Military expenditure and economic growth in Middle Eastern countries and Turkey: a non-linear panel data approach

The economic growth effects of military expenditure have been the subject of a large literature in defence economics. Theories on the economic impacts of military expenditure greatly differ and include arguments that they either enhance economic growth or crowd out productive investments. Empirical literature on defence expenditure and economic growth nexus generally employs linear specifications to investigate the impact of defence expenditures on economic growth. Although it is now well established that many economic variables may have a non-linear data-generating mechanism, it seems that this reality has long been neglected in empirical work on defence–growth nexus. This paper attempts to fill this gap by employing non-linear panel data models to examine the effects of military expenditures on economic growth for Middle Eastern countries and Turkey, for the time period 1988–2012. Results show that the effect of military expenditure on economic growth is nonlinear such that the state of the economy actually determines the effect of the former on the latter. This is important not only in showing asymmetric relationship between these variables but also in revealing the reasons of mixed results of earlier literature.     

军事领域“大数据”研究

学术界对于大数据相关问题的研究,从2009年大数据之初就已经开始。目前军事领域对大数据的研究逐步深入,主要围绕大数据对军事领域的影响及挑战、大数据技术在军事领域中的应用等展开,呈现出重点突出、角度多样、不断细化等特征,但在研究的系统性和全面性上还存在一些不足,这些不足将成为进一步拓展和深化研究的重点。     

防空C3I雷达情报网数据融合算法的研究

传统 C3I系统的数据融合算法运算量大 ,融合精度不高。根据我国防空 C3I系统的现状 ,提出了一种新的基于神经网络的防空 C3I系统数据融合算法。由于神经网络是全并行工作 ,所以此算法具有处理速度快、精度高等优点。仿真结果表明 ,航迹交接算法和航迹融合算法的性能都比较好 ,对真实雷达网数据融合有很好的参考价值     

数据并行程序设计语言中分布数组的地址计算

本文讨论了在大规模并行计算机上实现数据并行程序设计语言的关键问题──分布数组的地址计算问题。文中详细给出了维分布数组的下标地址计算公式,分布数组的内情向量结构以及分布数组映射函数算法,并对有关编译实现技术进行了探讨。     

信息融合系统中的态势预测技术

态势预测主要解决态势间断后如何更新态势以及态势推断问题。根据战场上兵力都是按一定的规则部署和聚集的特点 ,采用群技术将整个战场态势划分成多个态势元素 ,同时结合模板技术和军事专家建议 ,利用战争前和战争期间所获得的各类信息 ,对战场态势进行预测     

Bayesian inference based on partial monitoring of components with applications to preventive system maintenance

Consider a binary, monotone system of n components. The assessment of the parameter vector, θ, of the joint distribution of the lifetimes of the components and hence of the reliability of the system is often difficult due to scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. For instance, prior knowledge is often of importance and can indeed conveniently be incorporated by the Bayesian approach. It may also be important to continuously extract information from a system currently in operation. This may be useful both for decisions concerning the system in operation as well as for decisions improving the components or changing the design of similar new systems. As in Meilijson [12], life‐monitoring of some components and conditional life‐monitoring of some others is considered. In addition to data arising from this monitoring scheme, so‐called autopsy data are observed, if not censored. The probabilistic structure underlying this kind of data is described, and basic likelihood formulae are arrived at. A thorough discussion of an important aspect of this probabilistic structure, the inspection strategy, is given. Based on a version of this strategy a procedure for preventive system maintenance is developed and a detailed application to a network system presented. All the way a Bayesian approach to estimation of θ is applied. For the special case where components are conditionally independent given θ with exponentially distributed lifetimes it is shown that the weighted sum of products of generalized gamma distributions, as introduced in Gåsemyr and Natvig [7], is the conjugate prior for θ. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 551–577, 2001.     

Applying Lanchester's linear law to model the Ardennes campaign

In modern warfare, many believe the decisive factor in winning a battle is seizing the right moment to shift from defense to attack, or vice versa. This paper attempts to bring that perspective to Lanchester's differential equations of warfare, and continues the application of Lanchester's linear law to the analysis of the World War II battle of Ardennes, as reported in earlier issues of Naval Research Logistics by Bracken and by Fricker. A new variable, shift time, accounting for the timing of the shift between defense and attack is explicitly included in our version of the model, and it helps obtain improved goodness of fit to historical data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:653–661, 2001     

自适应数据融合算法

以防空导弹指控系统作战单位为背景,通过对现有经典算法及工程化算法的分析,结合专家经验,提出了基于算法间联系的工程化自适应数据融合算法.对自适应算法的思想、规则集、算法库、推理组成和算法的实现作了详细的描述.     

D-S证据论在空中目标分类中的应用

首先叙述识别、分类空中目标时需使用多传感器融合技术,分析可利用的各类传感器和从其可得到的各种目标属性参数,以及各种数据融合方法.然后详细介绍了基于D-S证据论的3种多源信息融合分类空中目标方法,并对具体仿真应用结果作了比较.     

基于多通道通信技术的高速数据采集器的研制

主要介绍应用多通道通信技术开发研制的高速数据采集器的功能特点 ,对实际研制和使用中的几个关键技术进行了较详细的分析讨论 .应用于流场测试试验的结果表明 ,该系统速度快、稳定性好、功能齐全且自动化程度高 .该系统具有的高精度非常适合于流场测试 ,能确保测试的准确性