着色Petri网的装备维修工艺建模

通过对装备维修工艺过程及其特点的分析,确定了基于Petri网建模方法的维修工艺优化过程模型。首先依据基本的维修拆卸规则和Petri网建模规则建立了工序Petri网模型,在此基础上以维修人员和通用维修机、工具为主要资源约束建立了维修工艺过程CPN模型。最后,通过装甲装备某部件维修的工艺过程仿真及数据分析确定了该建模方法的有效性和实用性。CPN较好地描述了装备维修工艺过程中的选择、冲突等事件,对指导维修工艺实践和工艺优化起到了积极的作用。     

含万向铰偏斜轴系的过渡过程横扭耦合振动特性

为提供船艇推进、火炮、航空动力及传动装置机械设计的理论分析基础,建立了加速度冲击下含万向铰偏斜轴系横扭耦合振动模型,揭示了轴系的过渡过程横扭耦合振动特性。将从动轴视为弯曲刚性、扭转柔性的轴,用投影平面上动态偏斜角表示轴系横向振动,用拉格朗日方程推导了万向铰轴系过渡过程横扭耦合三自由度振动微分方程,结合振动响应仿真给出了加速度和系统参数对轴系过渡过程横扭耦合振动特性的影响规律。结果表明:负载转矩增大和刚度不对称性减小导致耦合振动系统颤振失稳区增大;在超谐共振区内,加速度增大对过渡过程系统振动起稳定作用,转矩、刚度和偏斜角增大导致过渡过程系统振动失稳区域变大。     

国外经典核爆炸放射性沉降模式概述

介绍了国外经典的核爆炸放射性沉降模式,包含了DELFIC、WSEG系列、KDFOC系列、SEER系列、DNAF系列和EM-1。同时列举了各种模式在主要物理过程中的区别,包括了云的初始化、粒子分布、沉降机制,放射性活度和剂量率的转化、放射性衰变和传输过程。最后简述了目前核爆炸放射性沉降模式研究的发展趋势。     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

System reliability based on diffusion models for fatigue crack growth

Diffusion processes are commonly used to describe the dynamics of complex systems arising in a wide range of application fields. In this paper we propose, on the basis of diffusion processes, two models concerned with the stochastic behavior of fatigue cracks in a system. They are then used to get the distribution of the failure time, the first time the crack size of at least one of the cracks exceeds a given value. Several properties of our proposed models are presented, and the unknown parameters are estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. From these an estimate of failure time distribution is obtained. In this part, contrary to common practice, we do not assume availability of failure data. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Properties of the geometric and related processes

Some properties of the geometric process are studied along with those of a related process which we propose to call the α‐series process. It is shown that the expected number of counts at an arbitrary time does not exist for the decreasing geometric process. The decreasing version of the α‐series process does have a finite expected number of counts, under certain conditions. This process also has the same advantages of tractability as the geometric process; it exhibits some properties which may make it a useful complement to the increasing geometric process. In addition, it may be fit to observed data as easily as the geometric process. Applications in reliability and stochastic scheduling are considered in order to demonstrate the versatility of the alternative model. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统开发研究

随着反导防御系统的发展,弹道导弹突防将受到更大的威胁。HLA以其可重用性、互操作性好的特点,逐渐成为仿真的主流体系结构。介绍了HLA的系统组成和联邦开发的过程,提出了一个基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统仿真框架,为后续的仿真系统开发奠定了必要的基础。     

Fuzzy-AHP法在潜射巡航导弹命中概率分析中的应用

为准确评价潜射巡航导弹的命中概率,对影响命中概率的因素进行了具体分析,建立了潜射巡航导弹命中概率综合评价的指标体系.应用模糊综合评判及层次分析法,给出了综合评价的数学模型.对算例的仿真计算,得出了较为可信的结果.结果表明应用此方法,可以更准确的对潜射巡航导弹的命中概率进行评估,为潜射巡航导弹的研发及使用保障提供决策参考.     

虚拟加工过程的建模与仿真

提出并建立了虚拟加工过程来对实际加工状况进行仿真，从而在零件正式生产之前就能预见和评估其加工过程中可能出现的问题，并加以解决。文中还介绍了虚拟加工过程的结构、建模技术和仿真过程。     

基于地形差分矩的 TERCOM 地图性能估计

提出了一种非平稳地形中TERCOM地图匹配性能的估计方法。首先利用地形差分过程研究相关匹配算法度量值的统计特性 ,获得度量值的均值和方差关于地形差分矩的解析表达。然后讨论度量值统计特性与局部匹配搜索截获概率的关系 ,建议用地形差分矩和局部搜索截获概率作为TERCOM地图匹配性能的估计。通过对实际地形的试验 ,说明基于地形差分矩的匹配性能估计方法是有效的。