基于复杂适应系统理论的一体化联合作战研究

复杂适应系统理论为我们研究军事系统提供了崭新的视角,避免了传统的基于还原论方法研究军事系统机械分隔忽略系统要素之间相互作用的问题,可以得到军事系统全面准确的认识,对于深入研究一体化联合作战的本质内涵、基本特征和主要方法,尽快形成一体化联合作战的理论体系具有重要意义。文章通过分析军事系统特点得出军事系统是复杂适应系统的结论,在此基础上,从复杂适应系统理论的角度分析了一体化联合作战的内涵及提高军事系统一体化联合作战能力需要重点解决的四个问题。     

联合作战军民融合问题研究

文章研究联合作战军民融合问题,提出不断深化联合作战军民融合思想意识,构建完善联合作战军民融合体制机制,加强联合作战军民融合的平时准备。     

一体化联合作战精确控制问题

文中主要对一体化联合作战中的精确控制内涵进行了阐述,然后分别从重要性和实现途径两个方面对作战时序的精确控制、作战空间的精确控制、作战目标的精确控制和作战信息环境的精确控制进行探讨。     

转型期武警综合大学学科专业建设浅探

对照教育教学转型的要求,武警综合大学学科专业建设主要面临教育理念转变滞后、学科优势不够明显、新增专业基础薄弱三大困境。下一步学科专业转型中,要更新理念,科学谋划学科专业建设布局;找准定位,突出培植武警特色学科专业;全面发展,融合构建新型学科专业体系;健全机制,合理配置学科专业建设资源;加强科研,积极促进学科专业创新发展。     

Service design at diagnostic service centers

We study a service design problem in diagnostic service centers, call centers that provide medical advice to patients over the phone about what the appropriate course of action is, based on the caller's symptoms. Due to the tension between increased diagnostic accuracy and the increase in waiting times more in‐depth service requires, managers face a difficult decision in determining the optimal service depth to guide the diagnostic process. The specific problem we consider models the situation when the capacity (staffing level) at the center is fixed, and when the callers have both congestion‐ and noncongestion‐related costs relating to their call. We develop a queueing model incorporating these features and find that the optimal service depth can take one of two different structures, depending on factors such as the nurses' skill level and the maximum potential demand. Sensitivity analyses of the two optimal structures show that they are quite different. In some situations, it may (or may not) be optimal for the manager to try to expand the demand at the center, and increasing skill level may (or may not) increase congestion. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry

Customer acquisition and customer retention are the most important challenges in the increasingly competitive telecommunications industry. Traditional studies of customer switching always assume that customers are homogeneous, and thus that model customer switching behavior follows a Markov formulation. However, this postulation is obviously inappropriate in most instances. Blumen et al. (Cornell Studies of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 1955) developed the Mover–Stayer (MS) model, a generalization of the Markov chain model, to relax the requirement of homogeneity and allow the presence of heterogeneity with two different types of individuals—“stayers,” who purchase the same kinds of products or services throughout the entire observation period; and “movers,” who look for variety in products or services over time. There are two purpose of this article. First, we extend the MS model to a Double Mover‐Stayer (DMS) model by assuming the existence of three types of individuals in the market: (1) stable and loyal customers, who have stable usage within the same company; (2) instable but loyal customers, whose usage varies within the same company over time; and (3) disloyal customers, who switch from one company to another to seek for new experiences or/and benefits. We also propose an estimation method for the DMS model. Second, we apply the DMS model to telecommunications data and demonstrate how it can be used for pattern identification, hidden knowledge discovery, and decision making. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

边防武警执行命令行为的刑法学分析

基于我国的边防体制,边防武警执行命令的行为在边防管理活动中属行政行为,执行军事命令的行为属军事行为。边防武警执行命令行为性质的不同定位,导致了不同的法律意义。在不同的情况下,边防武警对命令有效性的审查义务在范围和程度上是不同的,由此,在认定犯罪排除事由的构成上也应加以区别。执行命令作为排除犯罪的事由,基于不同的要件,可构成合法化事由或者免责事由。在命令合法有效的时候,执行命令就成为合法化事由。在命令不具有合法有效性的时候,执行命令就不能成为合法化事由,但在一定情况下,执行违法命令可以构成免责事由,从而排除行为的犯罪性。     

洛杉矶警察局反恐策略及对我国公安反恐工作的启示

洛杉矶警察局在9.11事件之后,不断积累预防和打击恐怖主义的经验,提高自身反恐能力,并在实际的预防打击恐怖主义斗争中做出了重要贡献。恐怖主义是全世界的敌人。针对中国的恐怖主义威胁现状,我国公安机关作为预防和打击恐怖主义的重要力量,要研究和借鉴他们好的经验,坚决打击国内恐怖主义的发展势头,以维护中国的安全稳定。     

试述中国维和警察工作的开创与发展

中国参与联合国维和行动的历程到中国维和警察工作的发展,以及参与维和行动的具体实践,体现了大国责任,实践证明,参与维和行动已经成为可调动的战略资源,为融入国际安全机制提供有效途径。     

美国警察枪支使用法律制度及对我国的启示

美国警察使用枪支需遵循必要合理原则和生命威胁原则,符合法律和警局政策规定的条件和程序。我国可以借鉴美国警察枪支使用法律制度的优点,从强化对警察的保护、规定明确的用枪原则和详尽的用枪条件、健全警察用枪程序和相关支撑制度等方面,完善我国警察枪支使用法律制度。