传统运输问题模型。仿真分析表明,该方法为实现战场物资快速运输的指挥控制提供了有价值的参考。     

新型舰炮武器情报指挥系统模拟试验方法

在简要介绍模拟试验系统及搜索雷达模拟器功能和工作原理的基础上,针对某型近程反导舰炮武器情报指挥系统,提出了包括模拟试验流程、仿真数学模型及评估方法的一套模拟试验方法,弥补了单一外场试验考核不充分的不足,达到了全面科学评价被试系统的目的。该模拟方法是外场试验的补充和完善,开拓了靶场试验的新思路。     

From elite consumption to popular opinion: framing of the US drone program in Pakistani newspapers

The United States has conducted armed drone strikes in Pakistan since 2004. While there has been some recent work on Pakistani public opinion about drones, there is very little research on how Pakistan’s media characterize the US drone program. This is an important gap in understanding the determinants of Pakistani popular perceptions of this program. Decades of research has shown that “news framing”, a process by which certain aspects of a complex concept are emphasized in political communications with others played down, influences individual cognition while forming political opinions. In this essay, we address this lacuna by assembling an unprecedented sample of editorials about the drone program from three English newspapers and one Urdu newspaper and analyzing the news frames within them. We next compare the trends in these news frames to public opinion data collected by Pew between the spring of 2009 and 2014. Initially, most Pakistanis were unaware of the drone program, media coverage of the program expanded as drone strikes increased in frequency. While Pakistanis became more cognizant of the US drone strikes, even by 2014 large minorities remained unaware. Pakistani public opinion strongly reflected the top media frames, particularly those that are negative. This is an important finding suggesting that newspaper editorials are a good barometer of Pakistani opinions despite the fact that only information elites rely upon newspapers for political information.     

C~3I系统中软件的程序设计方法问题

软件的可靠性是Ｃ￣３Ｉ系统成败的关键之一,用规范和程序分离的办法设计软件,其可靠性无法得到保证。该文阐述了应研究形式化程序设计方法的意见,以及目前在这一领域尚存在的困难和解决的途径。