弹药库防静电方法研究

根据弹药库静电危险场所的分类等级,以形成静电危害的3个基本条件为依据,讨论了弹药库防静电危害常用措施:设施设备静电接地、防静电工作台、人体静电防护、铺设导电(或防静电)地面以及各自防静电要求.这些措施为防止和消除弹药库的静电危害提供了根本保障.     

美国2014年《四年防务评估报告》特点

2014年3月4日,美国国防部向国会提交了2014年版《四年防务评估报告》和《2015财年国防预算报告》。《四年防务评估报告》更新了再平衡战略,为美军建设提出了优先发展方向,要求美军联合部队向“更小型化”转型,以满足未来军事行动需求。     

一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型

研究一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型,得到了模型的基本再生数.通过线性化的方法,运用LaSalle-Lyapunov定理,证明当基本再生数R01时,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;通过迭代的方法,证明当基本再生数R01时,地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的.     

储存喷气燃料中特征真菌的鉴定与生长特性

使用沙保氏平板培养基对储存喷气燃料进行真菌培养,并在沙保氏液体培养基中纯化特征真菌,观察特征真菌菌落及孢子形态,进行形态学初步鉴定。对特征真菌进行18S rDNA测序,将得到的DNA序列在美国国立生物技术信息中心网站上进行比对,最终鉴定储存喷气燃料中的特征真菌为芽枝霉属Amorphotheca resinae真菌。建立起燃料-水-菌落体系,在不同水质量分数、氧气体积分数和温度条件,研究Amorphotheca resinae真菌在燃料中的生长特性,并用颗粒计数器检测不同代谢速度下燃料颗粒污染度的变化。结果表明,较低的水质量分数、氧气体积分数和温度均能抑制Amorphotheca resinae真菌生长,从而抑制由真菌代谢引起的喷气燃料颗粒污染度变化,提高燃料洁净度。     

T型分支坑道对油气爆炸传播特性的影响

为研究T型分支坑道对油气爆炸传播特性的影响,通过对比实验,测定了相同初始条件下T型分支坑道和直坑道中油气混合物爆炸的火焰传播速度和爆炸波超压值。利用高速摄影仪,记录了火焰传播至T型分支坑道时的火焰阵面变化情况,并对T型分支坑道中油气混合物爆炸的传播情况进行了理论分析。结果表明：T型分支坑道对油气混合物爆炸的影响可以视为面积突扩和障碍物扰动双重作用的影响;火焰经过支坑道时,火焰阵面发生扭曲并产生皱褶,表面积增大导致火焰传播速度增大;T型分支坑道处,大量反射波和绕射波进入波后反应区,加强了气流湍流强度,并推动已燃气体回传,迅速提高了燃烧反应速度和能量释放率,起到了增大火焰传播速度和爆炸波超压值的作用。     

Sequential learning versus no learning in Bayesian regression models

We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014     

The sixteenth-century antecedents of special operations ‘small war’

The first conceptual, theoretical treatises about small war (la petite guerre) as special operations appeared only from the middle of the seventeenth century. The term is not used in the eighteenth-century sense of ‘special operations’ in older sources. The supposed absence of any treatment of the subject is surprising considering the obsession with the ‘art of war’ in the Renaissance, but other authors attribute it to a supposed antinomy between chivalric ideals and irregular warfare. But the absence of explicit manuals on the subject is not evidence of absence of advanced reflection on this kind of operations in the Middle Ages and in Early Modern times. We should thus look elsewhere, in other genres, for writings that contain and pass on military knowledge. Epics, romances, educational and military treatises, and memoirs in fact contain elements of a theory of special operations, even though these genres differ from our conception of rationality inherited from the Enlightenment.     

Guerrillas and bandits in the Serranía de Ronda, 1810–1812

The Spanish Guerrilla (1808–1812) which has given its name to ideologically motivated insurgencies is usually portrayed as a patriotic uprising against the French occupation forces of Napoleon. It was that, in part, but also many other things besides. This case study illustrates its overlap and convergence with banditry but also with social unrest turned into uprisings directed by poor Spaniards against their creditors, as in the storming of Ronda by insurgents in 1810. From the propaganda of the day to the subsequent Spanish patriotic historiography, there has been a tendency to exaggerate the amplitude of events and also the damage that was done to the French forces and the casualty figures inflicted on them.     

室内火灾旋转火焰影响因素试验研究

在小尺寸试验中重现了火灾火焰的旋转现象,并在没有外部鼓风的情况下,实现了旋转火焰自发产生。对室内火灾的旋转火焰现象进行了描述,得出旋转火焰具有自旋、根部变细、焰柱增长和旋转中心飘移等特征。并进一步分析了房间结构变化对室内火灾旋转火焰火灾危险性的影响,得出随着燃烧池面积的增大、门宽的减小及门高的降低,旋转火焰均呈增强趋势,而随着顶棚开口面积的增大,旋转火焰先增大后减小。     

添加剂对煤燃烧特性影响的试验研究

为研究煤中所含矿物质对煤自燃性能的影响,利用热重分析法、差示扫描量热法,对煤及煤与5种添加剂的混合样品的燃烧特性进行了试验研究,试验结果表明5种添加剂对煤的自燃特性、燃烧动力学参数都有影响,尤其是硫酸铜、硫、硫酸铝显著降低煤的表观活化能,对煤的燃烧起到催化作用;硫酸亚铁因含有结晶水,540℃以后发生脱水分解吸热,对煤的燃烧起到阻燃作用,而持续15 min后开始放热,催化促进煤的燃烧;硫化亚铁从540℃开始发生氧化反应,对煤的燃烧起到促进作用。