边境安全风险评估矩阵模型构建研究

提出边境安全风险和边境安全风险评估的概念。围绕边境安全风险状态和边境安全风险类型两个维度构建边境安全风险评估的矩阵模型。其中,边境安全风险状态维度包括边境安全风险源活跃度、边境安全风险源聚集度、边境安全风险供应链成熟度、边境安全风险源异常度;边境安全风险类型包括外生型边境安全风险、内生型边境安全风险、网络型边境安全风险、跨境型边境安全风险。并论述了边境安全风险评估矩阵模型的应用。     

边检执勤执法风险评估制度的实践反思及理论建构

边检执勤执法风险评估是理论研究缺失下的制度实践,为避免出现“形式化”、“走过场”的弊病,亟须对其进行系统反思,并对风险评估制度的基本范畴、合理根基、合法来源、体系构成及目前实践中存在的问题以及改进的空间进行研究,在理论上构建并完善边检执勤执法风险评估制度,以进一步指导和完善边检机关风险评估工作实践。     

棕垫材料火灾危险性的热解动力学研究

利用热重分析仪,通过空气与氮气下棕垫材料的对比试验,建立热解表观动力学模型,对棕垫材料的火灾危险性进行分析。通过对试验数据的分析表明,在空气气氛下,棕垫材料第一步失重阶段热解表观动力学模型较好地符合相界反应球形对称模型,第二步与第三步失重阶段较好地符合二级反应模型,活化能范围为32.42-59.09 kJ·mol^-1;在氮气气氛下,棕垫第一步失重阶段较好地符合二级反应模型,第二步失重阶段较好地符合零级反应模型,活化能范围为56.92-72.56 kJ·mol^-1。对比分析其他室内材料的燃烧属性表明,棕垫材料活化能较低、热稳定性差。说明棕垫材料是一种易燃烧物质,火灾危险性较大。     

Unemployed youth: ‘time bombs’ or engines for growth?

While popular narratives about success in South Africa focus on individual effort, accidents of birth continue to determine life prospects. Inequalities in early childhood development, health, and education narrow the range of possibilities that young people have available to them, and this impacts on their risk appetite, including, through the workings of the maturing brain, a propensity to violence, substance abuse, and unsafe sex. New technology offers young people an unprecedented ability to organise and network. This fact, combined with high levels of youth dissatisfaction, unemployment, and marginalisation, leads many to worry that the young are “ticking time bombs”. While there certainly are risks, great unused pools of youth labour also present an opportunity for engaging them in social advancement programmes. Structured youth service is a tried and tested policy option that, when implemented as part of an integrated youth development strategy, can enlist thousands of young people in devoting their considerable energies to leadership for the public good.     

基于单应轨迹的视频实时稳像算法

针对视频稳像中实时任务的需求特点,提出一种基于单应轨迹的视频稳像算法。估计序列图像帧间的单应变换,并将该变换作用于图像窗口的4个角点,从而对每帧图像产生4个短的单应轨迹以代表视频短时间内的运动。利用关联卡尔曼滤波器以一种连续方式对不同帧的单应轨迹进行平滑。对图像合成采用包括性和相似约束以提高结果视频的可观性质量。该算法以在线方式工作,消除了缓存输入图像帧导致的延迟,具备不依赖于复杂的3D重建和长距离特征跟踪的优点,并有效避免了单应模型表达视频运动模型的误差积累问题。实验表明该算法能够有效对包含2D和较复杂3D场景的视频进行稳像,并且能够达到实时处理速度。     

建筑工程消防安全管理改革的理论研究

以现代管理学的视角,运用系统论、信息论和控制论的基本原理,对建筑工程消防安全管理改革的理论基础进行了初步研究,分析了新时期建筑消防管理的特点和地位,提出了改革建筑消防管理模式的要点,讨论了建筑消防管理改革的实施,构筑了新的建筑消防管理模式的基本框架。     

反应堆实际提棒的中子倍增公式

针对实际的反应堆启动过程中采用步选提棒的方式,并考虑单组缓发中子效应,以点堆中子动力学方程为基础,导出了反应堆启动的中子倍增公式,此公式的计算结果与用纯数值计算结果相同。     

Designing acceptance sampling schemes for life testing with mixed censoring

Mixed censoring is useful extension of Type I and Type II censoring and combines some advantages of both types of censoring. This paper proposes a general Bayesian framework for designing a variable acceptance sampling scheme with mixed censoring. A general loss function which includes the sampling cost, the time‐consuming cost, the salvage value, and the decision loss is employed to determine the Bayes risk and the corresponding optimal sampling plan. An explicit expression of the Bayes risk is derived. The new model can easily be adapted to create life testing models for different distributions. Specifically, two commonly used distributions including the exponential distribution and the Weibull distribution are considered with a special decision loss function. We demonstrate that the proposed model is superior to models with Type I or Type II censoring. Numerical examples are reported to illustrate the effectiveness of the method proposed. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

车辆运动模拟器运动参数实时监测系统

针对车辆运动模拟器运动参数的实时测量要求研制了一套计算机实时在线监测系统,介绍了监测系统的组成和功能,通过对车辆运动模拟器油缸位移的分析,推导了模拟器运动参数的理论解算方法,并从数据通讯、处理和管理等方面对监测软件进行分析与设计,从而实现了模拟器运动参数监测模式的多样化。     

利用空闲独占技术解决定时问题

Windows操作系统以DOS系统所无法比拟的优势广泛运用于软件开发中,而其本身的非严格实时性难以解决实时处理系统的定时问题。对基于Windows操作系统空闲独占技术提高Windows操作系统实时处理速度的可行性进行了研究,提出了一种不增加硬件开销在Delphi5开发平台下实现精确定时的方法,最后给出了该技术在网上雷达模拟训练实时系统中的应用结果。