Moving Beyond Population-Centric vs. Enemy-Centric Counterinsurgency

Historically, insurgency is one of the most prevalent forms of armed conflict and it is likely to remain common in the foreseeable future. Recent experiences with counterinsurgency in Iraq and Afghanistan offer many lessons for future counterinsurgents, but the discourse on the subject continues to be mired in a traditional dichotomy pitting population-centric approaches to counterinsurgency against enemy-centric approaches. Historical analysis suggests that this traditional dichotomy is not a sufficiently nuanced way to understand or plan for such operations. Instead, discussions of counterinsurgency should focus on two dimensions: actions (use of physical force vs. political or moral actions) and targets (active insurgents vs. insurgent support). This perspective divides the space of possible counterinsurgency efforts into four quadrants, suggesting that effective counterinsurgency campaigns find a balance of effort across the four quadrants that is well matched to the specific context.     

相控阵雷达LPI搜索方法研究

相控阵雷达可通过合理配置工作参数优化其性能。针对相控阵雷达在搜索目标时易受敌方电子侦察设备威胁的现实,研究了在保持搜索能力的同时,通过合理配置参数降低截获概率的问题。分析了影响相控阵雷达搜索状态LPI(Low Probability of Intercept)性能的主要因素,建立了截获概率模型与搜索能力模型,给出了3种参数调整策略。仿真试验验证了模型的有效性,并比较了3种策略的优劣。     

Implementing the Global Strategy where it matters most: the EU’s credibility deficit and the European neighbourhood

The EU Global Strategy (EUGS) is a broad and ambitious document in terms of its geographic scope and thematic priorities. However, the EU cannot devote equal attention to all aspects of the EUGS; so there is still scope for more clarity regarding the EU’s core strategic aims. This article argues that in addition to fostering internal cohesion, the EU’s strategic priority must involve stabilizing its own neighbourhood. This task has challenged the EU for decades because of an inherent credibility deficit regarding the EU’s own capabilities, yet the EUGS does not diagnose and remedy this problem as effectively as it could have. Therefore much more work will need to be done in terms of reforming EU institutions and developing common capabilities if the EU hopes to achieve its central internal and external security goals as outlined in the EUGS and related policy statements.     

Introduction: one-and-a-half cheers for the EU Global Strategy

EU High Representative Federica Mogherini presented her EU Global Strategy (EUGS) in June 2016. Encircled by security crises, it is difficult to think of something more important for Europe than collective action with the aim of weathering the storm. The EUGS, in this respect, seeks to define common ends and identify means. So what do we make of the EUGS? What does the EUGS tell us about the current role of the EU in global affairs? And how will the withdrawal of the UK from the EU affect foreign and security policy? As a way of introduction to the forum, this article notes that the EUGS focuses on the neighbourhood, puts the interests of European citizens first, identifies civilian means, and has created momentum on security policy. The key question, however, remains whether there is any interest in the EUGS beyond the foreign policy elites.     

高超声速飞行器发展战略研究

提出了发展高超声速武器的迫切性 ,分析了当前美、俄两种最新性能导弹PAC Ⅲ ,9M96E的气动布局及操纵控制形式 ,指出这是一种很有创意、能大幅度提高导弹作战性能的设计思想和技术途径。研究了我国在研、预研高超声速导弹对气动技术的需求。     

混合攻击机机群在空战中的最优控制策略

研究了混合攻击机机群在对由截击 -歼击机机群组成的敌国土防空系统进行突防过程中的最优控制方法 ,以攻击机的最小突防损失为战效指标 ,给出了其最优控制策略。     

一类对固定目标的集群搜寻对策问题及求解

利用集群搜索对策的理论与方法 ,建立了集群对固定目标的一类搜索对策模型 ,给出了集群的ε -最优搜寻策略 ,并考虑了其在搜索过程中的应用     

Selecting review periods for a coordinated multi‐item inventory model with staggered deliveries

Consider an N‐item, periodic review, infinite‐horizon, undiscounted, inventory model with stochastic demands, proportional holding and shortage costs, and full backlogging. For 1 ≤ j ≤ N, orders for item j can arrive in every period, and the cost of receiving them is negligible (as in a JIT setting). Every T_j periods, one reviews the current stock level of item j and decides on deliveries for each of the next T_j periods, thus incurring an item‐by‐item fixed cost k_j. There is also a joint fixed cost whenever any item is reviewed. The problem is to find review periods T₁, T₂, …, T_N and an ordering policy satisfying the average cost criterion. The current article builds on earlier results for the single‐item case. We prove an optimal policy exists, give conditions where it has a simple form, and develop a branch and bound algorithm for its computation. We also provide two heuristic policies with O(N) computational requirements. Computational experiments indicate that the branch and bound algorithm can handle normal demand problems with N ≤ 10 and that both heuristics do well for a wide variety of problems with N ranging from 2 to 200; moreover, the performance of our heuristics seems insensitive to N. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:430–449, 2001     

远程预警声呐发现目标后的机动原则

鉴于经典的载体优化理论对装备舷侧阵声呐的潜艇的局限性,讨论了装备舷侧阵远程预警声呐的潜艇发现目标后的机动问题.在分析经典的载体优化机动理论的使用条件和特点的前提下,借鉴美国潜艇拖曳阵远程预警声呐发现目标后的战术机动思想,提出了装备舷侧阵声呐的潜艇发现目标后可以采取与初始发现方位线相垂直的倒"U"字机动策略及具体的细节.该机动方法理论上成立,但具体参数的确定还需要经过计算机仿真和海上实践的检验.同时认为战术理论的发展与装备技术水平的发展紧密相关.     

导弹对抗离散数学模型

针对现代非接触战争的特点,用数学方法研究导弹对抗模型问题,针对作战的不同目的和要求,建立两个导弹对抗的非线性规划数学模型,对模型求解设计了近似方法,该方法把上述非线性规划模型化为多个线性规划模型进行求解.对一类较简单的特殊情况进行了仔细分析,得到了分析解.最后指出该方法如何应用于动态实时优化决策.本文的方法可用来预测和评估导弹对抗的效果,为作战实时优化决策提供参考.