基于ExtendSim的系统可靠性建模

针对传统可靠性仿真模型建模繁琐,编程困难的问题,建立了基于Ex tendS im的可靠性模型,即串联、并联、旁联模型,相比传统方法具有建模直观、调试方便等优点,并以某混联系统为例与解析模型进行了对比验证,仿真结果表明,建立的可靠性模型是可信的,且此模型不依赖于单元寿命分布,相比解析模型具有更强的适应性。     

成败型产品的Bayes鉴定试验方案研究

利用可靠性增长模型给出了成败型产品鉴定试验的一种Bayes方法.提出了Bayes鉴定试验的最大后验风险准则,利用这种准则制定的鉴定试验方案综合了产品研制过程中的先验信息.在确保产品质量的前提下,与传统的鉴定试验方案相比,将大大节省试验时间.     

舰艇多功能指控平台硬件可靠性研究与分析

海军舰艇多功能指挥控制平台系统是提高舰艇管理水平和工作效率的硬件基础,提高平台可靠性是保证舰艇发挥正常性能的关键问题。在假定系统组件可靠性为某一定值的前提下,建立数学模型研究分析舰艇多功能指控平台可靠性。重构理论的计算结果表明,采用重构方法可提高平台可靠性,增强舰艇的抗毁性,保证舰艇的战斗功能得到最大程度的发挥。     

Investigation on the process parameters of TIG-welded aluminum alloy through mechanical and microstructural characterization

Multi-pass TIG welding was conducted on plates (15×300×180 mm3) of aluminum alloy Al-5083 that usually serves as the component material in structural applications such as cryogenics and chemical processing industries. Porosity formation and solidification cracking are the most common defects when TIG welding Al-5083 alloy, which is sensitive to the welding heat input. In the experiment, the heat input was varied from 0.89 kJ/mm to 5 kJ/mm designed by the combination of welding torch travel speed and welding current. Tensile, micro-Vicker hardness and Charpy impact tests were executed to witness the impetus response of heat input on the mechanical properties of the joints. Radiographic inspection was performed to assess the joint's quality and welding defects. The results show that all the specimens displayed inferior mechanical properties as compared to the base alloy. It was established that porosity was progressively abridged by the increase of heat input. The results also clinched that the use of me-dium heat input (1-2 kJ/mm) offered the best mechanical properties by eradicating welding defects, in which only about 18.26% of strength was lost. The yield strength of all the welded specimens remained unaffected indicated no influence of heat input. Partially melted zone (PMZ) width also affected by heat input, which became widened with the increase of heat input. The grain size of PMZ was found to be coarser than the respective grain size in the fusion zone. Charpy impact testing revealed that the absorbed energy by low heat input specimen (welded at high speed) was greater than that of high heat input (welded at low speed) because of low porosity and the formation of equiaxed grains which induce better impact toughness. Cryogenic (-196 C) impact testing was also performed and the results corroborate that impact properties under the cryogenic environment revealed no appreciable change after welding at designated heat input. Finally, Macro and micro fractured surfaces of tensile and impact specimens were analyzed using Stereo and Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM), which have supported the experimental findings.     

基于比例危险模型的产品竞争失效分析

突发型失效与退化型失效共存的竞争失效问题在实践中大量存在,一般情况下突发失效是受退化量大小影响的。文中利用比例危险模型分析了突发失效与退化量的关系,给出了竞争失效的一般模型及模型的参数估计方法,最后利用所给模型对强激光装置所用的金属化膜脉冲电容器进行了可靠性分析。     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于贝叶斯方法的指数寿命型产品可靠度评估方法

以经典法为推理基础,利用无验前信息时验前分布密度的假设方式及共轭分布函数的传递性,推导出指数寿命型产品在不同试验方案下可靠度R的多层贝叶斯评估方法。使得在利用贝叶斯方法对指数寿命型产品进行评估时,更具科学性和合理性。     

Shock model in Markovian environment

A Markov modulated shock models is studied in this paper. In this model, both the interarrival time and the magnitude of the shock are determined by a Markov process. The system fails whenever a shock magnitude exceeds a pre‐specified level η. Nonexponential bounds of the reliability are given when the interarrival time has heavy‐tailed distribution. The exponential decay of the reliability function and the asymptotic failure rate are also considered for the light‐tailed case. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Properties of the geometric and related processes

Some properties of the geometric process are studied along with those of a related process which we propose to call the α‐series process. It is shown that the expected number of counts at an arbitrary time does not exist for the decreasing geometric process. The decreasing version of the α‐series process does have a finite expected number of counts, under certain conditions. This process also has the same advantages of tractability as the geometric process; it exhibits some properties which may make it a useful complement to the increasing geometric process. In addition, it may be fit to observed data as easily as the geometric process. Applications in reliability and stochastic scheduling are considered in order to demonstrate the versatility of the alternative model. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

布尔函数不交化的立方体算法

布尔函数的不交化是进行系统可靠度计算中的重要步骤。本文提出了一种进行布尔函数不交化的立方体算法。基于布尔函数的立方体表示法及不交代数,文中定义了立方体的有关运算法则,建立了立方体矩阵不交化算法,并用算例进行了说明。本算法的实现效率高,操作简便。