油库储油区燃烧爆炸事故树分析

针对油库储油区安全管理点多面广的特点,分析储油区燃烧爆炸事故的相关影响因素和条件,建立完善的事故树模型。通过定性分析理清燃烧爆炸事故与基本事件之间的逻辑关系,定量分析获得各项基本事件的结构重要度排序,找出储油区存在燃烧爆炸隐患的重点部位,制订科学合理的安全信息监控点设置策略,为油库安全管理手段向信息化迈进提供决策依据。     

用电化学方法评价油膜防锈性能

用电位—时间、多重动电位扫描两种电化学方法对防锈油的防护性能进行了分析和评价 ,并与盐水浸渍试验进行了对照。结果表明 :两种电化学方法不仅与盐水浸渍试验具有良好的相关性 ,而且能够反映油膜下金属腐蚀的细微特征 ,是研究和评价防锈油较好的方法     

重油催化裂化联合装置安全评价

利用DOS方法对重油催化裂化生产装置进行了安全评价.结果表明,在反应再生、分馏及稳定吸收三个重点工艺操作单元中,反应再生系统和分馏系统的实际最大可能财产损失与生产单元财产价值的比值超过了10%的相对危险值界限,稳定吸收系统在10%的相对危险值的范围内.说明反应再生系统和分馏系统有必要采取一些安全防范措施,进一步降低生产的风险程度.     

并行工程关键使能技术及其发展趋势

介绍了并行工程(ConcurrentEngineering,简称CE)的定义、基本原则、组成、驱动力和要素等,概要介绍了CE的部分关键使能技术。基于CE的理论研究与应用实践,给出实施CE的基本模式并进一步设想了CE的发展趋势。     

后方油库整体生存概率分析计算

针对我军后方油库特点,探讨了油库整体生存概率计算的基本思路和方法,分析了各类分项目标生存概率的计算方法,采用层次分析对后方油库各分项目标权值进行了详细分析计算,可为后方油库伪装防护效能评估提供依据。     

Estimating the point availability with right‐censored data

The point availability of a one‐unit system at a specified time is defined as the probability that the component is operating at that time. When both operating time and repair time are subject to random (right) censorship, we propose an asymptotic nonparametric approach for constructing confidence intervals for the point availability of the system. The technique is based on the fact that a product limit estimator converges to a Gaussian process. The method is also extended to finding confidence intervals for the point availability of a complex system using the δ‐Method. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 119–127, 1999     

PTFE润滑剂的研制

介绍了PTFE润滑剂的研制过程、配方、制备工艺和应用效果。结果表明以PAO合成油和矿物油的混合油为基础油,以PTFE超细粉为润滑组分,通过加入多种添加剂研制的PTFE润滑剂具有胶体稳定性、分散性、润滑性和防护性。     

高含水油藏建库储气机理的实验研究

地下储气库是规避天然气消费不均、管道输送风险,保证我国天然气工业的安全、高效、持续发展的有效途径。高含水油藏建造储气库已成为我国建造储气库中十分重要的发展方向,对中东部地区显得更加迫切。建库储气机理研究是建库可行性评价和建库设计的关键基础研究,文中应用物理实验方法模拟高含水油藏建库渗流条件,进行建库储气能力影响机理研究,对探索高含水油藏建造储气库具有指导意义。     

液相色谱-质谱法测定2-氯乙烯胂酸

研究了用液相色谱-质谱两种电离技术测定路易氏剂1的降解产物2-氯乙烯胂酸,比较了在不同流动相中该化合物的响应情况,并且利用源内CID技术获得了丰富质谱碎片,对所鉴定的碎片进行了解释,用选择离子检测得到该化合物的检测限在APCI电离技术中为9ng,在ESI电离技术中为4ng．     

A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.