一种面向复杂系统的模糊可靠性分配方法

针对系统研制初期的不确定的约束条件与设计目标 ,进行了复杂系统模糊可靠性分配建模 ;结合遗传算法理论 ,考虑了一般系统的求解 ;实例分析验证了所提出方法的性能和可行性 .     

武器系统使用可用性评估模型及应用

建立了一种可实时评价系统使用可用性的过程仿真模型,并用一案例说明了其应用．     

蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统可靠性设计准则

讨论了为保证蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统的可靠性所采取的一般技术 ,详细分析了提高蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统可靠性的一般设计准则 ,包括系统设计的一般要求、计算机的选型、元器件的选择与使用以及抗干扰措施     

多种武器攻击下舰艇装备生命力的加权模糊综合评估

通过应用模糊数学理论中模糊评估法对舰艇装备系统生命力进行了模糊评判 ,建立多武器攻击下舰艇装备生命力加权模糊评估模型 ,并以某舰艇装备的主动力系统回路为例 ,运用所建立的评估模型对其生命力进行具体评估 ,结果分析表明根据加权模糊综合评判模型 ,选用合理的加权系数 ,就能把模糊性很强的装备生命力指标定量化 ,为设备系统设计方案选优提供依据。     

空战战术仿真试验的一种综合评估方法

提出了空战战术仿真试验的动态评估指标体系,采用了广义多层次综合评估方法建立了评估战术优劣的指数模型,并以典型战术为例对模型进行了验算。     

Network reliability assessment in a random environment

In this paper we consider networks that consist of components operating under a randomly changing common environment. Our work is motivated by power system networks that are subject to fluctuating weather conditions over time that affect the performance of the network. We develop a general setup for any network that is subject to such environment and present results for network reliability assessment under two repair scenarios. We also present Bayesian analysis of network failure data and illustrate how reliability predictions can be obtained for the network. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 574–591, 2003     

Threshold optimization for weighted voting classifiers

Weighted voting classifiers considered in this paper consist of N units each providing individual classification decisions. The entire system output is based on tallying the weighted votes for each decision and choosing the one which has total support weight exceeding a certain threshold. Each individual unit may abstain from voting. The entire system may also abstain from voting if no decision support weight exceeds the threshold. Existing methods of evaluating the reliability of weighted voting systems can be applied to limited special cases of these systems and impose some restrictions on their parameters. In this paper a universal generating function method is suggested which allows the reliability of weighted voting classifiers to be exactly evaluated without imposing constraints on unit weights. Based on this method, the classifier reliability is determined as a function of a threshold factor, and a procedure is suggested for finding the threshold which minimizes the cost of damage caused by classifier failures (misclassification and abstention may have different price.) Dynamic and static threshold voting rules are considered and compared. A method of analyzing the influence of units' availability on the entire classifier reliability is suggested, and illustrative examples are presented. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 322–344, 2003.     

基于粗糙集理论的装备保障指挥系统效能评估指标体系约简

针对目前建立的装备保障指挥系统效能评估指标体系评价指标繁多,存在重复、等价的不足,通过验证各评价指标相对于决策属性是否必要与验证各子集组合相对于决策属性是否独立,建立了基于粗糙集理论的装备保障指挥系统效能评估指标体系约简方法,对评价指标进行了约简,建立了约简的装备保障指挥系统效能评估指标体系,可为装备保障指挥系统效能分析提供依据。     

基于模糊综合评判的空军油料节约评估

空军油料节约是当前空军全面建设现代后勤的重要工作内容。探讨了空军油料节约的评估,通过对影响空军油料节约效果的因素分析,从人员节油素质、飞行训练节油、维护保养节油、精细化管理节油4个方面构建了空军油料节约的指标体系。运用模糊综合评判对空军油料节约的效果进行了评估。通过实例分析验证了模型,为空军油料节约提供了决策依据。     

雷达组网系统抗干扰能力动态仿真评估研究

雷达组网抗干扰能力评估是组网系统作战效能评估的一个重要方面,运用仿真模拟法和最优指标法,对组网系统抗干扰能力进行了动态评估研究。基于研究现状的分析,提出了组网系统抗干扰能力的一种评估框架结构;构建了组网系统抗压制性干扰能力的动态评估指标体系,采用最优指标法对4种组网方案在复合压制干扰模式下的抗干扰能力进行了动态仿真分析和方案的优劣评价。评估结果与实际抗干扰试验的结论相符,验证了评估指标体系的有效性和合理性,所得结论对复杂电子战环境下雷达组网系统作战效能研究具有指导意义。