NATO Territorial Ballistic Missile Defense and its Implications for Arms Control

ABSTRACT

Since 2002, NATO's territorial missile defense has evoked continuous debates between NATO states and the Russian Federation. Thirteen years have passed without reaching a common denominator. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the historical background of the debate and the technical details of the missile defense system, highlighting its shortcomings and the state of its deployment process. It also contrasts the military-technical and political arguments of both sides, before addressing the applicable norms of international law to highlight violations and the effect of this noncompliance on existing arms control measures.     

吊放声纳主动工作方式探测域建模与仿真

水声环境对于吊放声纳搜潜效果影响很大,以往的水声环境对吊放声纳探测影响建模尚未涉及吊放声纳立体探测域,不能为吊放声纳搜潜战术研究提供有效支撑.在对声传播损失、海洋环境噪声和混响进行深入分析和建模的基础上,根据吊放声纳探测机理建立了主动探测概率模型,仿真分析了吊放声纳主动探测概率的三维空间分布,并提出了吊放声纳搜潜战术应以三维非连续探测域为基础,结合战法实验等新手段进行不确定性研究的建议.     

无人机飞行训练资源配置效率的AHP-Arena综合评价方法

为降低传统层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process,AHP)赋权过程主观片面性影响,提出了一种综合AHP与Arena仿真建模技术的无人机训练资源配置效率评价方法。基于飞行训练流程分析,确定了训练资源配置效率影响因素和效率评价指标,建立了层次型综合评价体系,概括了AHP-Arena综合评价步骤。利用Arena建模软件构建训练流程动态仿真系统并验证有效性,采用单变量数值仿真法、均方差决策法完成了影响因素客观赋权,通过线性加权综合法得出综合评价系数,实现资源配置效率评价与方案优选。实例应用说明了该方法的有效性,同时,该方法可推广至其他类似的训练过程中,亦可为其他多因素、多指标评价决策过程提供借鉴。     

密集环境中无人机协同机动飞行运动规划方法综述

从单无人机机动飞行向多机协同扩展的通用规划框架出发,介绍了其中各模块相关研究的基本原理、代表性方法和前沿研究,主要包括用于环境障碍感知的实时导航地图构建、离散空间的路径规划、连续空间的轨迹规划、基于离散连续混合空间的规划、多航迹或轨迹的协同规划。综合无人机通用规划框架的关键技术,提出了无人机协同机动规划下一步需要重点研究的方向。     

Autonomous maneuver decision-making for a UCAV in short-range aerial combat based on an MS-DDQN algorithm

To solve the problem of realizing autonomous aerial combat decision-making for unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) rapidly and accurately in an uncertain environment, this paper proposes a decision-making method based on an improved deep reinforcement learning (DRL) algorithm: the multi-step double deep Q-network (MS-DDQN) algorithm. First, a six-degree-of-freedom UCAV model based on an aircraft control system is established on a simulation platform, and the situation assessment functions of the UCAV and its target are established by considering their angles, altitudes, environments, missile attack performances, and UCAV performance. By controlling the flight path angle, roll angle, and flight velocity, 27 common basic actions are designed. On this basis, aiming to overcome the defects of traditional DRL in terms of training speed and convergence speed, the improved MS-DDQN method is introduced to incorporate the final return value into the previous steps. Finally, the pre-training learning model is used as the starting point for the second learning model to simulate the UCAV aerial combat decision-making process based on the basic training method, which helps to shorten the training time and improve the learning efficiency. The improved DRL algorithm significantly accelerates the training speed and estimates the target value more accurately during training, and it can be applied to aerial combat decision-making.     

公安边防机动部队实施跨区增援行动的思考

公安边防机动部队成建制、成规模实施跨区增援行动是遂行边境维稳任务的重要行动样式,也是当前公安边防机动部队实战能力建设的重大课题。分析了公安边防机动部队实施跨区增援的影响和制约因素,从战备工作、指挥协调、通信联络、装备建设、综合保障等方面对做好跨区增援行动进行了初步思考和研究,提出了若干建议,以期有助于当前公安边防机动部队的建设。     

“金新月”地区毒品向我国渗透的现状与对策

目前,以阿富汗为中心的＂金新月＂地区毒品向我国渗透活动日益加剧,并呈现出组织化、专业化和国际化趋势,地处＂金新月＂边缘的我国新疆地区深受其害,毒品案件不断上升,恐怖势力以毒养恐的趋向愈发明显,对我国边境安全构成了极大的威胁。加强禁毒情报工作,打牢禁毒工作基础;提高管控能力,严防毒品渗透;加强堵源截流工作;加强国际禁毒合作;严厉打击毒品犯罪是解决＂金新月＂地区毒品向我国渗透的有效途径。     

考虑目标微多普勒频移的反导雷达配置模型

针对采用微多普勒频移识别目标的反导雷达,对其配置问题进行研究,以便更好地发挥其目标识别能力。首先,利用雷达性能参数,计算出要探测某一弹道时的雷达可配置区;其次,分析目标微多普勒频移对目标识别可能性的影响,以雷达覆盖区和高概率识别区的最大化为目标建立雷达的配置模型;最后,通过仿真分析发现通过调节雷达覆盖区与高概率识别区的权重,可以得到针对不同作战需求时的雷达配置方案。     

Special Section: Nuclear Stability In South Asia

The question of nuclear stability in South Asia is a subject of both academic and policy significance. It is the only region in the world that has three, contiguous nuclear-armed states: India, the People's Republic of China, and Pakistan. It is also freighted with unresolved border disputes. To compound matters, all three states are now modernizing their nuclear forces and have expressed scant interest in any form of regional arms control. These issues and developments constitute the basis of this special section, which explores the problems and prospects of nuclear crisis stability in the region.