基于云模型的无人机作战系统效能评估

对无人机作战系统进行效能评估有利于了解无人机的能力和不足,为无人机的后继研发提供有效依据。针对作战系统指标的相对性、模糊性与不确定性,通过层次分析法建立无人机作战系统效能评估的指标体系,采用云模型实现作战系统指标的定性属性与定量属性的相互结合与转换,结合专家打分法给出作战系统指标的定性权重和评价,并利用正态云拟合算法得出无人机作战系统的综合效能。通过实例分析,表明该方法具有可行性。     

A mathematical programming approach for improving the robustness of least sum of absolute deviations regression

This paper discusses a novel application of mathematical programming techniques to a regression problem. While least squares regression techniques have been used for a long time, it is known that their robustness properties are not desirable. Specifically, the estimators are known to be too sensitive to data contamination. In this paper we examine regressions based on Least‐sum of Absolute Deviations (LAD) and show that the robustness of the estimator can be improved significantly through a judicious choice of weights. The problem of finding optimum weights is formulated as a nonlinear mixed integer program, which is too difficult to solve exactly in general. We demonstrate that our problem is equivalent to a mathematical program with a single functional constraint resembling the knapsack problem and then solve it for a special case. We then generalize this solution to general regression designs. Furthermore, we provide an efficient algorithm to solve the general nonlinear, mixed integer programming problem when the number of predictors is small. We show the efficacy of the weighted LAD estimator using numerical examples. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

目标区域局部特征和局部图像质量相结合的激光干扰效果评估

为客观描述光电成像系统激光干扰效果,提出目标区域局部特征和图像质量相结合的干扰效果评估算法。图像的局部特征用特征点描述,图像质量用结构相似度指数描述。该算法利用特征点匹配算法确定场景图像中的目标区域,计算干扰前后目标区域内特征点数量的变化、干扰后目标区域内未饱和面积所占的比重以及目标区域内图像的结构相似度指数,并将上述各参数相乘得到最终的评价指标。利用该方法对典型激光干扰图像进行评估,结果表明:在不同入射功率和不同光斑位置情况下,所提评估指标比单独使用结构相似度的评估指标具有更大的取值范围和更明显的非线性变化特征。这说明:该指标能够反映光电成像系统激光干扰过程的丰富细节,更加适合激光干扰效果的评估。     

Characteristics structure analysis on debris cloud in the hypervelocity impact of disk projectile on thin plate

In this paper, the gauge points setting is introduced in the SPH simulation to analyze the debris cloud structure generated by the hypervelocity impact of disk projectile on thin plate. Compared with the experiments, more detailed information of the debris cloud structure can be classified from the numerical simulation. However, due to the solitary dispersion and overlap display of the particles in the SPH simulation, accurate comparison between numerical and experimental results is difficult to be performed. To track the velocity and spatial distribution of the particles in the debris cloud induced from disk and plate, gauge points are locally set in the single-layer profile in the SPH model. By analyzing the gauge points’ spatial coordinate and velocity, the location and velocity of characteristic points in the debris cloud are determined. The boundary of debris cloud is achieved, as well as the fragments distribution outside the main structure of debris cloud.     

Analysis of the stress wave and rarefaction wave produced by hypervelocity impact of sphere onto thin plate

Shock wave is emitted into the plate and sphere when a sphere hypervelocity impacts onto a thin plate. The fragmentation and phase change of the material caused by the propagation and unloading of shock wave could result in the formation of debris cloud eventually. Propagation models are deduced based on one-dimensional shock wave theory and the geometry of sphere, which uses elliptic equations (corresponding to ellipsoid equations in physical space) to describe the propagation of shock wave and the rarefaction wave. The “Effective thickness” is defined as the critical plate thickness that ensures the rarefaction wave overtake the shock wave at the back of the sphere. The “Effective thickness” is directly related to the form of the debris cloud. The relation of the “Effective thickness” and the “Optimum thickness” is also discussed. The impacts of Al spheres onto Al plates are simulated within SPH to verify the propagation models and associated theories. The results show that the wave fronts predicted by the propagation models are closer to the simulation result at higher impact velocity. The curvatures of the wave fronts decrease with the increase of impact velocities. The predicted “Effective thickness” is consistent with the simulation results. The analysis about the shock wave propagation and unloading in this paper can provide a new sight and inspiration for the quantitative study of hypervelocity impact and space debris protection.     

弹道导弹落点预报的雷达系统仿真

根据弹道理论建立了雷达探测弹道导弹的仿真模型 ,并对仿真的雷达探测跟踪弹道数据给出了处理方法 ,预报了导弹落点范围 ,并与理论落点进行了比较 ,给出落点精度。仿真结果表明 :雷达对导弹的探测数据经过一定数据处理 ,可得到预定的落点精度 ,说明该种仿真方法是可行的     

基于单元体设计的装甲装备弹目交会建模方法

为了提高作战仿真效果的可信度,提出了一种基于单元体的解决思路,并通过弹头终点弹道特性、装备几何特征、弹头与目标的关系分析,建立了陆军作战仿真的弹目交会模型。试验测试结果表明:该模型能够仿真作战过程中的弹头命中点坐标,满足作战仿真系统的准确性、实时性要求。     

点型火灾报警探测器保护范围对布置的影响

分析了点型火灾报警探测器＂保护半径＂与＂保护面积＂的内在关系,得出了以保护半径为主,保护面积及修正系数为辅新型计算方法,使其在不规则平面更有可操作性,能充分发挥探测器效能,给设置留下了宽裕的选择范围,使设置更趋合理;在安全性不受影响下,探测器用量最大可节省12%。     

基于单片机的远程光纤通信在点对点安全验证系统上的应用

现有的点对点安全验证系统都是基于电缆连接实现系统信息传输的。电缆传输信号存在传输衰减大、抗干扰能力差、在雷暴天气易发生事故等缺点。通过将基于单片机89C2051的远程光纤通信应用到现有设备来改进控制信号的传输模式,将电信号转换为光信号,在数据传输中使用传输同步码加密、数据包CRC校验、串行数据编码以及光纤连通性定时自动监测等技术,可以从物理信号传输到数据接收处理的整个过程中保证系统的安全性和可靠性;同时,通过光纤通信方案,也能节省系统构建和维护的经费。     

一类流行病动力学模型的稳定性研究

本文建立了一类流行病动力学的S-I-D-S模型,讨论了该模型的无病平衡点的全局稳定性及有病平衡点的局部稳定性。