利用验前信息的一种序贯检验方法——序贯验后加权检验方法

序贯验后加权检验方法是Bayes 统计观点在假设检验中的运用。本文提出了该方法的一般理论,给出了当总体的分布参数具有验前信息时的序贯检验方法。文中确定了决策区的划分,同时讨论了序贯截尾方案,给出了检验中可能犯两类错误的概率的上界,并将一般理论应用于产品的可靠性检验和再入飞行器随机落点的精度鉴定。由于运用了验前信息,因此能有效地在少量试验之下进行统计假设检验。本文所提供的方法对于昂贵产品试验结果的统计评定具有普遍意义。     

离散搜索力的最优配置模型及增量搜索计划

目前,离散搜索正越来越普遍地应用于各种搜索实践。为了优化搜索过程,提高离散搜索的效率,应用最优搜索理论,导出了待搜目标服从均匀分布、正态分布时离散搜索力的最优配置模型、目标的踪迹预测方法和最优增量搜索计划的求法,并通过实例作了演示,上述结论和方法为离散搜索力如何实施最优搜索提供了一定的理论依据。     

Military Expenditure as a Proxy for State Power. The Case of France

This paper attempts to build a simple indicator of state power. Military expenditure is the paper’s point of departure, with the definitions given by NATO, SIPRI and others. This definition is discussed and a power version is build, using French budgetary data. Then a defence of the result against traditional or non-traditional critics is presented under an imperative of action. Finally, this concept is enlarged and a new concept of power expenditures is given, one more time using French budgetary data. The conclusion is that this large expenditure concept is an unbiased but imperfect indicator of the will to act, and has to be completed by GDP to indicate the capability to act in the long-run.     

Land power in the age of joint interdependence: toward a theory of land power for the twenty-first century*

This essay outlines a theory of land power. After explaining the absence of such a theory, the article establishes the modern context for such a theory, specifically within the concept of joint interdependence. The analysis defines key terms and premises behind the theory, to include a definition of land power. The argument then outlines the national elements of power that contribute to a theory of land power. The analysis next applies the theory to the fundamental purposes of military power: defeat, deter, compel, assure, shape and support to the nation. The analysis then tests key definitions, supporting premises, and utility of the theory. The essay argues that historical experience validates the applicability and utility of the theory, and offers a solid basis for extrapolating the validity of the theory into the near future.     

采用多模式控制的电磁发射蓄电池充电谐波抑制方法

针对电磁发射蓄电池组大倍率快速充电过程中的电网谐波陡增问题,提出多模式模糊滞环控制谐波抑制方法。结合电磁发射混合储能系统的时序串联拓扑结构,说明蓄电池的超大倍率充电应用工况和策略,进而介绍蓄电池充电的拓扑结构,明确谐波的来源、特点和产生原因。在分析单台充电机充电时的电网谐波电压和谐波电流的基础上,研究不同充电机并充台数、不同充电电流情况下电网谐波电压和谐波电流的分布规律。设计多模式控制方法的组成方式和切换判据,建立蓄电池充电机、瞬时无功功率检测、谐波抑制、多模式控制的仿真模型。仿真和试验数据表明：谐波抑制方法能够快速抑制电磁发射蓄电池充电机大规模启停、波动时的谐波陡增问题,补偿效果满足国家标准。     

等离子体与高功率微波相互作用中电子分布特性

电子数密度是表征等离子体物理特性的一项重要因素,在等离子体与高功率微波的相互作用中,等离子体对入射电磁波的吸收、衰减和屏蔽等电磁特性可通过电子数密度的变化进行表征。基于等离子体流体近似研究方法,利用COMSOL软件求解等离子体中的波动方程、电子传递方程和重粒子传递方程,计算分析了等离子体与高功率微波相互作用中的电子分布特性,重点分析了相互作用中平均电子数密度和平均电子能的数值和空间分布变化过程。研究表明,在高功率微波作用下,等离子体区域电子数密度在数值上会产生剧烈的阶跃变化,形成雪崩效应,在空间分布上电子数密度峰值产生趋于入射方向移动的变化;电子能的变化与入射波激励和电子数密度相关,随入射激励增加呈增长趋势,随电子数密度的增加而减小。     

GNSS阵列接收机信号解扩前的欺骗干扰检测算法

为了降低天线阵接收机欺骗干扰检测方法的计算量,提出一种信号解扩前的欺骗干扰检测方法。该方法利用不同天线上信号和噪声相关性的差异,在信号解扩前估计其功率,从而进行欺骗干扰检测。仿真结果表明,该方法在降低运算量的同时,具有良好的检测性能。     

Air power in humanitarian intervention: Kosovo and Libya in comparative perspective

It would be hard to overstate the importance of air power in humanitarian intervention (HI) and the Responsibility to Protect (R2P). Yet, the role of air power in HI and R2P has been understudied. This article seeks to remedy the lack of systematic investigation. It does so by developing a framework for assessing the effectiveness of air power during military operations in HI and R2P and applies it to NATO’s air campaigns in Kosovo (Operation Allied Force) and Libya (Operation Unified Protector). Upon examination NATO is revealed to have fared better in Libya than Kosovo in positively accomplishing its stated humanitarian objectives, minimizing collateral damage and reducing the costs for the interveners, all of which are aspects considered by the model. The relative effectiveness of Operations Unified Protector is generally attributed to geography, diplomacy and technology. It is argued that better ground support, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and burden sharing are needed to enhance the utility of air power in HI and R2P even further.     

推进颠覆性技术发展是大国博弈的战略选择

世界新一轮科技革命为颠覆性技术涌现创造了新的机遇,推进颠覆性技术发展已成为大国博弈的战略选择。文章简要分析了主要国家发展颠覆性技术的做法,从历史视角回顾了颠覆性技术发展对人类战争形态演变的历程,系统阐述新一轮科技革命为颠覆性技术发展创造的新机遇及其发展对未来战争形态的影响,提出加快推进我国颠覆性技术发展的几点建议。     

雷达天线俯仰控制及威力显示系统的设计

介绍现有雷达天线俯仰控制及显示系统的缺点 ,提出采用单片机控制、液晶显示威力图的方式改造天线俯仰系统。同时给出了系统硬件设计和软件设计。