Attrition models of the Ardennes campaign

This paper revisits the modeling by Bracken [3] of the Ardennes campaign of World War II using the Lanchester equations. It revises and extends that analysis in a number of ways: (1) It more accurately fits the model parameters using linear regression; (2) it considers the data from the entire campaign; and (3) it adds in air sortie data. In contrast to previous results, it concludes by showing that neither the Lanchester linear or Lanchester square laws fit the data. A new form of the Lanchester equations emerges with a physical interpretation. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 1–22, 1998     

Coordinated replenishments from multiple suppliers with price discounts

In this study we present an integer programming model for determining an optimal inbound consolidation strategy for a purchasing manager who receives items from several suppliers. The model considers multiple suppliers with limited capacity, transportation economies, and quantity discounts. We propose an integrated branch and bound procedure for solving the model. This procedure, applied to a Lagrangean dual at every node of the search tree, combines the subgradient method with a primal heuristic that interact to change the Lagrangean multipliers and tighten the upper and lower bounds. An enhancement to the branch and bound procedure is developed using surrogate constraints, which is found to be beneficial for solving large problems. We report computational results for a variety of problems, with as many as 70,200 variables and 3665 constraints. Computational testing indicates that our procedure is significantly faster than the general purpose integer programming code OSL. A regression analysis is performed to determine the most significant parameters of our model. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 579–598, 1998     

自然损耗对储油经济效能影响的模糊综合评估

石油及其产品在储存过程中,受到工艺技术、设备以及管理方法的限制,不可避免会有部分轻质组分汽化,逸入大气,对环境造成污染,并造成经济损失。这种因自然损耗对储油经济带来的影响因素很多,既有定性的,又有定量的,且各因素大多又难以精确地描述,因此,为了反映这些不确定因素对油罐储油经济性的影响,运用多级模糊综合评判的方法,对储油经济性进行综合评判。该方法的思路是建立一个经济效能三级模糊综合评判指标体系,构建相应的评判模型,并以算例加以验证。分析计算结果表明:该方法能较好考虑到评判中的模糊因素,为客观准确评估储油经济效能提供了科学依据。     

平台式惯导系统初始对准最佳可观性分析

首先应用线性系统的奇异值分解理论对静基座初始对准的可观性及可观度进行了深入地分析.给出了不同奇异值下系统状态可观性状况的直方图,并且计算出不同状态组合时系统奇异值的大小及对可观性的影响.理论分析表明选取(△)N、(△)E、εE为不可观测时,系统的估计效果最好.其次采用卡尔曼滤波器对可观阵的秩为7的三种状态组合进行最优估计,仿真结果验证这种论断的正确性.最后从误差分析的角度阐述了这种论断的合理性.     

用速度平差法求解目标运动要素的改进方法

用速度平差法求解目标运动要素是潜艇作战中常用的目标运动要素求解方法.通过全面分析该算法的原理和求解过程,运用典型数值分析、数学归纳等方法,论证了目前速度平差法应用中求解过程的不完整性及漏根的根源,结合潜艇鱼雷攻击实际,采用迭代法和数轴验根法,提出了新的求解办法,提高了目标运动要素解算的可靠性和效率.     

基于信息需求的情报支持效能分析

经典的侦察与监测(S&R)系统效能分析方法存在模型难以建立、结果不准确等问题。考虑到S&R系统的目的是提供情报支持,提出一种基于信息需求的S&R系统情报支持效能分析方法。该方法以用户的信息需求为度量基准量,比较S&R系统性能对信息需求的满足度,并以此满足度作为S&R系统效能度量的指标。仿真实例表明了新方法的有用性。     

多UCAV协同控制中的任务分配模型及算法

任务分配是多UCAV协同控制的核心和有效保证。分析了影响目标价值毁伤、UCAV损耗、任务消耗时间等三项关键战技指标的因素,综合考虑实战中多UCAV同时攻击同一目标和使用软杀伤武器这两种典型情况对UCAV执行任务的影响,建立了针对攻击任务的多UCAV协同任务分配模型,并应用粒子群算法求解。仿真结果验证了模型的合理性和算法的有效性。     

车联网环境下车辆协同高精度定位研究进展

车辆位置信息是许多智能交通应用的基础,如车辆导航、路径规划和车辆编队等.现有研究中融合单车车载多源传感器的定位方法无法有效解决城市峡谷、隧道和立交桥等卫星信号不可用条件下的车辆定位问题.围绕车辆高精度定位进行了综合评述,主要深入研究分析了车辆协同定位技术.首先分析了单车自主定位的关键技术及其主要应用场景;然后对车辆协同...     

融合初值校准与二阶逼近的单星测频定位算法

为减小单星测频定位的误差,提出一种融合初值校准与二阶逼近的单星测频定位算法。该算法在卫星接收信号多普勒频移为零的时间点,通过测距获得卫星到定位目标的距离信息,利用距离信息修正轨道平面与定位目标的几何关系,为初值的选取提供校准手段;将校准的初值代入含二阶级数的定位方程泰勒展开式,通过较少次数的迭代得到定位目标的真实位置,从而降低定位的算法复杂度,提高定位精度。仿真结果表明,所提出的算法与多普勒单星定位算法相比,迭代次数和定位误差大幅度减小,其实现简单、计算量少、误差小,在单星定位研究领域具有较高的理论价值和实用价值。     

Study on performance degradation and failure analysis of machine gun barrel

An increase in the use of the gun barrel will cause wear of the inner wall, which reduces the muzzle velocity and the spin rate of the projectile. The off-bore flight attitude and trajectory of the projectile also change, affecting the shooting power and the accuracy. Exterior ballistic data of a high-speed spinning projectile are required to study the performance change. Therefore, based on the barrel's accelerated life test, the whole process of projectile shooting is reproduced using numerical simulation technology, and key information on the ballistic performance change at each shooting stage are acquired. Studies have shown that in the later stages of barrel shooting, the accuracy of shooting has not decreased significantly. However, it is found that the angle of attack of the projectile increases as the wear of the barrel increases. The maximum angle of attack reaches 0.106 rad when the number of shots reaches 4300. Meanwhile, elliptical bullet hole has appeared on the target at this shooting stage. Through combining external ballistic theory with simulation results, the primary reason of this phenomenon is found to be a significant decrease in the muzzle spin rate of the projectile. At the end of the barrel life, the projectile muzzle spin rate is 57.5% lower than that of a barrel without wear.