一类非正态误差下的AR模型定阶研究

对一类非正态误差的AR模型,在待定阶数P的情况下,给出误差项中未知实函数依概率有界的定理,可把非正态误差转化为正态情况。最后运用正态误差下AR模型的方法确定阶数和参数,并给出一个算例。     

2005～2009年《武警学院学报》文献计量分析

通过对2005～2009年《武警学院学报》5年间的载文、作者及引文情况进行统计分析,研究其载文量、栏目设置以及著者、发文地区和著者系统分布,并统计出合作度、合作类型、引文量、篇均引文数、引文语种及引文类型等,以期描述学报在改为月刊后的出版状况,从中发现一些带有规律性的问题,并客观评价其办刊特色,为刊物的进一步发展及相关学科动向提供理论依据。     

Dynamic capacity reservation and due date quoting in a make‐to‐order system

We consider a make‐to‐order manufacturer facing random demand from two classes of customers. We develop an integrated model for reserving capacity in anticipation of future order arrivals from high priority customers and setting due dates for incoming orders. Our research exhibits two distinct features: (1) we explicitly model the manufacturer's uncertainty about the customers' due date preferences for future orders; and (2) we utilize a service level measure for reserving capacity rather than estimating short and long term implications of due date quoting with a penalty cost function. We identify an interesting effect (“t‐pooling”) that arises when the (partial) knowledge of customer due date preferences is utilized in making capacity reservation and order allocation decisions. We characterize the relationship between the customer due date preferences and the required reservation quantities and show that not considering the t‐pooling effect (as done in traditional capacity and inventory rationing literature) leads to excessive capacity reservations. Numerical analyses are conducted to investigate the behavior and performance of our capacity reservation and due date quoting approach in a dynamic setting with multiple planning horizons and roll‐overs. One interesting and seemingly counterintuitive finding of our analyses is that under certain conditions reserving capacity for high priority customers not only improves high priority fulfillment, but also increases the overall system fill rate. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

GM(1,1)模型在装备备件订购中的应用

分析了武器装备备件订购决策的目标和常用方法,并运用灰色理论GM(1,1)模型及关联度分析法,提出了在军用备件订购工作中费用目标预测的应用方法,以及提高预测精度的措施。     

机载武器控制系统算法研究

机载武器控制系统的算法是其软件部分的核心,算法的最终目的是保证在一定的条件下实现最有利的武器运用方案。将机载武器控制系统的算法分为四个不同的子算法,对每一子算法的建立方法进行了描述,最后得到形成执行命令的算法,即武器运用方案执行命令分配及形成的算法。     

基于集值统计法确定掩护重点目标问题

确定掩护重点是地面防空作战的一个重点和难点问题.利用集值统计分析采集的数据更适合指挥员确定掩护重点的思维方式,用区间数对数据进行处理能较好地降低主观误差.通过对被掩护目标的价值度的求取,为确定被掩护目标重要性顺序和兵力分配提供了依据.算法推理严密,模型简单实用,易于编程实现,为确定掩护重点目标提供了一种很好的算法.     

基于差分法的二阶微分方程的模糊边值问题

本文讨论二阶微分方程的两点边值具有模糊不确定性时 ,运用模糊仿真原理和差分方法 ,求其边值问题的数值解法。     

1／2自旋量子热泵的生态学优化性能

研究以１／２自旋量子费密系统为工质的内可逆卡诺热泵的生态学优化性能,得到了Ｅ目标最大时量子热泵的最佳泵热率、最佳致热系数以及最佳熵产率。     

用时序展开法求解瞬时无耗传输线方程

本文用时序展开法直接在时域中求解了任意终端和输入端时无耗时变传输线方程。给出了这个问题的一般解。此方法简单,结果的物理意义明确,对分析准行波系统的时域问题具有一定的参考价值。