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261.
262.
We consider an expansion planning problem for Waste‐to‐Energy (WtE) systems facing uncertainty in future waste supplies. The WtE expansion plans are regarded as strategic, long term decisions, while the waste distribution and treatment are medium to short term operational decisions which can adapt to the actual waste collected. We propose a prediction set uncertainty model which integrates a set of waste generation forecasts and is constructed based on user‐specified levels of forecasting errors. Next, we use the prediction sets for WtE expansion scenario analysis. More specifically, for a given WtE expansion plan, the guaranteed net present value (NPV) is evaluated by computing an extreme value forecast trajectory of future waste generation from the prediction set that minimizes the maximum NPV of the WtE project. This problem is essentially a multiple stage min‐max dynamic optimization problem. By exploiting the structure of the WtE problem, we show this is equivalent to a simpler min‐max optimization problem, which can be further transformed into a single mixed‐integer linear program. Furthermore, we extend the model to optimize the guaranteed NPV by searching over the set of all feasible expansion scenarios, and show that this can be solved by an exact cutting plane approach. We also propose a heuristic based on a constant proportion distribution rule for the WtE expansion optimization model, which reduces the problem into a moderate size mixed‐integer program. Finally, our computational studies demonstrate that our proposed expansion model solutions are very stable and competitive in performance compared to scenario tree approaches. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 47–70, 2016 相似文献
263.
弹药木质包装抗冲击振动防护性能的测试研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
各种形式的冲击和振动构成了弹药储运的动态力学环境,它是造成包装破损、弹药零部件损坏和其他质量问题的主因。通过设计实施部分模拟试验并分析冲击和振动响应输出,测试研究了现役木质弹药包装在内置缓冲材料前后的抗冲击振动性能。 相似文献
264.
柴油机缸盖振动信号的关联维数是柴油机健康状况评估的重要参数。在实际工程应用中,关联维数的计算面临着重复性差的问题,通过分析振动信号的截取方法、信号成分以及工况等因素对关联维数计算的影响,较好地解决了关联维数计算重复性差的问题。 相似文献
265.
应用Gauss-Chebyshev求积公式求解了Duffing方程的自由振动频率,得到了高精度近似计算公式。对Duffing方程精确椭圆积分频率解进行了数值计算,以此结果为基准,通过绘制多种典型方法得到的Duf-fing方程自由振动频率解的频率-振幅曲线,定性分析了各公式的精度。以Duffing方程特征振幅为基准,定量分析了各公式的计算值及其相对误差,指出基于Gauss-Chebyshev求积公式的Duffing方程自由振动频率解表达式具有形式简洁、精度高的优点,其优势在大振幅情况下以及软弹簧系统中更为明显。最后指出,现有的频率解在计算精度方面存在一定的差异,有的适合软弹簧系统,有的适合硬弹簧系统,应注意区分它们的适用范围,而应用Gauss-Chebyshev求积公式得到的结果则具有普适性。 相似文献
266.
齿轮混沌动力学特性试验研究 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
设计了齿轮混沌动力学特性试验台架,应用非线性时间序列分析方法对采集的数据进行了分析,提取了信号的特征指数.试验表明,齿轮处于混沌振动状态.在有润滑的情况下,混沌振动信号的吸引子结构比干摩擦情况的吸引子更加复杂. 相似文献
267.
根据kittel型反铁电相变对称性的变化 ,选择轴矢量 R作为序参量是合适的。由Landau理论 ,相变温度附近的自由能F就可以写成 R幂级数展开的形式。令 F R=0 ,可得到关于序参量的方程 ,从而获得相变温度与自由能的关系 相似文献
268.
本文分析了插值型代理模型的特性,提出了影响插值代理模型的推广能力的重要因素是代理模型的振荡特性,分析表明:振荡剧烈的代理模型,其推广能力就弱。为了评价代理模型的推广能力,本文提出基于能量函数方法的评价方法。能量函数方法是通过计算代理模型的一阶和二阶导数,得出代理模型的振荡情况来进行评价。能量函数越高,代理模型的振荡越剧烈,因而其推广能力越差。测试函数表明,能量函数方法在评价代理模型推广能力上是有效的。 相似文献
269.
Yun Zhou 《The Nonproliferation Review》2013,20(2):347-363
Nuclear energy is an integral part of China's energy strategy and will increasingly contribute to China's total energy supply. China has more than twenty civilian facilities, including power reactors, mines, and enrichment plants, to support its nuclear power program. As China operates more nuclear plants, more nuclear materials will be produced and stockpiled, and more nuclear facilities will be spread around the country. To ensure that this expanded network of nuclear facilities does not increase the risk that nuclear materials will be diverted or become the target of attack, China will need to develop more reliable domestic nuclear security strategies. China is also poised to become a major exporter of nuclear energy technology. China has committed to keeping nuclear technologies out of the hands of dangerous states and/or sub-state organizations, but in order to fulfill its nonproliferation obligations as well as its treaty-based commitment to share nuclear technologies, China will need to strengthen nuclear export controls and practices. This report examines and evaluates security measures at Chinese civilian nuclear power plants and suggests ways to improve them. It also reviews current export control policies and systems, identifies likely challenges to the expanding nuclear sector, and proposes possible solutions. 相似文献
270.
Adam Cobb 《African Security Review》2013,22(1):134-140
Abstract The United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) has been a military success but a strategic messaging failure. The United States’ relationships across Africa cannot be boiled down to military affairs. This paper argues that Africa has many more opportunities than challenges and thus requires a more balanced foreign policy solution from Washington DC than a new military command. For the military engagement that does need to take place, a more low-profile approach would benefit the United States in Africa. 相似文献