Stability in a general oligopoly model

We analyze a general but parsimonious price competition model for an oligopoly in which each firm offers any number of products. The demand volumes are general piecewise affine functions of the full price vector, generated as the “regular” extension of a base set of affine functions. The model specifies a product assortment, along with their prices and demand volumes, in contrast to most commonly used demand models. We identify a fully best response operator which is monotonically increasing so that the market converges to a Nash equilibrium, when firms dynamically adjust their prices, as best responses to their competitors' prices, at least when starting in one of two price regions. Moreover, geometrically fast convergence to a common equilibrium can be guaranteed for an arbitrary starting point, under an additional condition for the price sensitivity matrix.     

A nuclear-armed North Korea without ICBMs: the best achievable objective

This article analyzes the North Korean nuclear crisis from a balance-of-power perspective. It is in the long-term interests of international peace for a secure and independent North Korea to serve as a buffer between US and Chinese ground forces. However, the conventional military advantage of the South Korean-American alliance over North Korea has grown drastically since the end of the Cold War, threatening North Korea’s survival. Since North Korea lacks any reliable ally, nuclear weapons represent its most cost-effective way to restore a balance of power and thus secure itself. Accepting security guarantees in exchange for its nuclear arsenal is rhetorically appealing but not a viable approach. North Korea’s development of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), however, has overcompensated for the post-Cold War imbalance, inviting talk in Washington of waging a preventive war. Persuading North Korea to give up its ICBM capability, not its nuclear arsenal, should therefore be the primary objective of US diplomacy.     

一类不确定非线性时滞系统的鲁棒容错控制

针对一类非线性时滞系统,基于Lyapunov稳定性理论,讨论了不确定参数系统的鲁棒容错控制问题。当故障在失效的传感器以及失效的执行器发生时,且非线性不确定性满足一定的增益条件,通过基于线性矩阵不等式(LMI)方法各自给出了故障在传感器和执行器失效发生时,闭环系统渐近稳定的存在条件及相应控制器的设计方法。一个设计算例的仿真结果表明了该方法是有效的。     

Evolutionary determinants of war

This paper considers evolutionarily stable decisions about whether to initiate violent conflict rather than accepting a peaceful sharing outcome. Focusing on small sets of players such as countries in a geographically confined area, we use the concept of evolutionary stability in finite populations. We find that players’ evolutionarily stable preferences widen the range of peaceful resource allocations that are rejected in favor of violent conflict, compared to the Nash equilibrium outcomes. Relative advantages in fighting strength are reflected in the equilibrium set of peaceful resource allocations.     

某尾翼式火箭增程迫弹飞行失稳原因分析

针对某尾翼式火箭增程迫弹弹道飞行失稳的现象,建立了火箭增程迫弹的六自由度弹道模型,仿真分析了该弹丸的摆动角变化规律、全弹道静稳定度、动态稳定度,共振转速、平衡转速等,最终确定共振为该弹飞行失稳的主要原因。为避免弹丸共振的产生,研究确定了该弹的最佳转速范围,通过最大射程及密集度试验结果表明平衡转速为8r～10r时,发动机作用对弹丸飞行影响较小,密集度最好。     

Stability of information‐sharing alliances in a three‐level supply chain

In their recent article, Leng and Parlar (L&P) (2009) analyze information‐sharing alliances in a three‐level supply chain (consisting of a manufacturer, a distributor, and a retailer) that faces a nonstationary end demand. Supply chain members can share demand information, which reduces information distortion and thus decreases their inventory holding and shortage costs. We expand the results from L&P by considering dynamic (farsighted) stability concepts. We use two different allocation rules and show that under some reasonable assumptions there should always be some information sharing in this supply chain. We also identify conditions under which the retailer in a stable outcome shares his demand information with the distributor, with the manufacturer, or with both remaining supply chain members. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

金融危机对我国社会稳定的影响及对策

金融危机的爆发和蔓延对我国实体经济造成了严重冲击,境内外敌对势力趁机发难,人民内部矛盾被“催化”,经济领域的违法活动凸显,公安机关作为我国的重要维稳力量,应增强维稳意识,提高执法素养;深入推进社区和农村警务战略;强化情报建设、舆论引导和群众工作;坚持科技强警,完善各项维稳预案。以积极的策略应对金融危机对我国社会稳定的影响。     

公安边防部队基层干部队伍稳定性建设分析——以偏远艰苦地区公安边防派出所为例

加强偏远艰苦地区基层干部队伍稳定性建设,是新世纪公安边防部队赖以生存和发展的重要战略工程。当前,偏远艰苦地区基层干部队伍建设中客观存在编实员虚的缺位式、“人”“令”分离的占位式、本土无望的空降式、年龄结构的分化式、人力分布的“极化”式等问题。加强偏远艰苦地区基层干部队伍稳定性建设有赖于从工作时限目标、资历结构目标、文化层次目标和成才动力目标等几个维度构建科学的目标模式。在此基础上,恰当处理相关关系,不断完善组织、政策、监督等方面的保障机制,确保目标模式的有序运行。     

库存控制条件下弹药供应链稳定性研究

由于弹药供应链系统中存在牛鞭效应问题,为了减少牛鞭效应对弹药供应系统的影响,研究系统的稳定性,建立了一阶弹药供应链系统。分析了弹药供应链系统的构成,对系统进行了数学建模分析与仿真验证分析。分析得出,决策参数调整系数β对弹药供应链系统稳定性的影响明显,部队需求量变化及订货量决策参数安全系数α影响较弱。并得出系统稳定时或系统出现震荡、混沌现象时调整系数β的取值范围。     

大口径牵引火炮海绵轮胎改装充气轮胎稳定性研究

以某型大口径牵引火炮为例,通过机动性验证,射击稳定性试验和计算机模拟仿真,对海绵轮胎改装充气式轮胎后的火炮稳定性进行分析。结果表明,改装后,火炮能够保持良好的稳定性,大幅提高装备的机动能力,为大口径牵引火炮海绵轮胎改装充气轮胎提供参考。