Reliability inference for field conditions from accelerated degradation testing

Accelerated degradation testing (ADT) is usually conducted under deterministic stresses such as constant‐stress, step‐stress, and cyclic‐stress. Based on ADT data, an ADT model is developed to predict reliability under normal (field) operating conditions. In engineering applications, the “standard” approach for reliability prediction assumes that the normal operating conditions are deterministic or simply uses the mean values of the stresses while ignoring their variability. Such an approach may lead to significant prediction errors. In this paper, we extend an ADT model obtained from constant‐stress ADT experiments to predict field reliability by considering the stress variations. A case study is provided to demonstrate the proposed statistical inference procedure. The accuracy of the procedure is verified by simulation using various distributions of field stresses. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006.     

带失效因子的J-M软件可靠性预计模型

提出带失效因子的J-M软件可靠性预计模型.先分析了原有J-M软件可靠性预计模型的特性,指出了此模型产生与实际情况差异的原因;基于在测试初期软件出现的错误,对软件失效率的影响大于测试后期出现的错误对软件失效率的影响的思想,提出了带失效因子的J-M软件可靠性预计模型.最后,针对所提出的模型,利用测量的数据进行了实际验算.     

弹道导弹作战效能建模分析

在对地地弹道式导弹武器系统的组成、特点进行分析的基础上,拟制了该武器系统作战效能的指标体系;给出了作战效能的基本关系式;重点对发射可靠性、生存能力、飞行可靠性、突防能力、弹头毁伤能力等影响导弹作战效能的主要指标进行了分析,给出了计算模型或具体量值.     

云模型及其在指挥控制系统可靠性分析中的应用

根据指挥控制系统的特点及作战应用的具体情况,从指挥控制系统的可靠性出发,提出了适合指控系统可靠性分析的云模型。通过拟定性能评价指标,导出各指标的云模型及其多维加权综合云的重心,应用云重心评价方法进行分析;并通过案例,运用基于PC-L INM AP的云重心评价方法,以影响指挥控制系统可靠性的两个重要性能指标为依据,分析了未来联合作战中指挥控制系统的可靠性,比较贴近作战实际,可信度较高。     

A multilevel passenger screening problem for aviation security

Passenger prescreening is a critical component of aviation security systems. This paper introduces the Multilevel Allocation Problem (MAP), which models the screening of passengers and baggage in a multilevel aviation security system. A passenger is screened by one of several classes, each of which corresponds to a set of procedures using security screening devices, where passengers are differentiated by their perceived risk levels. Each class is defined in terms of its fixed cost (the overhead costs), its marginal cost (the additional cost to screen a passenger), and its security level. The objective of MAP is to assign each passenger to a class such that the total security is maximized subject to passenger assignments and budget constraints. This paper shows that MAP is NP‐hard and introduces a Greedy heuristic that obtains approximate solutions to MAP that use no more than two classes. Examples are constructed using data extracted from the Official Airline Guide. Analysis of the examples suggests that fewer security classes for passenger screening may be more effective and that using passenger risk information can lead to more effective security screening strategies. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

面向月球车路径规划的多约束环境建模方法

面向月球车路径规划,从建立合理、鲁棒的月面环境模型的需求出发,提出了一种新的多约束环境建模方法———MCWM方法,它综合考虑了月面地形的可通行性、系统的不确定性、人机协同性和运动的平稳性等四个因素,最后产生了一个能支持路径规划的综合代价地图———MCWM模型。仿真结果表明,MCWM方法合理、有效,可提高所规划路径的安全性和可执行性。     

舰船作战系统一体化建模仿真环境研究

分析了舰船作战系统仿真的现状和一体化建模仿真环境的特点,讨论了一体化建模仿真环境应具备的功能：模型管理、模型验证、仿真管理、仿真生成、数据管理、数据分析、文档生成、资源共享和协同管理,给出了一体化建模仿真环境的体系结构、运行模式和工作流程,最后提出了仿真应用程序代码自动生成技术的解决方案。     

舰船总体性能可靠性建模方法研究

分析了舰船总体性能可靠性问题的产生原因,将其分为2类.对于舰载设备本身存在可靠性问题而造成的,以航速可靠性为例,在舰船总体可靠性的背景下,借助相关数学工具进行了建模方法分析;对于外界随机因素影响而造成的,如横稳性的可靠性问题,则从分析外界随机因素与船体设计参数之间关系入手.初步建立了一套研究舰船总体性能可靠性问题的建模方法.实例计算表明,将所建模型用于分析舰船总体性能比常规方法具有明显的优越性.     

可靠性强化试验通用夹具研究

针对可靠性强化试验中全轴随机振动试验的通用夹具问题展开研究,首先提出了基于全轴随机振动环境多轴非比例加载、非高斯幅值分布、宽频带等特性的全新夹具设计要求,然后通过理论分析得出了夹具设计的一般原则,最后设计实现了一种可靠性强化试验通用夹具,并对该夹具进行了测试验证.全轴随机振动试验的夹具设计是可靠性强化试验在工程应用中的关键技术,该文的研究可以为可靠性强化试验的推广应用提供广泛借鉴.     

利用整帧翻转的SRAM型FPGA故障注入加速算法

不可恢复异常比特位(unrecoverable-sensitive bits, UR-SB)不能通过定时刷新修复,会造成卫星载荷在轨服务的长时间中断,是地面故障注入试验需要着重评估和改善的。但UR-SB占比极低,若采用传统逐位翻转故障注入方法,其测试耗时太长,效率极低。提出了一种基于整帧翻转的静态随机存取存储器型现场可编程门阵列的故障注入加速算法,其通过整帧翻转能够快速筛除不存在UR-SB的配置帧,并进一步用二分法对存在UR-SB的配置帧进行快速搜索,有效加速了UR-SB的精确定位过程。以在轨常用XQR2V3000器件为例,理论分析在较差情况下测试效率可提升207倍,信号生成载荷实测结果最高可提升949倍,理论分析和实测结果均验证了所提加速算法的有效性。