Q345低合金结构钢的高温强度试验研究

采用恒温加载试验方法对钢结构建筑常用的Q345低合金结构钢的高温强度进行试验研究,采用切线交点法确定钢材有效屈服强度,并与其它方法强度取值进行对比,给出钢材高温强度回归公式,为钢结构建筑的抗火分析提供依据。     

基于Bayes理论的固有可用度定时截尾试验方案

为解决小子样条件下进行产品固有可用度试验验证的问题,基于Bayes理论,提出了一种固有可用度定时截尾试验方案．该试验方案在假设故障间隔时间和修复时间均服从指数分布的前提下,将现场试验分为同时进行的可靠性和维修性定时截尾试验2个部分,要求在利用验前试验信息的基础上,使本次试验获得的验后分布还可以作为下一次现场试验的验前分布,提高了试验数据的利用率,具有较好的经济效益．     

Nonparametric bayesian lifetime data analysis using dirichlet process lognormal mixture model

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian lifetime data analysis method using the Dirichlet process mixture model with a lognormal kernel. A simulation‐based algorithm that implements the Gibbs sampling is developed to fit the Dirichlet process lognormal mixture (DPLNM) model using rightly censored failure time data. Five examples are used to illustrate the proposed method, and the DPLNM model is compared to the Dirichlet process Weibull mixture (DPWM) model. Results indicate that the DPLNM model is capable of estimating different lifetime distributions. The DPLNM model outperforms the DPWM model in all the examples, and the DPLNM model shows promising potential to be applied to analyze failure time data when an appropriate parametric model for the data cannot be specified. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Component importance for linear consecutive‐ k ‐Out‐of‐ n and m ‐Consecutive‐ k ‐Out‐of‐ n systems with exchangeable components

Measuring the relative importance of components in a mechanical system is useful for various purposes. In this article, we study Birnbaum and Barlow‐Proschan importance measures for two frequently studied system designs: linear consecutive k ‐out‐of‐ n and m ‐consecutive‐ k ‐out‐of‐ n systems. We obtain explicit expressions for the component importance measures for systems consisting of exchangeable components. We illustrate the results for a system whose components have a Lomax type lifetime distribution. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach

Abstract

We use the k-th-order nonparametric causality test at monthly frequency over the period of 1985:1 to 2016:06 to analyze whether geopolitical risks can predict movements in stock returns and volatility of 24 global defense firms. The nonparametric approach controls for the existing misspecification of a linear framework of causality, and hence, the mild evidence of causality obtained under the standard Granger tests cannot be relied upon. When we apply the nonparametric test, we find that there is no evidence of predictability of stock returns of these defense companies emanating from the geopolitical risk measure. However, the geopolitical risk index does predict realized volatility in 50% of the companies. Our results indicate that while global geopolitical events over a period of time is less likely to predict returns, such global risks are more inclined in affecting future risk profile of defense firms.     

发变电所传导干扰分析与抑制措施的研究

通过对发变电所由开关操作在二次系统和低压交流电源系统传导测量结果的分析,确定变电站低压交流电源中传导干扰的特征,利用安捷伦（Agilent）矢量网络分析仪,研究几种典型电源滤波器的插入损耗和特性阻抗等频率特性,应用夏弗纳（Schaffner）等系列抗扰度试验设备,研究电源滤波器对电快速瞬变脉冲群和衰减振荡波的滤波和抑制效果,给出了变电站电源滤波器的滤波特性要求。     

改进的Euler方法应用于非线性方程求根

本文通过引入动力系统,将改进的Euler方法应用于非线性方程求根问题,给出非线性方程求根的预估-再校正迭代格式,证明了该格式至少二阶收敛并可以调节参数达到超收敛。最后给出数值实验,数值结果验证了算法的有效性。     

C~4ISR系统仿真测试研究

针对一种C4ISR系统在测试时的特点,提出了模拟仿真测试的方案,建立了仿真装备与指挥系统的交互模型,设计了交互对象的自动匹配算法,并在实际系统的仿真测试中得到应用和验证。     

军用车辆行动部分疲劳寿命随机有限元分析

阐述了基于随机有限元的车辆行动部分可靠性原理及基本过程,将结构件的弹性模量、泊松比和几何尺寸等因素定义为随机场,并对其进行离散,同时分析了车辆行驶的典型路面的路面谱,利用随机有限元求解在不同的路面状况下车辆行动零部件的受力情况,得到了零部件危险点应力的随机分布和不同路面状况下疲劳可靠性,并对相关的实例进行分析。     

应急机场沥青道面高温稳定性试验研究

利用MTS～810型材料伺服试验机对应急机场道面沥青混凝土进行了高温条件下车辙试验和蠕变试验。试验结果表明：随应力的增大,沥青混凝土的弹性应变增大,塑性应力增大,破坏时间提前,应变的发展速度越来越快;得出了应急机场道面沥青混凝土的粘、弹性参数与应力的关系及本构模型;求出了不同机型的不同胎压作用下应急机场面层沥青混凝土的动稳定度;根据应急机场跑道上的飞机重复作用次数及车辙试验结果,计算了不同胎压作用下应急机场沥青混凝土面层的变形厚度,在允许寿命内面层沥青混凝土的动稳定度满足要求。