Operations sequencing for a multi‐stage production inventory system

This article studies operations sequencing for a multi‐stage production inventory system with lead times under predictable (deterministic) yield losses and random demand. We consider various cases with either full or partial release of work‐in‐process inventories, for either pre‐operation or post‐operation cost structures, and under either the total discounted or average cost criteria. We derive necessary and sufficient criteria for the optimal sequence of operations in all cases. While the criteria differ in their specific forms, they all lead to the same principal: those operations with (1) lower yields, (2) lower processing costs, (3) longer lead times, and (4) lower inventory holding costs should be placed higher upstream in the system.Copyright © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 144–154, 2014     

Selling to strategic and loss‐averse consumers: Stocking,procurement, and product design policies

Motivated by the presence of loss‐averse decision making behavior in practice, this article considers a supply chain consisting of a firm and strategic consumers who possess an S‐shaped loss‐averse utility function. In the model, consumers decide the purchase timing and the firm chooses the inventory level. We find that the loss‐averse consumers' strategic purchasing behavior is determined by their perceived gain and loss from strategic purchase delay, and the given rationing risk. Thus, the firm that is cognizant of this property tailors its inventory stocking policy based on the consumers' loss‐averse behavior such as their perceived values of gain and loss, and their sensitivity to them. We also demonstrate that the firm's equilibrium inventory stocking policy reflects both the economic logic of the traditional newsvendor inventory model, and the loss‐averse behavior of consumers. The equilibrium order quantity is significantly different from those derived from models that assume that the consumers are risk neutral and homogeneous in their valuations. We show that the firm that ignores strategic consumer's loss‐aversion behavior tends to keep an unnecessarily high inventory level that leads to excessive leftovers. Our numerical experiments further reveal that in some extreme cases the firm that ignores strategic consumer's loss‐aversion behavior generates almost 92% more leftovers than the firm that possesses consumers’ loss‐aversion information and takes it into account when making managerial decisions. To mitigate the consumer's forward‐looking behavior, we propose the adoption of the practice of agile supply chain management, which possesses the following attributes: (i) procuring inventory after observing real‐time demand information, (ii) enhanced design (which maintains the current production mix but improves the product performance to a higher level), and (iii) customized design (which maintains the current performance level but increases the variety of the current production line to meet consumers’ specific demands). We show that such a practice can induce the consumer to make early purchases by increasing their rationing risk, increasing the product value, or diversifying the product line. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 435–453, 2015     

The loss‐averse newsvendor problem with supply options

In this article, we consider a loss‐averse newsvendor with stochastic demand. The newsvendor might procure options when demand is unknown, and decide how many options to execute only after demand is revealed. If the newsvendor reserves too many options, he would incur high reservation costs. Yet reserving too few could result in lost sales. So the newsvendor faces a trade‐off between reservation costs and losing sales. When there are multiple options available, the newsvendor has to consider how many units of each to reserve by studying the trade‐off between flexibility and costs. We show how the newsvendor's loss aversion behavior affects his ordering decision, and propose an efficient algorithm to compute his optimal solution in the general case with n options. We also present examples showing how the newsvendor's ordering strategy changes as loss aversion rises. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. 62:46–59, 2015     

救灾物资的紧急调运模型

针对某地区防洪救灾中物资的调运问题,利用图论中最短路的知识,根据问题实际,将物资的调运方案分成3个阶段.在每个阶段以费用最小或时间最短为目标.以各单位之间物资的供求平衡为约束,建立了规划模型.通过编程求解,制定了不同情况下物资紧急调运的具体方案,包括用车数量、行车线路、用车时间和费用.     

坚定不移走中国特色社会主义政治发展道路——学习胡锦涛总书记“七一”重要讲话体会

胡锦涛总书记在“七一”重要讲话中对坚定不移走中国特色社会主义政治发展道路进行了科学阐释。这既是对90年来我们党领导人民建设社会主义民主政治实践经验的科学总结,也是对未来我国社会主义政治建设的战略部署。中国特色社会主义民主政治发展道路,以党的领导、人民当家作主和依法治国有机统一为本质特征,具有严谨的制度架构、鲜明的特点和巨大的优势,是历史和人民的选择。在新的历史时期,坚持走中国特色社会主义政治发展道路,必须立足我国国情,使之越走越实;积极稳妥地推进政治体制改革,使之越走越宽;大胆吸收和借鉴人类文明成果,使之越走越活;不断推进民主政治的制度化、规范化、程序化,使之越走越稳。     

Failure profiles of coherent systems

In this paper we first introduce and study the notion of failure profiles which is based on the concepts of paths and cuts in system reliability. The relationship of failure profiles to two notions of component importance is highlighted, and an expression for the density function of the lifetime of a coherent system, with independent and not necessarily identical component lifetimes, is derived. We then demonstrate the way that failure profiles can be used to establish likelihood ratio orderings of lifetimes of two systems. Finally we use failure profiles to obtain bounds, in the likelihood ratio sense, on the lifetimes of coherent systems with independent and not necessarily identical component lifetimes. The bounds are relatively easy to compute and use. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

势场理论的多无人机协同路径规划方法

在势场理论的基础上对穿越多威胁区的无人机路径进行了协同规划,在规划中将每个威胁区按实际情况分为极危险区域和次危险区域,而这些威胁不仅包括己方情报所得的已知威胁,而且包括在执行攻击任务过程中新发现的突发威胁,然后利用物理学中的扩散方程建立势场,并在已建立的势场中对多无人机进行整体协同路径规划。在建立模型的同时,进行了仿真模拟,仿真结果表明了该方法的正确性和可行性。     

最小二乘滤波在某型火控系统信息处理中的应用

为了提高某型火控系统对目标的反应时间和射击精度,需要对采集到的目标运动参数信息进行滤波。采用最小二乘滤波方法,通过对最小二乘滤波的分析处理,增加了修正序列,实现了接近自适应最小二乘滤波的功能,在滤波效果上能够完全满足系统要求。最后采用5点滤波实现方式对滤波效果进行了检测,实践证明最小二乘滤波在该型火控系统信息处理中取得了较好的效果,改进了该火控系统的性能。     

船用核动力装置给水减少事件分析与处置研究

从船用核动力装置蒸汽发生器给水减少事件出发,建立事件树分析模型,在保证核安全的前提下,以确保反应堆不停堆为约束条件,运用Relap5/Mod3程序对事件演变过程中的热工水力参数进行计算分析,筛选出在不同运行条件下处理该事件的最佳方案。分析结果表明,在反应堆低功率运行时,并不是所用的给水减少均会造成反应堆停堆,存在最佳的处理方案及相对较长的处置时间用以恢复反应堆及蒸汽发生器的正常运行状态。     

减少航程损失的尾流自导新方案

提出了一种基于三元换能器组的尾流自导导引方案,它对尾流的左右舷判别能力使其可以采用较小的尾流出入角度,从而可以较大程度降低鱼雷航程损失.仿真结果表明,该方案可以在不降低鱼雷末弹道命中概率的前提下,将尾流导引段的航程损失由通常的15%降低到5%左右.