从部队视角看公安现役院校发展之路

公安现役院校是培养公安现役部队各类人才的重要基地,要走出一条符合时代特点和适应形势任务需要的科学发展之路,必须以科学发展观为指导,坚持与时俱进,在把握职责使命上要有新思路,在创新发展模式上要有新理念,在解决突出问题上要有新进展,从而有效提升教学质量和办学水平。     

论边防在中国和平崛起中的作用

中国的和平崛起是指中国以和平的方式崛起,但这并不意味着崛起会抛开以国防为依托。而边防是国防的有机组成部分,边防在维护国家领土完整和主权独立中扮演着非常重要的角色。试图根据边防的各种职能,分析边防在中国和平崛起中的具体作用。     

UKF在MEMS陀螺随机噪声补偿的应用

论述了MEMS陀螺静态随机噪声与动态随机噪声的特点;系统分析了无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF)的特点,将UKF用于MEMS陀螺随机噪声估计;针对MEMS陀螺静态噪声与动态噪声补偿用同一方法处理达不到一定性能的难题,提出了一种由阈值决策静态和动态滤波的工程方法;指出将时间序列用于建立随机噪声的数学模型的缺陷,指出欧美等使用的MEMS陀螺随机噪声补偿的优点与缺点.     

改革开放前毛泽东先行探索社会主义的经验教训——纪念毛泽东诞辰120周年

毛泽东早在20世纪50年代,就开始对适合中国国情的社会主义建设道路进行了一系列开创性探索。他基于中国经济文化落后的基本现状,对“什么是社会主义”、“如何建设和发展社会主义”等问题进行了艰苦探索,并提出许多富有创造性的思想。毛泽东探索的过程是极其艰辛的,其中既有成功的经验,也有失败的教训。今天总结这些经验教训,对于我们更好地坚持和发展中国特色社会主义,具有重大的历史意义和现实意义,同时这也是坚持贯彻习近平“两个不能否定”的基本要求。     

探火管灭火装置在电气设备火灾防控中的应用

针对电气设备火灾防控难度大的问题,分析了传统气体灭火系统在电气设备火灾防控中存在的缺陷,介绍了探火管灭火装置的基本构成,分析了在特定的电气设备火灾防控中,采用探火管灭火装置替代传统气体灭火系统的优势,并给出探火管灭火装置实际应用案例,探讨了探火管灭火装置的应用前景。     

国内生存分析在可靠性数据分析中的应用进展

针对可靠性数据分析中遇到的小样本、异总体、删失和截尾问题,引入现代统计学的重要分支——生存分析理论,分别从参数生存分析模型、非参数生存分析模型和半参数生存分析模型3个方面分析了国内生存分析在可靠性数据分析中的研究现状与应用进展。     

一种基于随机波形分段相位编码调制的反侦察技术

为了提高雷达的隐蔽性能,降低被截获的概率,通常有很多种手段。在波形设计上,常见的是采用低截获概率(LPI)雷达信号,但常规的LPI信号仍然是有规律的信号,提出了一种基于随机波形分段相位编码调制的技术,使得脉冲的波形具有噪声特征,有较强的伪装效果,从而大大降低截获概率,仿真表明,这种设计技术具有良好的性能。     

某越野火箭炮行驶垂向动态特性研究

以某型高机动越野火箭炮为研究对象,基于随机路面激励,应用多刚体系统动力学和柔性多体动力学的理论,建立该越野火箭炮刚柔耦合模型,研究其行驶垂向动力学特性。考虑了油气弹簧的非线性特性以及轮胎的作用,重点编写了B、C、D级路面的随机路面谱,进行不同车速下的行驶动力学仿真。结果表明,非线性的油气悬架系统能较好地减轻路面的垂向冲击。仿真得到的车炮动态响应特性曲线,为该高机动火箭炮的研制提供了有用的参考。     

Optimal replacement of continuously degrading systems in partially observed environments

Motivated by wind energy applications, we consider the problem of optimally replacing a stochastically degrading component that resides and operates in a partially observable environment. The component's rate of degradation is modulated by the stochastic environment process, and the component fails when it is accumulated degradation first reaches a fixed threshold. Assuming periodic inspection of the component, the objective is to minimize the long‐run average cost per unit time of performing preventive and reactive replacements for two distinct cases. The first case examines instantaneous replacements and fixed costs, while the second considers time‐consuming replacements and revenue losses accrued during periods of unavailability. Formulated and solved are mixed state space, partially observable Markov decision process models, both of which reveal the optimality of environment‐dependent threshold policies with respect to the component's cumulative degradation level. Additionally, it is shown that for each degradation value, a threshold policy with respect to the environment belief state is optimal if the environment alternates between two states. The threshold policies are illustrated by way of numerical examples using both synthetic and real wind turbine data. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 395–415, 2015     

Progressive Type‐II censoring and coherent systems

A new connection between the distribution of component failure times of a coherent system and (adaptive) progressively Type‐II censored order statistics is established. Utilizing this property, we develop inferential procedures when the data is given by all component failures until system failure in two scenarios: In the case of complete information, we assume that the failed component is also observed whereas in the case of incomplete information, we have only information about the failure times but not about the components which have failed. In the first setting, we show that inferential methods for adaptive progressively Type‐II censored data can directly be applied to the problem. For incomplete information, we face the problem that the corresponding censoring plan is not observed and that the available inferential procedures depend on the knowledge of the used censoring plan. To get estimates for distributional parameters, we propose maximum likelihood estimators which can be obtained by solving the likelihood equations directly or via an Expectation‐Maximization‐algorithm type procedure. For an exponential distribution, we discuss also a linear estimator to estimate the mean. Moreover, we establish exact distributions for some estimators in the exponential case which can be used, for example, to construct exact confidence intervals. The results are illustrated by a five component bridge system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 512–530, 2015