装备维修社会化研究

新型装备的科技含量不断提升,战场透明度不断增大,装备的损坏率也在不断提高,如何快速抢修损坏装备,恢复其保障能力,是事关战争胜负的一个关键环节。针对装备维修力量如何满足未来信息化战争装备保障需求,分析了装备维修社会化的必要性与可行性,提出了装备维修社会化的模式构想。     

一类具M-P型非线性二元神经网络模型的周期解

针对一类具M-P型非线性信号传输函数的二元神经网络模型,提出其初值振动时系统周期解的存在性问题.利用结式技巧,结合分析方法,建立了用结式表示的保证具振动初值系统周期解存在的充分条件,并通过例子说明零阈值情形周期解的稳定性.     

微分方程的有界性与概周期解的存在性

本文考虑高维非自治概周期系统ｄｘｄｔ＝ｆ（ｔ,ｘ）,利用对ｘ的分量分组构造Ｌｉａｐｕｎｏｖ函数的方法讨论了其概周期解的存在性。所得结果去掉了文献中系统存在有界解的假设,得到了比较明显的改进。     

与装备维修组织设计相关的几个问题

论述了建立装备维修组织过程中的主要活动及它们之间的关系。分析了国内外目前在该领域的研究状况。重点讨论了装备维修组织设计中任务环境、资源组成、资源分布、管理结构、维修专业组结构及资源动态决策等六个问题。     

速率偏频激光陀螺寻北仪中转台测角周期性误差的影响分析

连续旋转式寻北仪以其突出的性能成为当前寻北仪研究的热点,但关于转台误差对连续旋转寻北算法精度影响的分析很少.针对速率偏频激光陀螺寻北仪,研究了转台测角周期性误差对寻北结果的影响.理论分析表明,测角周期性误差的存在会导致寻北结果偏离真实值,必须对其进行建模和补偿以提高寻北精度.对理论分析结果进行了仿真实验和样机寻北实验验...     

Periodic review inventory management with contingent use of two freight modes with fixed costs

We study a stochastic inventory model of a firm that periodically orders a product from a make‐to‐order manufacturer. Orders can be shipped by a combination of two freight modes that differ in lead‐times and costs, although orders are not allowed to cross. Placing an order as well as each use of each freight mode has a fixed and a quantity proportional cost. The decision of how to allocate units between the two freight modes utilizes information about demand during the completion of manufacturing. We derive the optimal freight mode allocation policy, and show that the optimal policy for placing orders is not an (s,S) policy in general. We provide tight bounds for the optimal policy that can be calculated by solving single period problems. Our analysis enables insights into the structure of the optimal policy specifying the conditions under which it simplifies to an (s,S) policy. We characterize the best (s,S) policy for our model, and through extensive numerical investigation show that its performance is comparable with the optimal policy in most cases. Our numerical study also sheds light on the benefits of the dual freight model over the single freight models. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Optimal maintenance policies for a safety‐critical system and its deteriorating sensor

We consider the integrated problem of optimally maintaining an imperfect, deteriorating sensor and the safety‐critical system it monitors. The sensor's costless observations of the binary state of the system become less informative over time. A costly full inspection may be conducted to perfectly discern the state of the system, after which the system is replaced if it is in the out‐of‐control state. In addition, a full inspection provides the opportunity to replace the sensor. We formulate the problem of adaptively scheduling full inspections and sensor replacements using a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) model. The objective is to minimize the total expected discounted costs associated with system operation, full inspection, system replacement, and sensor replacement. We show that the optimal policy has a threshold structure and demonstrate the value of coordinating system and sensor maintenance via numerical examples. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 399–417, 2017     

基于二维量度的复杂设备预防性维修决策优化

针对使用与维修具有两个测量维度的复杂设备,开展了其预防性维修决策的优化研究。基于二维量度的故障模式,给出了二维故障率的定量描述方法;分析了其预防性更换过程的基本过程,探讨了二维量度下更换周期对维修效果的影响,并从经济性角度建立了二维工龄更换费用模型;最后,采用算例的形式,对某设备维修决策同时考虑日历使用时间和行驶里程的情况,进行了二维更换间隔期的优化求解,从而验证了所建立方法与模型的实用性。     

美军维修改革发展研究

维修保障是武器装备形成战斗力的关键要素。随着国际形势和美国国内经济、科技等方面的发展变化,美军的维修策略、维修技术以及维修保障信息化等方面也在不断变革。总结了2000年前后至今,美军在维修保障方面的重大变革,对其发展趋势进行了预测,并结合我军装备保障实际,积极探索切实可行的有效对策。     

Model parameter estimation and residual life prediction for a partially observable failing system

We consider a partially observable degrading system subject to condition monitoring and random failure. The system's condition is categorized into one of three states: a healthy state, a warning state, and a failure state. Only the failure state is observable. While the system is operational, vector data that is stochastically related to the system state is obtained through condition monitoring at regular sampling epochs. The state process evolution follows a hidden semi‐Markov model (HSMM) and Erlang distribution is used for modeling the system's sojourn time in each of its operational states. The Expectation‐maximization (EM) algorithm is applied to estimate the state and observation parameters of the HSMM. Explicit formulas for several important quantities for the system residual life estimation such as the conditional reliability function and the mean residual life are derived in terms of the posterior probability that the system is in the warning state. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the estimation procedure and failure prediction method. A comparison results with hidden Markov modeling are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 190–205, 2015