反辐射导弹攻击航母毁伤效能分析

针对某型航母建立了基于海平面的舰桥主桅坐标系,近似计算了一处雷达天线密集区各设备在该坐标系中的坐标,建立了某三维相扫描三坐标雷达、某目标捕获雷达、某对海雷达等典型雷达天线的数学模型,根据反辐射导弹战斗部的引爆点位置及破片模型解算了反辐射导弹对密集区典型目标的毁伤效能,以期对反辐射导弹攻击航母提供理论支持.     

一种空中目标的不确定性威胁程度预测模型

目标威胁预测是对空态势和威胁估计的重要内容.针对空中目标飞行控制的基本特点,建立了基于经验公式的空中目标不确定性位置预测模型,进一步推导了不确定性威胁概率预测的模型和实用算法.仿真结果证明了模型的有效性,可用于多类空中目标意图推理及威胁判断.     

炮兵雷达阵地选择仿真系统的设计与实现

虚拟现实技术是20世纪末发展起来的一项涉及众多学科的高新应用技术,主要针对在MultiGen Creator和Vega软件平台下开发三维仿真系统。针对目前炮兵雷达阵地选择虚拟仿真的需求,设计了炮兵雷达阵地选择仿真训练系统,介绍了仿真系统的组成及功能模块,论述了二维数字地图生成与显示、三维场景生成与显示、视景仿真的实现等关键技术,最后给出了仿真效果图。结果表明了仿真系统的可行性和实用性,极大地提高了训练效率和训练水平。     

SINS/CNS组合导航的导航星表构建方法

构建满足完备性、精简性和查询快速性的导航星表是实现捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统的重要前提和保证。以天文学中的Tycho-2星表作为导航星表的初始星表,对球矩形分区方法进行了改进,包括明确分区及子分区的划分方法,提出了备选导航星的选择策略。实验结果表明,采用改进型球矩形分区方法的备选导航星数量最多只占赤纬带法导航星的19.37%,仅占全天遍历法导航星的3.12%。因此,改进型球矩形分区方法更加精准,查询更快捷,更适用于捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统。     

Right Intention and the Ends of War

The jus ad bellum criterion of right intention (CRI) is a central guiding principle of just war theory. It asserts that a country’s resort to war is just only if that country resorts to war for the right reasons. However, there is significant confusion, and little consensus, about how to specify the CRI. We seek to clear up this confusion by evaluating several distinct ways of understanding the criterion. On one understanding, a state’s resort to war is just only if it plans to adhere to the principles of just war while achieving its just cause. We argue that the first understanding makes the CRI superfluous, because it can be subsumed under the probability of success criterion. On a second understanding, a resort to war is just only if a state’s motives, which explain its resort to war, are of the right kind. We argue that this second understanding of the CRI makes it a significant further obstacle to justifying war. However, this second understanding faces a possible infinite regress problem, which, left unresolved, leaves us without a plausible interpretation of the CRI. This constitutes a significant and novel reason for leaving the CRI out of the international law of armed conflict (LOAC).     

跟踪状态下雷达的隐身能力评价模型

为有效合理地评价雷达在战场上的隐身能力,采用功率、时域、空域及频域上的截获窗函数及其归一化结果,建立了完备的雷达隐身能力评价模型;针对组网雷达整体隐身能力,由单雷达隐身能力模型出发,提出了联合截获概率的评价模型。仿真结果表明,该单雷达模型可定量描述雷达隐身能力,依据此模型,可通过辐射控制,提高雷达隐身性能。对提高雷达生存能力领域的研究具有一定的参考价值。     

地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型研究

利用粒子群优化算法和最小二乘支持向量机,建立了地球静止轨道高能电子通量(1.8-3.5MeV)在线预测模型。针对粒子群优化算法,提出了一种新的粒子群多样性测度计算方法,有效改善了其早熟收敛现象;基于改进的粒子群优化算法优化最小二乘支持向量机的正则化参数和核参数;利用滑动时间窗口策略更新模型数据,设计变量选择触发机制以及模型的再学习机制实现模型的在线预测功能。[根据题目的调整,对摘要做了相应改动]通过对2000年电子通量监测数据和相关太阳风、地磁参数等实际数据进行提前1-3天的预测实验,表明了所建在线预测模型具有较高的预测性能,有一定的实用价值。     

Nonlinear pricing with consumer satiation

In various scenarios, consumers may become satiated with products, and the degree of satiation is directly associated with their prior experiences. Confronted with consumer satiation, the seller is unable to either identify consumers who have a higher likelihood of being satiated ex ante or distinguish satiated from non‐satiated consumers ex post. Therefore, the seller should address dynamic selling, valuation uncertainty, and quantity decisions, all of which are important operational issues. We consider a two‐period problem in which consumer types are influenced by their prior consumption experiences. Faced with these consumers, the seller intends to optimize quantities and adjust the prices of the products in each period to maximize revenue. We find that the seller may reduce ex ante production quantity as some consumers become satiated. Moreover, the ex ante quantity is first decreasing and then increasing with regard to the satiation rate. Furthermore, two‐period information asymmetries may provide a rationale for upward distortion in quantity when consumer preferences are highly sensitive to first‐period consumption. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 386–400, 2016     

信息熵与物元理论在某新型火炮技术阵地优选中的应用

针对某新型火炮武器系统的作战特点,运用数学理论探索其技术阵地的优选问题。提出并利用信息熵和物元理论相结合的优选方法,依据该型火炮技术阵地选择的主要因素,建立了该型火炮技术阵地优选的数学模型。并运用该模型,结合具体实例,对该型火炮的预选技术阵地进行了优选。与传统方法相比,该方法不仅计算简便、收敛快,而且考虑技术阵地选择的不确定因素充分,为辅助指挥员实现科学决策提供了参考。     

测向交叉定位法下的反舰导弹导引头捕捉率算法

影响导弹对目标的捕捉概率的误差由目标定位误差、射击准备误差和导弹自控终点散布误差等组成.分析了在测向交叉定位法下这些误差的特性,给出了等效计算公式,并根据导弹导引头的探测特性和导弹的运动,分析了目标捕捉区域的性质,给出了区域边界的计算公式.在此基础上,提出了新的反舰导弹导引头捕捉率算法,并对它进行了计算仿真.仿真结果验证了捕捉率算法的有效性.