PAC-3反导系统作战效能研究

为评估PAC-3反导系统的作战效能,通过分析影响该系统作战效能的因素,构建了一个评价指标体系,并利用幂函数法建立了定量评估模型。结合系统的作战性能参数,对PAC-3反导系统的作战效能进行了评估,为研究其作战提供了参考依据。     

Lateral capacity exchange and its impact on capacity investment decisions

We study the problem of capacity exchange between two firms in anticipation of the mismatch between demand and capacity, and its impact on firm's capacity investment decisions. For given capacity investment levels of the two firms, we demonstrate how capacity price may be determined and how much capacity should be exchanged when either manufacturer acts as a Stackelberg leader in the capacity exchange game. By benchmarking against the centralized system, we show that a side payment may be used to coordinate the capacity exchange decisions. We then study the firms' capacity investment decisions using a biform game framework in which capacity investment decisions are made individually and exchange decisions are made as in a centralized system. We demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of the Nash equilibrium capacity investment levels and study the impact of firms' share of the capacity exchange surplus on their capacity investment levels.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Modeling and analysis of a mixed‐model assembly line with stochastic operation times

We consider a mixed‐model assembly line (MMAL) comprised a set of workstations and a conveyor. The workstations are arranged in a serial configuration. The conveyor moves at a constant speed along the workstations. Initial units belonging to different models are successively fed onto the conveyor, and they are moved by the conveyor to pass through the workstations to gradually generate final products. All assembling tasks are manually performed with operation times to be stochastic. An important performance measure of MMALs is overload times that refer to uncompleted operations for operators within their work zones. This paper establishes a method to analyze the expected overload times for MMALs with stochastic operation times. The operation processes of operators form discrete time nonhomogeneous Markov processes with continuous state spaces. For a given daily production schedule, the expected overload times involve in analyzing the Markov processes for finite horizon. Based on some important properties of the performance measure, we propose an efficient approach for calculating the expected overload times. Numerical computations show that the results are very satisfactory. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

导弹机动对抗中打击圆形区形内目标的模型及实现

考虑了对机动导弹实施机动区域打击问题,建立起了一个新的瞄准点选取模型一菱形选取模型,设计了对圆形机动区域打击的瞄准点选择算法,并通过计算机仿真进行了结果分析.该方法具有通用性,能制定作战方案以及生存选择具有现实意义.     

系统建模技术初探

为了对系统建模技术有一个总体认识,本文采用归纳和分析的方法,对系统建模技术的体系结构进行了初步探讨。     

舰船并车减速齿轮箱任意稳态工况下功率损失的数学模型

为了分析并推导出并车减速齿轮箱在任意稳态工况下功率损失的数学模型,首先引用并介绍了该并车减速齿轮箱在两种不同情况下相应2个特殊稳态工况时的功率损失试验曲线;接着分析了其中一种情况下的试验曲线及其特殊点的物理意义;然后,由该试验曲线推导出并车减速齿轮箱在这种情况下任意稳态工况时的功率损失的数学计算公式,并将同样的方法应用到另一种情况下的试验曲线.最后,解释了该并车减速齿轮箱功率损失试验曲线的一个似非而是的"疑点".     

电流变流体夹心梁的优化控制

电流变流体的流变性质和力学性质在电场里随电场强度的变化而实时地、可逆地发生变化, 这一特点使得它在自适应结构中的应用受到越来越多的重视。电流变流体夹心梁是在两弹性层间夹入一层电流变材料, 通过控制电流变材料屈服前的流变性质和力学性质来达到控制整个复合梁的动态响应。本文通过建立两端简支的电流变流体夹心梁的结构模型, 模拟分析了复合梁的动态响应及不同激励频率下的优化电场。     

三态部件的可靠性分析

本文给出完备的三态部件的可靠性模型类。从静态的观点来看,三态部件的可靠性模型有两类：（１）成功,降格成功,失败;（２）成功,双失败。从动态的观点来看,考虑到三个状态之间的转化关系,其模型类相对复杂;但是在失败率λ、维修率μ为常数的条件下,只需六个参数（λ１λ２λ３μ１μ２μ３）,便可以用马尔可夫模型给出三态部件的可靠性统一模型,并给出部件在三状态的概率函数Ｐｉ（ｔ）的解析表达式（ｔ为时间,ｉ表示状态）。     

一种随机海洋波模型及其数字仿真

介绍了一种随机海洋波谱模型,分析了波谱模型中的波幅计算的三种频率谱函数。针对不同海风条件（风速和风向）,对模型进行了仿真和比较。数字仿真结果表明：该模型较好地反映了随机海洋表面的动力学特性,运用该模型可以得到随机变化海浪的逼真的仿真图像