机载多目标攻击武器系统作战飞行程序设计

机载多目标攻击武器系统是当今航空武器系统研究的重点和发展的标志 ,其作战飞行程序设计是系统顶层设计的主要内容之一。综合了已有的研究成果 ,绘制了机载多目标攻击武器系统的功能逻辑流程图。在此基础上 ,采用模块化设计思想 ,进行了机载多目标攻击武器系统的作战飞行程序的组织结构设计 ,并阐述了基于表驱动和时间刻度管理的系统任务调度技术。     

Bayesian testing strategies for software with an operational profile

We consider a software reliability model where the failure rate of each fault depends on the specific operation performed. The software is tested in a given sequence of test cases for fixed durations of time to collect data on failure times. We present a Bayesian analysis of software failure data by treating the initial number of faults as a random variable. Our analysis relies on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and is used for developing optimal testing strategies in an adaptive manner. Two different models involving individual and common faults are analyzed. We illustrate an implementation of our approach by using some simulated failure data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:747–763, 2001     

确定导弹武器系统保障性指标的思考

描述了导弹武器系统保障性参数及其指标的涵义,探讨了确定纳入导弹武器系统研制任务书中的保障性指标应注意的几个问题.     

地空导弹武器系统作战效能的模糊综合评价

为科学评估地空导弹武器系统的作战效能,对地空导弹武器系统进行了全面分析,建立了地空导弹武器系统作战效能综合评价的指标体系.并利用模糊数学方法,确立了该系统的综合评价模型,从而为地空导弹武器系统的总体作战效能的综合评价提供了一种方法,具有一定的参考价值.     

不同类型防空武器多层防御部署分析

在现代防空中,经常由不同类型的防空武器多层部署联合进行防空,故需要对不同类型的防空武器多层防御部署进行分析.针对不同类型防空武器多层防御部署的问题,以排队论为基础,建立了防御体系射击效能的数学模型.按照模型,通过对仿真的实验数据进行分析,推测出不同类型防空武器的部署规律.最后,通过理论推导,证明了部署规律的正确性.     

Testing of software with an operational profile

One of the important features of any software system is its operational profile. This is simply the set of all operations that a software is designed to perform and the occurence probabilities of these operations. We present a new model on optimal software testing such that testing is done sequentially using a set of test cases. There may be failures due to the operations in each of these cases. The model parameters, consisting of testing costs and failure rates, all depend on the cases used and the operations performed. Our aim is to find the optimal testing durations in all of the cases in order to minimize the total expected cost. This problem leads to interesting decision models involving nonlinear programming formulations that possess explicit analytical solutions under reasonable assumptions. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Naval Research Logistics 47: 620–634, 2000     

Testing or fault-finding for reliability growth: A missile destructive-test example

A new piece of equipment has been purchased in a lot of size m. Some of the items can be used in destructive testing before the item is put into use. Testing uncovers faults which can be removed from the remaining pieces of equipment in the lot. If t < m pieces of equipment are tested, then those that remain, m₁ = m − t, have reduced fault incidence and are more reliable than initially, but m₁ may be too small to be useful, or than is desirable. In this paper models are studied to address this question: given the lot size m, how to optimize by choice of t the effectiveness of the pieces of equipment remaining after the test. The models used are simplistic and illustrative; they can be straightforwardly improved. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 623–637, 1997     

海军军事数据在指挥控制中的作用及层次关联分析

信息化条件下的海上作战中,数据的重要性不断凸显,数据建设已成为信息化建设的核心内容之一,加强数据研究愈发重要,因此以海军军事数据为研究对象,论述海军军事数据在指挥控制中的作用、特点,重点以海军水面舰艇作战能力数据为研究对象,对海军军事数据之间的层次关联性进行了分析研究,建立了海军水面舰艇作战能力数据的层次关系模型,为海军军事数据的进一步深入研究打下基础。     

Fighter aircraft acquisition in Croatia: failure of policy delivery

The possibility for Croatia to obtain new fighter aircraft is not new, as this option has been publicly debated for at least a decade. A sudden decision to advance the acquisition of a limited number of fighter aircraft was made in 2017 with an international tendering process concluding in early 2018. Through open source material, this paper will look at this procurement process by examining the relationship between policy and strategic thinking on the one side, and policy delivery on the other, and evaluate why the tendering process failed in achieving envisaged results. The paper concludes that the problems facing the Croatian aircraft acquisition process stem from at least two interrelated factors: firstly, at the operational level, the failure of the procurement was the direct result of mismanaged tendering procedures linked to the wider public administration reform process; and secondly, at the strategic level, inherently complex civil-military relations and related cultural aspects which have not been adequately addressed over the past decades. The result was a failure to deliver on government policy, something which this paper argues will need to be addressed over the medium to long term.     

加强防空导弹部队和歼击航空兵部署建议的 论证方法

兵力需求是作战筹划的重要内容之一,防空兵力需求的估算是防空作战指挥员和指挥机关平时进行战场建设,战时实施兵力集结与调动的基本依据。本文提出了一种加强防空兵力部署建议的论证方法,在不使用复杂的冲突空域仿真模型的情况下,使军事指挥机关能够高效地确定冲突双方兵力对比关系以及期望的作战行动效能;拟定在任何一个部队责任区内,防空导弹部队和歼击航空兵部署战斗编成的论证建议,供部队指挥员决策参考。