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Vendor‐managed revenue‐sharing arrangements are common in the newspaper and other industries. Under such arrangements, the supplier decides on the level of inventory while the retailer effectively operates under consignment, sharing the sales revenue with his supplier. We consider the case where the supplier is unable to predict demand, and must base her decisions on the retailer‐supplied probabilistic forecast for demand. We show that the retailer's best choice of a distribution to report to his supplier will not be the true demand distribution, but instead will be a degenerate distribution that surprisingly induces the supplier to provide the system‐optimal inventory quantity. (To maintain credibility, the retailer's reports of daily sales must then be consistent with his supplied forecast.) This result is robust under nonlinear production costs and nonlinear revenue‐sharing. However, if the retailer does not know the supplier's production cost, the forecast “improves” and could even be truthful. That, however, causes the supplier's order quantity to be suboptimal for the overall system. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007 相似文献
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本文用时间相关法计算了固体火箭发动机燃烧室─喷管亚跨声速流场数值解,控制方程用MacCormack二步显格式:边界点参数用物理边界条件和参考平面上的特征方程计算。计算表明,达到收敛的数值积分步数比纯喷管的跨声速计算要多得多。虽然喷管壁上和轴线上的马赫数分布与纯喷管计算类似,但喷管中的等马赫线分布与纯喷管计算的结果[3]相差较远。 相似文献
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通过对比分析近10年来的火灾统计数据,找出了近几年我国电气火灾发生和发展的特点及规律.根据电气火灾原因分布规律,发现电气线路火灾在电气火灾中占有最大比例;根据电线电缆火灾原因统计数据,分析出发生的电线电缆火灾中,外因引发重大火灾的概率和数量更大. 相似文献
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Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process
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Service systems such as call centers and hospital emergency rooms typically have strongly time‐varying arrival rates. Thus, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a natural model for the arrival process in a queueing model for performance analysis. Nevertheless, it is important to perform statistical tests with service system data to confirm that an NHPP is actually appropriate, as emphasized by Brown et al. [8]. They suggested a specific statistical test based on the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic after exploiting the conditional‐uniform (CU) property to transform the NHPP into a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1] and then performing a logarithmic transformation of the data. We investigate why it is important to perform the final data transformation and consider what form it should take. We conduct extensive simulation experiments to study the power of these alternative statistical tests. We conclude that the general approach of Brown et al. [8] is excellent, but that an alternative data transformation proposed by Lewis [22], drawing upon Durbin [10], produces a test of an NHPP test with consistently greater power. We also conclude that the KS test after the CU transformation, without any additional data transformation, tends to be best to test against alternative hypotheses that primarily differ from an NHPP only through stochastic and time dependence. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 66–90, 2014 相似文献
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针对高超声速乘波飞行器三维绕流流场,在基于LINUX+MPI系统的分布式并行计算平台上,并行求解了三维雷诺平均的N-S方程。并行数值方法采用的是有限体积方法(FVM)、OC-TVD差分格式、B-L代数湍流模型及流场分区的并行方法。计算结果表明,所采用的并行数值模拟方法能够求解包含强激波的流场,激波穿越区域边界时无断层、错位等通量不守恒的现象。并行计算效率高,8个处理机计算时的并行加速比达到了6 8。 相似文献
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针对定点FFT处理器精度不高的缺点,提出了浮点格式FFT处理器的FPGA硬件实现方案。详细阐述了FFT处理器的自定制浮点格式确定、算法选择和浮点加法实现等关键技术。该处理器已投入使用,工作性能稳定,系统时钟80MHz,完成1024点FFT IFFT运算只需64μs,误差小于-80dB。 相似文献