基于马尔柯夫过程的武器系统目标分配问题决策分析

将防空作战中武器系统目标分配决策作为一个在动态随机系统中实现最优化的问题,并用马尔柯夫过程理论进行建模分析,提出新的算法并运用Matlab编程;通过对实行不同策略时武器系统长期平均效能的分析比较,指出在目标分配问题上仅靠原有的静态线性规划决策方法是不够的,还必须考虑动态随机对抗过程本身的特性.     

二阶矩模糊随机过程的均方极限

给出了二阶矩模糊随机过程均方极限的两种定义,证明了这两种定义的等价性,并讨论了二阶矩模糊随机过程均方极限的性质。     

液体火箭发动机非线性燃烧不稳定过程的并行仿真

采用计算燃烧学方法对火箭发动机非线性燃烧不稳定工作过程进行了并行数值模拟。气相控制方程组用欧拉坐标系下的Navier Stokes方程组描述 ,液相控制方程组在Lagrangian坐标系下进行描述。气、液两相作用通过方程组的源项互相耦合。编制了串行和并行程序 ,并在并行计算环境下进行了测试。从计算结果可以看出并行计算的效率较高。     

Designing a screening experiment for highly reliable products

Within a reasonable life‐testing time, how to improve the reliability of highly reliable products is one of the great challenges to today's manufacturers. By using a resolution III experiment together with degradation test, Tseng, Hamada, and Chiao (1995) presented an interesting case study of improving the reliability of fluorescent lamps. However, in conducting such an experiment, they did not address the problem of how to choose the optimal settings of variables, such as sample size, inspection frequency, and termination time for each run, which are influential to the correct identification of significant factors and the experimental cost. Assuming that the product's degradation paths satisfy Wiener processes, this paper proposes a systematic approach to the aforementioned problem. First, an intuitively appealing identification rule is proposed. Next, under the constraints of a minimum probability of correct decision and a maximum probability of incorrect decision of the proposed identification rule, the optimum test plan (including the determinations of inspection frequency, sample size, and termination time for each run) can be obtained by minimizing the total experimental cost. An example is provided to illustrate the proposed method. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 514–526, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10024     

On the availability of R out of N repairable systems

An R out of N repairable system consisting of N components and operates if at least R components are functioning. Repairable means that failed components are repaired, and upon repair completion they are as good as new. We derive formulas for the expected up‐time, expected down‐time, and the availability of the system, using Markov renewal processes. We assume that either the repair times of the components are generally distributed and the components' lifetimes are exponential or vice versa. The analysis is done for systems with either cold or warm stand‐by. Numerical examples are given for several life time and repair time distributions. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 483–498, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10025     

C4ISR系统信息融合模型研究

首先阐明了信息融合系统中的几个容易混淆的基本概念,介绍并分析了现有的几种信息融合系统模型及其优缺点.然后在分析C4ISR系统中信息融合处理特点的基础上,提出C4ISR系统动态信息融合的概念,并在此基础上提出一种C4ISR动态信息融合模型.最后简要介绍了基于该模型的C4ISR信息融合系统设计.     

理想气体绝热过程的微观实质

从分子动理论出发,建立理想气体绝热过程的微观模型,用麦克斯韦速度分布函数导出其过程方程.     

一种综合评估方法在军队院校教学工作评估中的应用

在分析军队院校教学工作评估特点的基础上,通过对几种典型评估方法的比较分析,结合该类评估的特点,提出了一种综合评估方法.最后,利用某次实际评估的数据进行了实例计算和分析,验证了这种综合评估方法的有效性.     

起步过程中离合器半接合点的试验研究

离合器接合过程半接合点的确定和控制参数的选取是提高自动变速车辆起步品质的关键。在试验的基础上 ,得出了离合器半接合点的变化特点 ,选择以离合器主、被动轴转速差Δnec作为控制参数使车辆的起步过程具有一定的自适应性。     

AHP及其在潜艇作战指挥上的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便的、实用的多准则决策分析方法.在对传统的AHP进行概述的基础上,针对其在实际应用中存在的问题,介绍了国内外几种经典的综合及改进的层次分析法,并建立了较为完备的潜艇作战指挥效能的评价体系和模糊综合评价模型,对潜艇的作战指挥效能进行了综合的定量分析和计算.最后展望了AHP在潜艇作战指挥上的应用前景,并对各种AHP进行了比较.