SpaceWire总线的双路由单元性能评价方法

基于双路由单元研究了Space Wire总线的性能评价体系。研究中给出双路由单元的定义,推导基于双路由单元的路由系统的数据传输时间和资源耗费的计算方法;推导基于双路由单元的多路由拓扑系统的性能评价体系;采用蒙特卡洛模拟的方法建立双路由单元系统的模拟平台,仿真计算路由单元在不同接口配置情况下的性能。研究结果表明:基于双路由单元的传输时间和资源耗费指标能够评价Space Wire总线的性能;在不同接口配置时,存在一种最佳的配置方式使系统的性能达到最优。     

维护条件下产品寿命分布规律分析

为了掌握维护条件下产品寿命分布规律,进一步解释其失效特性,从维护条件下产品性能状态变化角度出发,结合累积失效理论,利用复合Poisson过程建立了可靠性模型,得到了该条件下产品在线寿命分布模型。在此基础上,建立了维护条件下产品总体寿命分布模型,并利用偏度-峰度系数和贴近度分析,对维护条件下产品在线寿命分布和总体寿命分布规律进行了数值计算,解释了工程产品在线往往具有集中失效,而总体又具有随机失效的特性。以水泵转子为研究对象,通过数值分析,较好地描述了其定期维护条件下的可靠度和寿命分布,进一步验证了模型的可行性。     

作业名层次化聚类算法预测作业运行时间

预测作业的运行时间有益于提升系统的调度性能,而聚类有助于训练出更好的预测模型。传统的聚类算法很难将相似的作业名聚类,为了将相似的作业更好地聚类,通过分析其组成成分的语义重要性,构建字母-结构-数字的作业名层次化聚类算法。以两台超级计算机的真实数据为例,实验结果发现,应用此算法聚类后的数据训练模型的预测精度相较传统方法有一定的提升,整体预测精度为70%～80%。     

基于转速分析的柴油机加速性能和气缸气密性的评价方法

对不同使用摩托小时的坦克柴油机的加速、减速时间进行检测和分析,利用Bayes Bootstrap模拟统计方法对转速特征值进行处理,获得了更准确的特征分布．采用动态聚类方法对样本特征进行分类,实现了对柴油机加速性能和气缸气密性的等级评价．     

消防安全户籍化监管问题与对策研究

介绍消防安全“户籍化”的定义,指出“户籍化”管理在消防安全工作中的具体运用和存在的问题,从长效机制、典型示范、服务效能等方面,就如何全面推进消防安全“户籍化”管理提出对策和建议.     

Corporate performance and military production in South Africa

With the end of the Cold War and apartheid, a process of demilitarisation and dramatic cuts in military spending has marked the transition to democracy in South Africa. Between 1989 and 1997 the South African defence budget was cut by more than 50% in real terms, with most of the cuts coming from the procurement budget, which was cut by nearly 70% in real terms during the same period. These cuts have had a significant impact on the country's defence industrial base. However, there has been surprisingly little research on the changes to defence companies that have taken place since the late 1980s. This paper makes a start at rectifying that deficiency by providing an analysis of the restructuring of the major defence‐dependent companies over the period 1988–97. It uses a number of financial ratios and other measures of corporate performance to compare their experience with non‐defence companies in the rest of the South African economy during the same period.     

平滑支持向量机的航空发动机性能衰退故障诊断

为解决发动机所监控的健康指数不能多于测量参数的问题,采用平滑支持向量机方法(SSVM),用4个参数对发动机九类衰退故障进行诊断,并与传统的支持向量机方法(采用LSSVM)进行对比.研究表明:在样本数量小、样本分布不平衡等条件的影响下,SSVM对各类部件性能衰退故障的诊断正确率均在90％以上.相对于LSSVM,SSVM无需优化参数,鲁棒性强,对样本集大小和样本集数目不平衡性的适应性良好,更适合航空发动机性能衰退故障的诊断.     

Chirp信号参数估计算法性能比较

通过数值仿真定量地比较了三种Chirp信号参数估计算法——解线调法、迭代估计法和局部搜索最大似然法的性能,并定性地比较了算法的运算量。仿真结果表明,在三种算法中,局部搜索最大似然法的估计性能最好,而运算量居中;解线调法运算量最大,但估计性能居中;迭代估计法的估计性能最差,但运算量最小。对于实际系统,应根据不同的估计精度和运算量要求,灵活选择不同的算法。综合考虑估计性能和运算量之间的折衷可以得到结论,在三种算法中局部搜索最大似然法是一种相对较好的选择。     

基于蓝牙HCI传输层流控模型的构建

根据停-等流控原理构造了一种基于蓝牙HCI UART传输层的流控模型,并对该模型进行了流控效率的分析,提出了最佳流控效率的条件表达式,这对降低HCI UART低速率的瓶颈效能和提高蓝牙数据传输速率具有指导意义,仿真实验结果表明,模型符合流控效率的理论分析。     

On optimal system designs in reliability‐economics frameworks

Reliability Economics is a field that can be defined as the collection of all problems in which there is tension between the performance of systems of interest and their cost. Given such a problem, the aim is to resolve the tension through an optimization process that identifies the system which maximizes some appropriate criterion function (e.g. expected lifetime per unit cost). In this paper, we focus on coherent systems of n independent and identically distributed (iid) components and mixtures thereof, and characterize both a system's performance and cost as functions of the system's signature vector (Samaniego, IEEE Trans Reliabil (1985) 69–72). For a given family of criterion functions, a variety of optimality results are obtained for systems of arbitrary order n. Approximations are developed and justified when the underlying component distribution is unknown. Assuming the availability of an auxiliary sample of N component failure times, the asymptotic theory of L‐estimators is adapted for the purpose of establishing the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators of the expected ordered failure times of the n components of the systems under study. These results lead to the identification of ε‐optimal systems relative to the chosen criterion function. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007