Jihad Against Palestinians? The Herostratos Syndrome and the Paradox of Targeting European Jews

Abstract

This paper addresses the waves of mass killings recently perpetrated by individuals with a weak or nonexistent ideological motivation, whose acts either appear to contradict their purported political cause or are admittedly driven by a quest for notoriety. Examples range from killers who have been waging jihad against European Jews to unattached mass killers such as the Germanwings pilot to the perpetrators of mass school shootings in America and worldwide. We argue that these phenomena can be understood as instances of the Herostratos syndrome, which has been known for thousands of years as characterizing the behavior of people who seek to survive in the collective memory by excelling in their infamous acts. We provide a model of hybrid killers which accommodates the Herostratic motive alongside a political motive and characterize a well-behaved Nash equilibrium where Herostratic killers are competing with one another with a view to make a name for themselves in infamy. The policy implications point towards reducing the publicity the killers enjoy, thus frustrating their quest for notoriety.     

层次分析法的水下航行器维修性指标分配方法

基于层次分析法的水下航行器维修性指标分配方法把层次分析法应用到水下航行器维修性指标分配方法中,即邀请专家对故障的检测和隔离方式、可达性、可更换性和测试的困难等级进行两两比较,得到评价矩阵,据此,可以得到分配结果.这种方法克服了按故障率和设计特性分配法在设计特性相差不大时存在的缺陷,把定性分析与定量分析相结合.在设计初期即明确设计目标,除了考虑到单元的故障率还兼顾了初期设计过程中的不确定性.将这种方法应用于某水下航行器的维修性分配,结果表明,该方法具有实用价值.     

基于进化算法的雷达对抗侦察无人机航路规划

雷达对抗侦察无人机在执行任务前要根据战场环境预先规划好最优路径。全面考虑战场环境威胁约束、机动性能约束和侦察任务约束,综合轮盘法、最优保存策略和6种进化算子形成进化算法,并对航路规划问题进行求解。仿真结果表明,利用约束量化方法和进化算法对雷达对抗侦察无人机进行航路规划是可行的。     

基于支持向量机和遗传算法的末敏弹系统效能参数优化设计

末敏弹是一种先进的新型弹药,由于其结构复杂,影响因素多,所以对其进行全面的系统优化设计比较困难。文中探讨了基于支持向量机的末敏弹命中概率预报模型的建模方法,并采用遗传算法对系统效能参数进行了优化,获得了影响系统效能的几个主要因素的合理搭配,为末敏弹的系统效能研究提供了依据。     

基于排队论的装备维修人员数量需求模型*

确定维修人员需求是对装备维修机构进行科学管理和对维修人员进行有计划培训的需要。在分析装备维修人员构成的随机服务系统特征的基础上,运用排队论理论建立了以平均等待时间为目标的维修人员需求的愿望模型,该模型可更加确切地描述各专业对维修人员的实际需求。通过对模型进行仿真,结果表明了模型的合理性。     

消防行政诉讼若干问题思考

对目前消防行政诉讼的主要特征进行了综述,通过具体案例对消防行政诉讼中存在的热点问题及消防行政执法中存在的相关问题进行了分析,提出了加强消防机构应诉能力的几点建议。     

建筑防火课程实施素质教育的实践与探索

《建筑防火》课程实施素质教育应从强化师资队伍、优化教学内容、改革教学方法、强化实践环节、开拓科技创新等几个方面进行总结。立足素质教育,优化课堂教学是一项长期而艰巨的任务,它需要不断地实践、探索、总结和提高。工科课程素质教育应该培养学生分析问题和解决实际问题的能力及创新能力,满足部队的第一任职需要。     

某新型大口径机枪浮动技术研究

为研究大口径机枪的浮动技术,在深入分析的基础上针对某新型大口径机枪,设计方便可行且结构合理的弹簧式浮动机构.通过设置独特的复进打断装置,实现了浮动过程中稳定的前冲击发.建立机枪枪身的虚拟样机模型,通过与试验结果进行对比,验证了其可信性.利用所建立的虚拟样机模型对浮动与不浮动状态下的浮动自动机进行运动分析,并对2种状态下的后坐力进行对比.结果表明,该机枪浮动自动机能实现稳定的浮动,并且减后坐力效果明显.     

Strategic “defensivism” and post-reset blues: US–Russian nuclear arms reductions,missile defenses and minimum deterrence

US nuclear deterrence and arms control policy may be moving, by design and by inadvertence, toward a posture of strategic “defensivism”. Strategic “defensivism” emphasizes the overlapping and reinforcing impact of: (1) reductions in US, Russian and possibly other strategic nuclear forces, possibly down to the level of “minimum deterrence,” (2) deployment of improved strategic and/or theater antimissile defenses for the US, NATO allies and other partners; and (3) additional reliance on conventional military forces for some missions hitherto preferentially assigned to nuclear weapons. This article deals with the first two of these aspects only: the interaction between missile defenses and offensive force reductions in US–Russian strategy and policy. The findings are that stable deterrence as between the USA and Russia is possible at lower than New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty levels, but reductions below 1000 deployed long-range weapons for each state, toward a true minimum deterrent posture, will require multilateral as opposed to bilateral coordination of arms limitations. Missile defenses might provide some denial capability against light attacks by states with small arsenals, but they still fall short of meaningful damage limitation as between powers capable of massive nuclear strikes.     

基于AD与IRMA的装备体系设计方法

论文综合集成AD方法与IRMA方法,构建了一种从装备体系的任务需求出发确定初始装备体系组成方案的方法。基于该方法得到的装备体系组成方案便于扩展、改进和升级。