Country survey: military expenditure and defence policy in Norway 1970–2013

This article examines military expenditure and defence policy in Norway from 1970 to 2013. Until 1990 Norwegian military expenditure remained between 2.5 and 3.0 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Despite constant GDP shares, the military expenditure could not sustain a large and properly armed mobilization army. The constant nominal defence budgets of the 1990s accentuated the Norwegian Armed Forces' underlying imbalance between tasks, structure and budget. Around year 2000, large organizational reforms were effectuated, in which costs, the number of man-years, and underlying imbalances between tasks, structure and budget were reduced. Military expenditure increased in nominal terms between 2003 and 2013, while real military expenditure remained practically constant.     

Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

基于规则的CGF实体行为建模技术

CGF行为建模的目的是使行为模型能更好地体现出人类行为特征,提高作战仿真系统的可信性和科学性。在介绍CGF、CGF行为建模概念的基础上,对当前几种主要的CGF行为建模方法进行了比较,并分析了CGF行为模型的一般结构。构建了基于规则的CGF行为模型,重点对基于规则CGF行为模型的决策推理方法进行了研究。采用产生式规则方法对决策知识进行了描述,定义了决策推理过程中的3个要素:态势、动作、决策推理,并对其决策推理过程进行了研究。     

提升消防部队财务保障效能的思考

针对当前消防部队财务保障现状及存在的主要问题,提出健全经费保障机制、优化经费投向投量、强化财务监督等对策,以进一步提升消防部队财务综合保障效能。     

试论公安消防部队审计方法应用现状及对策

探讨公安消防部队审计方法应用现状及不足,分析相关原因,提出加强宣传、营造良好的审计工作环境、顺应消防部队建设发展需要、不断加强审计队伍建设等对策。     

服务职能视域下的公安边防部队思想政治教育

服务职能是思想政治教育的一项基本职能。公安边防部队思想政治教育要服务于社会、服务于边防部队和官兵个人,以增强思想政治教育的完整性和实效性,提高边防部队的凝聚力和战斗力。在对目前公安边防部队思想政治教育服务职能的现状及原因进行分析的基础上,从坚持以人为本教育理念、紧贴现实更新教育内容、充分利用教育资源和现代手段、完善考评监督保障机制四个方面,提出了加强服务职能的对策。     

公安边防部队士官学历教育浅谈

公安边防部队的士官学历教育尚在起步阶段,任重而道远。各级领导应着眼部队长远建设,确立优先发展的战略地位;应立足部队现实需要,设置学科专业;应根据岗位任职需求,确定课程体系,突出实用性;应适应教学任务的要求,完善管理与保障体系。     

Stochastic modeling for computational warranty analysis

We examine two key stochastic processes of interest for warranty modeling: (1) remaining total warranty coverage time exposure and (2) warranty load (total items under warranty at time t). Integral equations suitable for numerical computation are developed to yield probability law for these warranty measures. These two warranty measures permit warranty managers to better understand time‐dependent warranty behavior, and thus better manage warranty cash reserves. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

公安警卫部队开展优良传统教育的几点思考

国家政局的长期稳定 ,容易使人产生和平麻痹思想。公安警卫人员要适时地开展优良传统教育 ,克服警卫部队中普遍存在的重勤务、轻教育以及教育模式陈旧、单一 ,方法不灵活 ,没有统一的教育大纲等实际问题 ,进一步规范教育模式 ,明确教育目标 ,弘扬部队正气 ,使公安警卫人员牢记神圣使命 ,坚持“两个务必” ,确保警卫任务的圆满完成。     

当前社会应急救援队伍建设探讨

社会应急救援队伍建设应突出执行力,以建设一支领导有力、组织合理、处置科学的指挥机构为中心,以通信指挥平台及应急队伍建设为两个基本点。要进一步建立完善的灭火抢险救援指挥体系;配置足够的硬件设施;增加灭火救援力量;转变观念,以建立强大的应急救援队伍。