电子作战目标威胁评估方法初探

为了对电子作战目标进行威胁评估,主要立足于电子战环境,分析了电子作战目标威胁评估的内容与作用,并系统深入地研究了当前常用的目标威胁评估方法,对判断敌情及电子对抗作战指挥具有一定的指导意义。     

A chessboard model of the U‐boat war in the Atlantic with applications to signals intelligence

This paper uses a simple Monte Carlo model to analyze the influence of signals intelligence on the Second World War's Battle of the Atlantic. The principle measure of effectiveness is the number of U‐boat days of attack to which convoys were subjected. A secondary measure is the number of convoyed ships sunk. The model is validated against historical data and then used to explore the effectiveness of the two sides' signals intelligence. Allied use of signals intelligence is shown to have been capable of completely offsetting German use of signals intelligence, and then some. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

关于公共消防安全管理学科建设和专业设置的思考

公共安全问题,已经成为影响我国经济发展和社会稳定的主要问题之一,并已引起社会的广泛关注。公共安全管理正在作为一个学科和人才培养专业发展起来。消防安全是公共安全的主要内容之一,以消除火灾危害为主要目的的公共消防安全管理,既有公共安全管理的共性问题,也有自己独特的问题。公共消防安全管理与现有的消防指挥学科、消防工程学科有较大的区别,是后两者不能取代和涵盖的。因此,完善公共消防安全管理学科建设,设立公共消防安全管理专业非常必要。本文分析了我国消防学历教育中专业设置和课程设置所存在的问题,提出设置公共消防安全管理专业的必要性和重要性,并对公共消防安全管理学科建设提出了建设性意见。     

“三个代表”重要思想与舆论导向

“三个代表”重要思想是全面建设中国特色社会主义的纲领,也是统领新闻工作的指导思想和选择新闻的重要标准。作为新时期的新闻工作者,只有从“三个代表”的高度自觉把握新闻宣传的正确舆论导向,与时俱进,开拓创新,才能使新闻事业永葆生机和活力。     

Abd el-Krim's guerrilla war against Spain and France in North Africa: An adventure setting for screen melodramas

The Riffian rebel leader Mohammed Abd el-Krim Al-Khattabi (1882–1963) became an important early guerrilla leader by successfully initiating extensively organized resistance in the Moroccan Rif against Spanish and French imperial power in the early 1920s. The Rif War triggered a wave of adventure films since the 1930s. This article will look at some of these, especially Sergeant Klems (1971) and The Wind and the Lion (1975), and suggest that they can be seen in terms of the wider impact of screen Orientalism derived from the iconic film Lawrence of Arabia (1962) directed by David Lean. The article will show that these films promoted what it terms a colonial gaze by underlining many stereotyped cinematic clichés relating to the Islamic cultural area and Abd el-Krim's revolt that stretch back to the early history of cinema.     

对公安边防工作执法为民的思考

本文对当前公安边防部队执勤执法中存在的问题及原因进行了剖析,提出要全面理解执法为民在公安边防工作中的具体内涵和要求,牢固树立“四个意识”,以求真务实的态度和勇于开拓的精神狠抓队伍建设,围绕“三个有利于”,找准公安边防工作的着力点,加强勤务规范化建设和执勤执法监督以及落实从优待警措施,不断改进公安边防工作,使执法为民的宗旨真正落到实处。     

经济利益与行政控权

作为一种公共权力 ,行政权只能用于公共事业 ,只服务于公众利益 ,而不能有私利。在行政法学中遵循行政权力与经济利益相分离的原则 ,杜绝部门立法 ,完善公司法 ,清理行政性公司 ,建立公务员财产申报制度是控制行政权的良策     

烟幕--信息战的"坚盾"

针对信息成为重要战争资源及信息对抗贯穿始终的特点,介绍了烟幕干扰激光、红外、雷达、卫星以及复合干扰、扰乱心理等作用,阐述了点目标防护、野战防空和攻势迷盲等战术应用,展望了烟幕技术的发展趋势.     

网络舆情中一种基于OLDA的在线话题演化方法

研究网络舆情分析中话题演化方法.首先分析网络舆情信息的特点;在此基础上,建立网络舆情信息模型,基于话题模型抽象描述文本内容的隐含语义,进而建立文本流在时间序列上的关联模型;进一步,提出基于OLDA的话题演化方法,针对舆情信息的特点,建立不同时间片话题间的关联.实验结果表明,该方法能够有效检测话题演化,为网络舆情分析提供了有效途径.     

A standardized scan statistic for detecting spatial clusters with estimated parameters

The scan statistic based on likelihood ratios (LRs) have been widely discussed for detecting spatial clusters. When developing the scan statistic, it uses the maximum likelihood estimates of the incidence rates inside and outside candidate clusters to substitute the true values in the LR statistic. However, the parameter estimation has a significant impact on the sensitivity of the scan statistic, which favors the detection of clusters in areas with large population sizes. By presenting the effects of parameter estimation on Kulldorff's scan statistic, we suggest a standardized scan statistic for spatial cluster detection. Compared to the traditional scan statistic, the standardized scan statistic can account for the varying mean and variance of the LR statistic due to inhomogeneous background population sizes. Extensive simulations have been performed to compare the power of the two cluster detection methods with known or/and estimated parameters. The simulation results show that the standardization can help alleviate the effects of parameter estimation and improve the detection of localized clusters. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012