Decision support model for effects estimation and proportionality assessment for targeting in cyber operations

Cyber operations are relatively a new phenomenon of the last two decades.During that period,they have increased in number,complexity,and agility,while their design and development have been processes well kept under secrecy.As a consequence,limited data(sets)regarding these incidents are available.Although various academic and practitioner public communities addressed some of the key points and dilemmas that surround cyber operations(such as attack,target identification and selection,and collateral damage),still methodologies and models are needed in order to plan,execute,and assess them in a responsibly and legally compliant way.Based on these facts,it is the aim of this article to propose a model that i))estimates and classifies the effects of cyber operations,and ii)assesses proportionality in order to support targeting decisions in cyber operations.In order to do that,a multi-layered fuzzy model was designed and implemented by analysing real and virtual realistic cyber operations combined with interviews and focus groups with technical-military experts.The proposed model was evaluated on two cyber operations use cases in a focus group with four technical-military experts.Both the design and the results of the evaluation are revealed in this article.     

一个组合对策问题的解

本文求解如下的组合对策问题:设有一堆棋子,总数N 是奇数,甲乙两人轮流取子,每人每次可取一颗、二颗,最多可取s 颗,但不能不取,直至取完后分别来数甲乙两人所取棋子的总数,总数为奇数者获胜。站在甲的立场上考虑获胜的策略,文中解决了如下两个问题:(Ⅰ)总数N 应是什么样的奇数,甲才有获胜策略;(Ⅱ)当N 一定时,甲应采取什么样的策略取子,才能获胜。     

Civil–military relations and organisational preferences regarding the use of the military in Chinese foreign policy: insights from the debate on MOOTW

ABSTRACT

This article analyses the positions of the Chinese civilian leaders and military elites on Military Operations Other Than War in order to shed light on their preferences about the use of the armed forces in foreign policy between the late 1990s and the early 2010s. Over time, a significant divergence developed between civilians and soldiers until 2011, when the Libyan crisis happened. The study also prompts important considerations about our understanding of civil–military relations in China and future role of the People’s Liberation Army as a tool of statecraft in foreign policy.     

构建武警法学学科体系

深化武警院校改革,聚焦“能打仗、打胜仗”这个强军之要,必须构建武警法学学科体系。武警法学经历了孕育萌芽、研究探索、创立形成的发展阶段。构建武警法学学科体系,必须紧贴武警部队职能任务实际,发展武警法学的特色和优势,为部队培养“会指挥、懂法律的指挥警官和初级指挥人才”。     

公安现役部队非战争军事行动训练面临的挑战与对策

当前,边境安全形势复杂、训练理念陈旧、部队勤训矛盾突出、训练内容与安排不合理、训练保障能力有限等主客观因素,制约着公安现役部队非战争军事行动训练的开展,对公安现役部队形成非战争军事行动战斗力构成了挑战。树立科学的非战争军事行动训练指导思想与理念,创新训练方法和手段,优化训练内容,加强教员队伍建设和训练基地建设,是改进非战争军事行动训练的有效对策。     

公安现役部队基层干部考核工作存在的问题与对策

公安现役部队基层干部考核工作是选准用好干部的关键环节。目前一些单位在基层干部考核工作中还存在着考核制度不健全、考核标准不科学、考核方法和形式简单等问题。加强和改进基层干部考核工作,必须端正基层干部考核工作的认识和观念,健全基层干部考核的制度,完善基层干部考核的标准,改进基层干部考核的方式方法。     

和谐警民关系构建过程中的不良因素规避

构建和谐警民关系在当前公安工作中具有全局性意义。在和谐社会建设正成为时代精神精华的背景下,和谐警民关系的构建不仅具有历史逻辑的可能性,而且具有改善社会关系、化解各种矛盾、维护社会公平正义、全面促进社会和谐的根本意义和现实需求。面对队伍建设的新情况、新局面,和谐警民关系的构建应立足现状,分析局面,寻求对策,以利公安工作和队伍建设再上新台阶。     

论边防警察的心理应激与应对

心理应激是一种特殊的情绪状态,在这种情绪状态下个体会有很多特殊的反应和举动。边防警察由于其工作的特殊性,难免会产生心理应激。边防警察的心理应激源包括工作方面、环境方面、生活方面。分析了边防警察心理应激的类型及表现,主要从培养品质和意志,学会放松,取得社会、家人、亲友的支持和理解,加强心理训练等方面论述了应对边防警察心理应激的措施。     

试论维和警察工作快速反应机制的构建

维和警察是一种高危职业,建立快速反应机制是维和警察工作发展、降低维和警察风险和公安外交工作的需要。分析建立维和警察工作快速反应机制的意义和快速反应机制的基本构建框架,提出快速反应机制的运行原则。     

对我国维和警察在任务区进行文化传播的思考

文化影响力是一个国家软实力的重要组成部分,对外进行文化传播是塑造一个国家积极正面形象、提高软实力的有效手段。通过探讨维和警察进行文化传播的重要性、任务、方式以及应注意的问题,旨在对中国维和警察及维和警察培训有所裨益。中国维和警察应发挥自身优势积极进行中华文化传播,塑造中国警察的良好形象,打造中国维护世界和平、构建和谐世界、负责任的大国形象。