基于Dempster组合规则的电子目标识别算法研究

在军事目标识别中,必须综合考虑目标的电磁辐射信息和红外图像信息,并采用有效的识别算法,才能准确识别电子目标。提出了基于Dempster组合规则的电子目标综合识别方法,完成了基于Dempster组合规则的电子目标自动识别综合处理算法研究,并进行了仿真实验,试验结果表明,该算法是可行的。     

利用ZIP模型估计备品备件需求量

针对使用过程中大部分时间处于贮存状态的武器装备的特点,提出了利用ZIP模型估计武器装备备品备件需求量的方法。即假定需求量为0和需求量服从Poisson分布各占一定比例混合,由此建立了确定备品备件需求量的ZIP模型,并对模型中的参数进行估计。最后,通过模拟数据进行验证,说明了这种方法的可行性。     

潜艇水动力噪声的自航模试验技术研究

探讨了一种新型的潜艇流噪声与螺旋桨噪声的模型试验方法——自航模水动力噪声测试技术。该方法通过合理的试验方案设计及信号处理手段,在背景噪声相对较低的测试环境中,可得到具有时间通过特性的噪声信号,识别出流噪声与螺旋桨噪声。     

定性仿真在弹药补充能力概念建模中的应用

就目前装备保障仿真中遇到的难题,引入定性仿真的研究思路,选取一个简单实例(弹药补充能力)进行概念的定性分析,进而建立基于定性过程理论的定性模型并对该模型进行了扩展,最后对所作研究进行了总结,并提出下一步的研究方向。     

ATM协议识别方法及其受系统误码分布的影响分析

分析了协议识别的概念,提出了用于ATM协议识别的策略及其状态机模型,建立了系统误码的分布模型,通过理论公式推导与仿真,重点对δ、α的取值及其对ATM协议识别概率的影响进行了分析。     

地形对间瞄火炮射击效能影响模型研究

地形既能影响实际作战中炮阵地的选定、火炮配置及区分射击任务,又不同程度地影响选定的炮阵地对责任地域的射击效能。文中在考虑地形因素影响的基础上,建立了评定间瞄火炮射击效能的数学模型,阐述了其计算机模型的基本功能和实现方法,对间瞄火炮射击效能的评定具有一定的指导作用。     

PAC-3反导系统作战效能研究

为评估PAC-3反导系统的作战效能,通过分析影响该系统作战效能的因素,构建了一个评价指标体系,并利用幂函数法建立了定量评估模型。结合系统的作战性能参数,对PAC-3反导系统的作战效能进行了评估,为研究其作战提供了参考依据。     

Lateral capacity exchange and its impact on capacity investment decisions

We study the problem of capacity exchange between two firms in anticipation of the mismatch between demand and capacity, and its impact on firm's capacity investment decisions. For given capacity investment levels of the two firms, we demonstrate how capacity price may be determined and how much capacity should be exchanged when either manufacturer acts as a Stackelberg leader in the capacity exchange game. By benchmarking against the centralized system, we show that a side payment may be used to coordinate the capacity exchange decisions. We then study the firms' capacity investment decisions using a biform game framework in which capacity investment decisions are made individually and exchange decisions are made as in a centralized system. We demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of the Nash equilibrium capacity investment levels and study the impact of firms' share of the capacity exchange surplus on their capacity investment levels.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Modeling and analysis of a mixed‐model assembly line with stochastic operation times

We consider a mixed‐model assembly line (MMAL) comprised a set of workstations and a conveyor. The workstations are arranged in a serial configuration. The conveyor moves at a constant speed along the workstations. Initial units belonging to different models are successively fed onto the conveyor, and they are moved by the conveyor to pass through the workstations to gradually generate final products. All assembling tasks are manually performed with operation times to be stochastic. An important performance measure of MMALs is overload times that refer to uncompleted operations for operators within their work zones. This paper establishes a method to analyze the expected overload times for MMALs with stochastic operation times. The operation processes of operators form discrete time nonhomogeneous Markov processes with continuous state spaces. For a given daily production schedule, the expected overload times involve in analyzing the Markov processes for finite horizon. Based on some important properties of the performance measure, we propose an efficient approach for calculating the expected overload times. Numerical computations show that the results are very satisfactory. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007