轨道优化实时计算的梯度投影下降算法--防空导弹轨道优化的实时计算方法之二

在防空导弹的发射过程中,需要在给定的响应时间内确定最优轨道,导弹沿此轨道在预定的时间飞达预测遭遇点.为了轨道优化的实时计算,构造了一类梯度投影下降算法,并且给出实际应用的具体步骤.对防空导弹运动的一个数学模型的数字仿真结果表明应用这些算法可以达到很高的控制精度.     

ANFIS网络在舰船维修费用预测中的应用

利用自适应模糊推理系统(ANFIS)的模糊推理能力和学习功能相结合的优点,运用于舰船维修费用预测中.分析了影响维修费用的因素,采用变量投影重要性分析方法(VIP)对影响因素进行评估和筛选,使用ANFIS网络建立模型.通过实际算例进行分析,用历史数据训练ANFIS网络,预测舰船维修费用,在数据样本量小的情况下,较一般神经网络精度有明显提高.     

极大单调算子零点的逼近问题

设H为实Hilbert空间,C为H的非空闭凸子集,T:C→2H为极大单调算子,假设S(T)={x∈H:0∈Tx}≠Φ。 xk∈H,βk>0,求 xk及ek满足( )　　xk+ek∈ xk+βkT( xk),‖ek‖≤ηk‖xk- xk‖, k≥0,其中,ηk≥0,supk>0ηk<1,βk≥β>0。设PC:H→C为H到C上的最近点投影算子,定义xk+1=PC( xk-ek),k≥0,证明了若T满足(S)型条件,则{xk}k≥0强收敛于T的某个零点。     

The effect of al particle size on thermal decomposition,mechanical strength and sensitivity of Al/ZrH2/PTFE composite

To study the thermal decomposition of Al/ZrH2/PTFE with different Al particle size as well as mechanical strength and impact sensitivity under medium and low strain rates, molding-vacuum sintering was adopted to prepare four groups of power materials and cylindrical specimens with different Al particle size. The active decomposition temperature of ZrH2 was obtained by TG-DSC, and the quasi-static me-chanics/reaction characteristics as well as the impact sensitivity of the specimen were studied respec-tively by quasi-static compression and drop-hammer test. The results show that the yield strength of the material decreased with the increase of the Al particle size, while the compressive strength, failure strain and toughness increased first and then decreased, which reached the maximum values of 116.61 MPa, 191％, and 119.9 MJ/m respectively when the Al particle size is 12—14μm because of particle size grading. The specimens with the highest strength and toughness formed circumferential open cracks and reacted partly when pressed. Those with developmental cracks formed inside did not react. It is considered that fracture of specimens first triggered initial reaction between Al and PTFE to release an amount of heat. Then ZrH2 was activated and decomposed, and participated in subsequent reaction to generate ZrC. The impact sensitivity of the specimens decreased with the increase of Al particle size.     

一种基于Q-R矩阵分解的自适应滤波算法

由于计算误差等因素的影响,致使滤波协方差阵不对称或负定,从而导致滤波器发散,影响滤波算法的收敛速度和稳定性。在机动加速度"当前"统计自适应卡尔曼滤波算法的基础上,引入了基于Q-R矩阵分解的自适应卡尔曼滤波算法。将协方差阵分解为两个矩阵的乘积,来保证协方差矩阵的正定性。仿真结果表明,该算法可以较好地跟踪机动目标,具有精度高、稳定好、收敛快等特点。     

给定任务和模式下指挥体系节点重要性评估方法

针对一般节点重要度评估方法没有考虑指挥体系网络与外界的交互以及自身运行机制的问题,研究了指挥节点的重要度评估方法,在一般网络结构重要度分析基础上,综合作战任务和指挥模式对节点的需求,提出了作战任务对节点依赖度以及指挥模式对节点依赖度的计算方法,最后设计了评估算法并给出具体算法流程,案例分析结果证明该算法合理、有效。     

舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测方法

按照是否与任务、事件相关,将物资需求分为两类,对于任务、事件相关物资需求的预测,将任务进行合理的分解,并根据物资消耗与任务、事件之间的关系,给出了预测的一般模型;对于与任务、事件联系不紧密的物资需求的预测,则根据历史经验及该物资固有的消耗规律,提出了经验预测模型。为了解决舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测所存在的问题,利用案例推理的方法生成了预测所需的样本数据,以最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型为预测模型,并以岛屿进攻作战的防空弹药需求预测为例进行了实例分析。结果表明:案例推理生成的样本数据可用,选用LSSVM模型的预测结果与其他预测模型表现出了一致性,但LSSVM相对误差较小;该方法在某种程度上解决了样本数据有限的问题,适用于作战物资需求的预测问题。     

Preparation of ammonium nitrate-based solid composite propellants supplemented with polyurethane/nitrocellulose blends binder and their thermal decomposition behavior

To improve the performance of solid composite propellants (SCPs) supplemented with ammonium nitrate (AN) as an oxidizer, the incorporation of energetic ingredients such as explosives, energetic binders or catalysts is a common effective approach. For this purpose, polyurethane (PU), a typical inert binder, was mixed with nitrocellulose (NC) as an energetic polymer. Numerous composite solid propellant compositions based on AN and NC-modified polyurethane binder with different NC ratios were prepared. The prepared formulations were characterized using Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), RAMAN spectroscopy, X-ray diffraction (XRD), electron densimetry, thermogravimetric (TG) analysis, and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). A kinetic study was then performed using the iterative Kissinger-Akahira-Sunose (It-KAS), Flynn-Wall-Ozawa (It-FWO), and non-linear Vyazovkin integral with compensation effect (VYA/CE) methods. The theoretical performances, such as theoretical specific impulse, adiabatic flame temperature, and ideal exhaust gaseous species, were also determined using the NASA Lewis Code, Chemical Equilibrium with Application (CEA). Spectroscopic examinations revealed the existence of NC and full polymerization of PU in the prepared propellants. According to density tests, the density of the propellant increases as the nitrocellulose component increases. According to the thermal analysis and kinetics study, the increase in NC content catalyzed the thermal decomposition of the AN-based composite solid propellants. Based on the theoretical study, increasing the amount of NC in the propellant increased the specific impulse and, as a result, the overall performance.     

基于AP-DE算法动态迭代步长的研究

为了促进自适应滤波器的滤波性能,建立了一种变步长的基于直接迭代误差AP-DE算法。通过使得权值均方误差下降速度最大,获得了AP-DE算法的优化迭代步长,并分析了所建立算法权值均方误差的统计特性。     

美国精确打击历史回溯

美智库机构战略与预算评估中心(CSBA)高级研究员巴里·瓦茨(Darry D.Watts)2013年发表的《精确打击的演化发展》报告,对美国海湾战争以来的军事革命进行了详尽的分析。报告提出了区分远程与近程精确打击的参考标准,详细介绍了美国20世纪军事革命中精确打击能力和作战趋势形成的背景和过程,分析了精确打击弹药采购的资源制约因素,评价了美国在成熟精确打击体制中全球力量投送面临的风险和挑战,希望美国及时做出相应的调整和变革。《精确打击的演化发展》报告对理解精确打击时代的美国军事革命有较大帮助,对美国未来几十年的新的军队结构和能力发展趋势可能具有重要参考价值。