基于模糊层次分析法的面粉厂粉尘爆炸危险性评价

根据面粉企业生产特点,应用层次分析法的原理,建立了粉尘爆炸危险性评价的层次结构模型及判断矩阵,从而确定影响粉尘爆炸事故发生的相关因素重要性排序;然后再运用模糊综合评价方法对粉尘爆炸危险性进行评价,最终确定面粉厂的安全状况。实例研究表明：该方法具有较好的可操作性,对预防面粉企业发生粉尘爆炸事故提供了一种有益的思路。     

当前社区消防工作存在问题及解决对策

首先介绍社区消防工作的现状及搞好社区消防工作的重要性;然后从规划设计不健全、总体布局不合理,政府干预严重、消防设施缺乏,管理混乱、制度不健全,管理标准不一、要求不严,社区内安全疏散系统不完善五个方面分析了社区消防工作存在的突出问题;最后有针对性地从搞好消防规划,严把建筑工程审核验收关,提高居民消防安全意识,定期开展消防安全检查、及时消除火灾隐患,建章立制、狠抓落实五个方面提出解决的方法。     

有顶商业步行街消防设计研究

根据我国有顶步行商业街建筑或建筑群的建设和使用现状,研究有顶步行商业街的实际火灾危险性,针对防火设计方面存在的难点,对平面布置、顶棚构件、防火分隔、消防设施等设计要求进行了分析研究,并提出了防火设计措施。     

论大型客车火灾危险性及其技术防范措施

近年来,汽车火灾形势日益严峻,严重威胁着人们的生命财产安全。因此,如何对大型客车火灾进行有效地风险防范,最大限度减少人员的伤亡和财产的损失有着非常重要的现实意义。针对大型客车自身结构的特点进行研究,就如何通过技术手段提高大型客车防火性能提出看法。     

基于Copula方法的含交易方违约的信用违约互换定价

本文讨论了含交易方违约的信用违约互换定价问题,应用无套利原理得到了模型的价格,文章采用蒙特卡洛方法对模型进行了数值模拟,讨论了模型的价格与合约期限以及公司违约相关系数的关系。     

基于案件模糊推理的试验装备采办风险控制研究

如何运用科学的手段选择正确的风险控制策略,是试验装备采办风险控制是否成功的关键和基础。针对试验装备采办风险控制进行了研究,分析了试验装备采办风险控制策略,建立了基于案例模糊推理的试验装备采办风险策略选择模型,研究结论有利于更好地识别和规避试验装备采办风险,提高试验装备采办效率。     

基于三角白化权函数的武器装备研制项目技术风险评估

针对武器装备研制项目技术风险评估问题,利用灰色理论中的三角白化权函数,建立了武器装备研制项目技术风险评估模型。最后,结合实例验证说明了该模型的可行性,在同类问题中亦具有一定的参考使用价值。     

土质隧洞围岩稳定性分析与设计计算方法探讨

论述了以洞周位移量与围岩塑性区大小作为围岩稳定性经验判据的不足,依靠模型试验与力学计算,分析了隧洞破坏机理与形式。由此提出将基于有限元强度折减法求出的围岩安全系数作为稳定分析判据,这种判据有严格的力学依据,有统一的标准,而且不受其他因素的影响。研究了隧洞围岩安全系数（剪切安全系数、拉裂安全系数）与衬砌安全系数的算法以及隧洞设计计算方法。最后以黄土洞室为例,给出了土体隧洞设计计算新方法,并对土体隧洞今后的研究方向提出了几点展望。     

Disaster management in case of CBRNe events: an innovative methodology to improve the safety knowledge of advisors and first responders

Nowadays, Chemical-Biological-Radiological-Nuclear-explosive (CBRNe) risks are one of the world's main safety concerns. The radiological disasters of Fukushima and Chernobyl, the chemical events of Seveso or the release of Sarin in the Tokyo Subway, the biological emergencies such as the H1N1 flu or the recent Ebola outbreak, and recent news about the availability of non-conventional weapons acquired by fundamentalist organisations represent evidence of potential future threats. CBRNe risks are a real and global threat. The University of Rome, Tor Vergata, in collaboration with the most important Italian and international bodies working in the field of CBRNe safety and security, and supported by the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation and the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, organises International Masters Courses on the Protection against CBRNe events. Within this framework, a Table-Top Exercise was planned, in collaboration with the Italian Ministry of Interior and Ministry of Defence. The scenario, the logistic organisation, on-going adjustments during the exercise and the outcomes are presented here and analysed.     

Capacity investment decisions under risk aversion

This article studies the optimal capacity investment problem for a risk‐averse decision maker. The capacity can be either purchased or salvaged, whereas both involve a fixed cost and a proportional cost/revenue. We incorporate risk preference and use a consumption model to capture the decision maker's risk sensitivity in a multiperiod capacity investment model. We show that, in each period, capacity and consumption decisions can be separately determined. In addition, we characterize the structure of the optimal capacity strategy. When the parameters are stationary, we present certain conditions under which the optimal capacity strategy could be easily characterized by a static two‐sided (s, S) policy, whereby, the capacity is determined only at the beginning of period one, and held constant during the entire planning horizon. It is purchased up to B when the initial capacity is below b, salvaged down to Σ when it is above σ, and remains constant otherwise. Numerical tests are presented to investigate the impact of demand volatility on the optimal capacity strategy. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 218–235, 2016