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111.
Danny M. Davis 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(3):351-366
This paper is the first to demonstrate a viable prediction market that successfully forecasts defense acquisition cost and schedule outcomes, and to provide insights for defense executive decision‐making. Already used in private industry, prediction markets can also accurately forecast outcomes and their associated risks for government programs. Using virtual money, prediction markets allow traders to ‘bet’ on some future outcome. This market mechanism turns out to be a relatively simple and accurate way to discover, aggregate, and communicate to a defense executive the collective market’s beliefs about the likelihood of an eventual outcome of an acquisition program of interest. 相似文献
112.
Brian N. Hall 《战略研究杂志》2013,36(7):1001-1030
Information Management (IM) – the systematic ordering, processing and channelling of information within organisations – forms a critical component of modern military command and control systems. As a subject of scholarly enquiry, however, the history of military IM has been relatively poorly served. Employing new and under-utilised archival sources, this article takes the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) of the First World War as its case study and assesses the extent to which its IM system contributed to the emergence of the modern battlefield in 1918. It argues that the demands of fighting a modern war resulted in a general, but not universal, improvement in the BEF’s IM techniques, which in turn laid the groundwork, albeit in embryonic form, for the IM systems of modern armies. 相似文献
113.
Thomas I. Parks 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):185-202
While separatist-related conflict has re-emerged in southern Thailand, there is one predominantly Muslim border province that has remained outside of the conflict. Satun province has been conspicuously unaffected by the Malay-Muslim separatist movement, despite its shared history and ethnic origins with the conflict-affected provinces. In contrast to Pattani, Yala, and Narathiwat, the process of state penetration in Satun was gradual and comparatively less coercive, leading to relative stability and encouraging political and economic integration. This comparative study analyzes the history of cooperative state–minority relations and political stability in Satun province, and draws important lessons directly applicable to the unrest in neighbouring provinces. 相似文献
114.
Peter Dahl Thruelsen 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(4):619-643
This article argues that the debate on security sector reform (SSR) needs to be taken further by taking into consideration the fact that, even though the SSR concept was not originally developed as an element in stabilising states undergoing an insurgency, it is very much being used for exactly that. When conducting counterinsurgency with a focus on the creation of stability, the baseline will ultimately have to be security sector stabilisation (SSS) as a precondition for complete SSR implementation. However, the two must be connected to avoid them undermining each other. This is important if a comprehensive approach to programme implementation and especially sustainability is to guide the programme, and not just isolated ‘train and equip’ stand-alone projects that do not solve either the initial need for stabilisation or the long-term need for accountable security forces. Currently, in Afghanistan the surge for security by the international military is in danger of overtaking the other elements of the SSR, thereby undermining the primary end state and thus risking laying the wrong foundation for the long-term process of SSR. 相似文献
115.
桑华 《兵团教育学院学报》2013,(1):1-3
文化安全的关键在意识形态,意识形态领域中的关键问题是价值观掌控问题。作为文化传播的主要组成部分,网络舆情对文化安全的表层和深层结构都有重要影响。本文从文化安全视角下切入,结合新疆高校网络舆情调研,分析了文化安全面临的冲击与挑战,并提出了基于文化安全保障下的新疆高校网络舆情有效管理方式和路径。 相似文献
116.
本文主要针对那些定位于培养工程应用型网络专业人才的普通高校,分析了其对于计算机网络、网络工程与网络技术应用方面的专业实验室的建设需求,并基于此提出了此类实验室的一种设计方案,同时进一步探讨了此类实验室在建设后期与管理方面应当把握的主要问题。本文提出的建设方案和思路,具有一次性投入不高、可扩展性强、易于实施、灵活适应性好、可支持远程开放式实验等优点,因此不失为一种可行的选择。 相似文献
117.
政策环境是政浆活动的平台,当环境发生变化时,就会对决茕系统产生一定的刺激作用。大学作为社会大系统中的一个子系统,其治理必然会受到政治、经济、文化等相关数育政策环境因素的影响。其中,社会政治民主化、市场经济的开放多元化,大学内部文化力量的渗透以及西方大学治理理念的影响,对我国现代大学治理的调适性转变和发展有着深远的意义。 相似文献
118.
基于实战化条件下人民防空装备体系管理能力建设应着眼国家安全利益拓展,人民防空转型建设需求和完成多样化任务需要,强化顶层设计,搞好储备,坚持信息主导,着眼"能打仗、打胜仗",坚持"战斗力这个唯一的根本的标准",建设与发展相适应的人民防空装备体系管理能力。 相似文献
119.
120.
基于有限元法(FEM)和光滑粒子流体动力学(SPH)结合的算法,用数值模拟了钢质弹丸对钢筒约束土体的侵彻过程。基于ANSYS/LS-DYNA显式动力分析和LS-PrePost后处理软件,形象再现了钢质弹丸冲击作用下土体飞溅形成漏斗坑和直线通道的物理过程。侵彻深度计算结果与实验数据吻合较好,钢质弹丸的速度和加速度时程曲线图与理论分析一致,体现了FEM/SPH算法的精确性。研究结果表明FEM/SPH算法在模拟侵彻土体方面具有可行性和有效性。 相似文献