惰性气体灭火系统减压孔板设计计算方法研究

选择DN40及其三种规格孔径的IG100惰性气体灭火系统减压孔板为研究对象,采用fluent数值计算软件进行计算,得到压比-流量特性曲线及计算公式,在设计计算时可直接根据压比-流量特性曲线选择合理的减压装置,为此类设计提出了一种新的计算研究手段。     

Technical note: An improved range chart for normal and long‐tailed symmetrical distributions

The distribution of the range of a sample, even in the case of a normal distribution, is not symmetric. Shewhart's control chart for range and other approximations for range from skewed distributions and long‐tailed (leptokurtic) symmetrical distributions assume the distribution of range as symmetric and provide 3 sigma control limits. We provide accurate approximations for the R‐chart control limits for the leptokurtic symmetrical distributions, using a range quantile approximation (RQA) method and illustrate the use of the RQA method with a numerical example. As special cases, we provide constants for the R‐chart for the normal, logistic, and Laplace distributions. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

掠海机动目标跟踪的IPDA算法

综合概率数据关联(IPDA)算法不仅能进行目标状态估计,还能提供对潜在目标的存在性/可感知性/可观测性概率的估计.这些估计通常作为评价航迹质量的参数,用于航迹确认和航迹终止.所研究的几种跟踪算法主要针对低空掠海飞行的机动目标,目标探测概率受海面信号反射导致的多路径效应和海杂波的影响而变化,将IPDA算法和EB-PDA、IMMPDA算法进行了比较研究,并提出了一种新的IPDA算法-VM-IPDA算法.仿真结果显示,VM-IPDA算法跟其他几种算法相比不仅提高准确性还能减少计算量.     

决定电视侦察弹射击诸元弹道模型的建立与仿真

在分析电视侦察弹各阶段弹道特点的基础上,建立了求取弹道诸元和射击诸元的弹道数学模型,给出了简单、精确、快速逼近目标的方法,并利用该模型进行了弹道逼近和决定射击诸元的模拟计算.结果表明在初始射角赋予非常简单的条件下,只用两条弹道,再通过一次插值,即可逼近开舱点,获得射击开始(装定)诸元.此模型和方法可用于射表编制和指挥自动化系统.     

毫米波相控阵雷达弹丸脱靶量检测概率分析

定量分析了雷达检测波门及波位的设置、搜索周期、目标及弹丸运动的速度,方向等因素对弹丸检测概率的影响,并针对给定的参数和航路对检测概率进行了计算机仿真。     

统计能量优化设计法研究

用设计变量表示统计能量法参数,建立统计能量法方程解得结构各频段能量值,用能量值表示目标函数,基于此建立基于统计能量法声振优化设计模型.对一个由两子系统构成的结构进行优化设计表明,由于能量随频率变化的光滑性,基于统计能量法的模型很适于优化设计.     

基于概率模型的弹道导弹突防措施分析

从作战效率的角度,建立多层防御系统的概率模型,分析单层防御系统性能变化对整体的影响;建立目标毁伤概率模型,分析单个目标命中概率对单层防御系统性能的影响;建立单层防御系统的贝努利实验模型,分析识别能力和毁伤能力对系统效能的影响.通过这些简单的概率模型,反向分析探讨了针对分层防御系统的弹道导弹突防问题.     

不确定性推理

本文对专家系统中所使用的一些不确定推理方法作了分析及综述,并给出了一种基于联想的不确定推理模式。     

Monitoring poisson count data with probability control limits when sample sizes are time varying

This article considers the problem of monitoring Poisson count data when sample sizes are time varying without assuming a priori knowledge of sample sizes. Traditional control charts, whose control limits are often determined before the control charts are activated, are constructed based on perfect knowledge of sample sizes. In practice, however, future sample sizes are often unknown. Making an inappropriate assumption of the distribution function could lead to unexpected performance of the control charts, for example, excessive false alarms in the early runs of the control charts, which would in turn hurt an operator's confidence in valid alarms. To overcome this problem, we propose the use of probability control limits, which are determined based on the realization of sample sizes online. The conditional probability that the charting statistic exceeds the control limit at present given that there has not been a single alarm before can be guaranteed to meet a specified false alarm rate. Simulation studies show that our proposed control chart is able to deliver satisfactory run length performance for any time‐varying sample sizes. The idea presented in this article can be applied to any effective control charts such as the exponentially weighted moving average or cumulative sum chart. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 625–636, 2013     

航炮对地攻击弹道研究

以Ｃ语言为工具,采用四阶龙格—库塔法（Ｒｕｎｇｅ－ｋｕｔａ）代替常用的近似解法,用逐步回归法代替常用的迭代法来计算和拟合弹丸的弹道问题,从而为机载计算机和机载平显计算弹丸弹道提供了一种新的、更精确、更具实时性的工作式