对抗仿真中防空导弹微分对策模型研究

针对防空导弹与目标的空间对抗,建立了防空导弹微分对策空间对抗模型,并推算得到了最优策略,运用自适应神经网络评判方法对模型进行求解,通过给定条件下的仿真证明了该算法的有效性,显示了该模型可应用于防空导弹与目标的空间对抗问题。     

纯方位系统定位与跟踪的本载体最优轨线方程及其最优轨线

给出了纯方位系统在目标任意变速变向运动或不动情况下,目标定位与跟踪中的本载体确定性控制最优和次优轨线方程以及其最优轨线。这一结果是完全用解析方法得到的。     

On optimality of one‐bug‐look‐ahead policies for a software testing model

The optimality of the One‐Bug‐Look‐Ahead (OLA) software release policy proposed by Morali and Soyer ( 15 ) is re‐examined in this paper. A counterexample is constructed to show that OLA is not optimal in general. The optimal stopping approach is then called upon to prove that OLA possesses weaker sense of optimality under conditional monotonicity and the strong sense of optimality holds under a more restrictive sample‐wise monotonicity condition. The NTDS data are analyzed for illustration, and OLA is shown to be robust with respect to model parameters. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

电流变流体夹心梁的优化控制

电流变流体的流变性质和力学性质在电场里随电场强度的变化而实时地、可逆地发生变化, 这一特点使得它在自适应结构中的应用受到越来越多的重视。电流变流体夹心梁是在两弹性层间夹入一层电流变材料, 通过控制电流变材料屈服前的流变性质和力学性质来达到控制整个复合梁的动态响应。本文通过建立两端简支的电流变流体夹心梁的结构模型, 模拟分析了复合梁的动态响应及不同激励频率下的优化电场。     

一类折扣型投资模型的最优停止

本文对一类折扣型投资模型进行研究，给出了一个明确的停止规则。     

用非线性规划求解有限推力最优交会

利用非线性规划方法研究了航天器的有限推力最优交会问题。这种方法利用了近年来发展起来的直接优化技术,用分段多项式来表示整个轨道的状态和控制向量,将最优控制问题转化为非线性规划问题。在应用这种方法时,先将整个轨道分为若干推力段和无推力段,然后利用配置方法产生推力段的约束段,利用状态转移矩阵来产生无推力段的约束。最后,对共面轨道情况下的交会进行了数值仿真,验证了方法的有效性和鲁棒性。     

模糊多属性群决策与潜艇作战方案优选

分析了潜艇作战方案的优选实质是一个模糊多属性的群决策过程,建立了模糊多属性群决策的一般模型,介绍了一种以模糊理想解与模糊负理想解同时作为参照基准,以海明距离作为测度工具,以相对贴近度作为衡量标准的模糊折衷型多属性群决策方法,应用实例表明此方法可行有效。     

A model of supply-chain decisions for resource sharing with an application to ventilator allocation to combat COVID-19

We present a stochastic optimization model for allocating and sharing a critical resource in the case of a pandemic. The demand for different entities peaks at different times, and an initial inventory for a central agency are to be allocated. The entities (states) may share the critical resource with a different state under a risk-averse condition. The model is applied to study the allocation of ventilator inventory in the COVID-19 pandemic by FEMA to different U.S. states. Findings suggest that if less than 60% of the ventilator inventory is available for non-COVID-19 patients, FEMA's stockpile of 20 000 ventilators (as of March 23, 2020) would be nearly adequate to meet the projected needs in slightly above average demand scenarios. However, when more than 75% of the available ventilator inventory must be reserved for non-COVID-19 patients, various degrees of shortfall are expected. In a severe case, where the demand is concentrated in the top-most quartile of the forecast confidence interval and states are not willing to share their stockpile of ventilators, the total shortfall over the planning horizon (until May 31, 2020) is about 232 000 ventilator days, with a peak shortfall of 17 200 ventilators on April 19, 2020. Results are also reported for a worst-case where the demand is at the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval. An important finding of this study is that a central agency (FEMA) can act as a coordinator for sharing critical resources that are in short supply over time to add efficiency in the system. Moreover, through properly managing risk-aversion of different entities (states) additional efficiency can be gained. An additional implication is that ramping up production early in the planning cycle allows to reduce shortfall significantly. An optimal timing of this production ramp-up consideration can be based on a cost-benefit analysis.     

控制分配在平流层飞艇姿态控制中的应用

针对平流层飞艇一般采用多控制机构的特点,将广义逆控制分配方法应用到飞艇姿态控制系统中,并根据飞艇控制机构特性采用了加权伪逆控制分配算法。飞艇姿态控制仿真结果表明:设计的控制分配方法可以有效实现多控制机构的协调操纵,对姿态角控制效果良好,避免了单一操纵舵面过早进入饱和状态的情况;合理调整控制分配权值可减少能量损耗,增强实时性,便于工程实现。