【专题】“无人系统自主性与智能化”专题编者按

地空协同无人系统作为新质跨域智能作战力量已成为世界强国开展军事技术竞争的前沿方向。本文首先总结了地空协同无人系统的概念、功能及发展目标,分析了世界主要国家制定的专项规划,从形成智能作战体系、改变战场攻防平衡及全面提高作战效能三个方面阐述了地空协同无人系统对未来战争的重大意义;其次,针对其面临的环境复杂、资源受限和平台异构等约束条件,从分布式态势认知、适应性智能导航及异构系统协同控制等方面总结了地空协同无人系统需要突破的关键技术;最后,为应对智能化战争挑战,从技术瓶颈、平台建设及政策支持等方面提出发展建议。该研究可为地空协同无人系统在国防科技领域的研究、应用和发展提供参考。     

【邀请论文】基于区块链环境的军队审计作业平台建设构想

在信息技术高速发展、社会经济水平不断进步的背景下,被审计单位经济活动日益复杂,军队审计要想全面履行监督职责,必须不断丰富手段方式,创新技术方法。区块链技术去中心化的特点有利于提高数据存储的完整性、可靠性,可追溯特点有利于验证信息的真实性,公开透明、不可篡改的特点正与审计对证据安全性的要求不谋而合,利用区块链智能合约可编程的特点还可以根据不同审计场景设计出智能、灵活、实时、全程的审计范式。为探究区块链技术与军队审计作业平台的结合应用,本文结合区块链技术特点和军队审计实际,在分析构建区块链环境下军队审计作业平台必要性和可行性的基础上,提出基于区块链环境的军队审计作业平台建设构想及保障措施,以助力军队审计信息化发展,加速军队审计现代化进程。     

美国太空安全领域最新发展分析

美国认为太空已被普遍认定为最重要的作战域之一,未来的太空安全态势将愈发严峻。本文认为, 美国正面向未来太空对抗环境进行全面转型, 从顶层战略、作战理论、组织结构、战备训练、装备技术等方面开展研究、调整和长远布局, 如以我为主要对手谋划布局、发布系列军事航天顶层指导文件、大幅增加太空攻防作战相关经费投入等。 目前, 美军正处于新旧体系转换、 下一代能力构建发展的关键期, 不仅正在变革军队组织体制、重组太空攻防作战力量, 还积极开展系列演习演训, 以加速形成太空攻防实战能力。美军这一系列动向将对未来太空领域安全与发展产生重大影响, 应引起我高度重视。     

大深度复合同振式矢量水听器设计

针对目前深海无人移动平台缺乏与其工作深度相匹配的复合同振式矢量水听器的问题,采用薄壁铝合金球壳作为矢量通道,压电陶瓷圆环作为声压通道,设计制作了一型大深度复合同振式矢量水听器,并用理论计算、有限元仿真和实验测试的方法对其声学性能和耐压性能进行了验证。该水听器的外径为85 mm,质量为398 g,平均密度为1 240 kg/m~3,工作频段为20～3 000 Hz,矢量通道呈余弦指向性,灵敏度为-187 dB@500 Hz,声压通道无指向性,灵敏度为-191 dB@500 Hz,耐压深度为2 000 m。海上试验表明,该水听器能够搭载在水下滑翔机等深海无人平台上执行声学探测任务,在大深度声学探测领域具有重大的应用价值。     

Cyber-weapons in nuclear counter-proliferation

ABSTRACT

Under what conditions are cyber-weapons effective in nuclear counter-proliferation? With continued interest in nuclear proliferation professed by Iran, North Korea, and Saudi Arabia, a discussion of the effectiveness of counter-proliferation measures remains relevant. Cyber-attacks as military option in a state-on-state conflict still requires additional corroborating evidence to make conclusions about its long-term effectiveness. This work analyses the general applicability of cyber-weapons and their usefulness in nuclear counter-proliferation. Through a comparative case study of Operation Orchard, Stuxnet, and recent “Left-of-Launch” operations against North Korea, the essay finds that cyber-operations are not particularly effective against nuclear programmes that are in the later stages of their development. They can disrupt and delay a nuclear programme temporarily, if the attack remains clandestine, but cannot halt nuclear proliferation all together. However, effectiveness increases if they are used in combination with conventional weapons. The article addresses a topic of interest to national-level decision-makers: whether cyber-operations can and should play a role in nuclear counter-proliferation.     

Traffic channeling under uncertain conversion rates on e-commerce platforms

Traffic is the lifeblood of every e-commerce platform. The question of how to channel traffic to merchants operating on a platform lies at the heart of platform management. We consider a platform on which two independent merchants sell their products. Merchants compete on inventory in the sense that some of the unmet demand at one merchant will spill over to the other. The platform channels traffic based on products' conversion rates to maximize the total sale on the platform. We show that traffic channeling plays three roles. First, it allows more efficient allocation of traffic; that is, the merchant with a high conversion rate is given a higher priority in receiving traffic. Second, it allows the platform to control demand spillover between the merchants to maximize total sales. The platform either facilitates or prevents demand spillover, depending on product substitutability. Third, traffic channeling intensifies competition between the merchants and hence increases the total inventory. More efficient allocation of traffic and the increase in inventory increase sales inequality between the merchants. In contrast, demand spillover decreases sales inequality. While the platform always benefits from traffic channeling, the merchants do not benefit when their products are moderately substitutable. Interestingly, when the two products are owned and sold by the same merchant, the opposite happens–traffic channeling always benefits the merchant but may hurt the platform. Our study provides a basis for informed discussions on how platforms should channel traffic in response to conversion rates, and how traffic channeling affects the welfare of merchants and platforms.