Does Intent equal Capability? Al-Qaeda and Weapons of Mass Destruction

The prospect of terrorists deploying weapons of mass destruction (WMD) is often referred to as the foremost danger to American national security. This danger has become more realistic because of al-Qaeda's expanding global network and the expressed willingness to kill thousands of civilians. In the past four years, numerous media reports have documented the group's ongoing quest for WMD capabilities; many reports have detailed al-Qaeda members’ attempts to manufacture or obtain certain chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) agents to use in WMD against targets in the West and the Middle East. Yet the question remains: Does al-Qaeda's current WMD capability match its actual intent? While most studies of the group have focused on its explicit desire for WMD, allegations of CBRN acquisition, and the killing potential of specific CBRN agents, few open-source studies have closely examined the evolution of al-Qaeda's consideration of WMD and, most notably, the merit of actual CBRN production instructions as depicted and disseminated in the group's own literature and manuals. The following report will examine the history of al-Qaeda's interest in CBRN agents, the evolution of the network's attitude toward these weapons, and the internal debate within the organization concerning acquisition and use of WMD. More so, the following research will assess the validity of actual CBRN production instructions and capabilities as displayed and disseminated in al-Qaeda's own literature and websites.     

随机滤波模型在变速箱剩余寿命预测中的应用研究

摘要：基于变速箱加速寿命实验的振动信号,提取信号的多种特征参量．通过分析各特征参量的敏感性和稳定性,选择幅域裕度指标、峰值指标、波形指标和RMS（RootMeanSquare）作为特征参量,建立一种基于随机滤波的变速箱剩余寿命预测模型,给出剩余寿命后验概率密度的递推公式,设计了极大似然估计方法求解模型参数,并经实例验证模型的有效性和实用性．     

弹药洞库有害气体分布规律研究

以计算流体力学（CFD）为理论基础,应用GAMBIT软件对洞库内的有害气体进行几何模型构建和网络划分,用FLUENT软件对所建模型中有害气体的扩散和分布规律进行模拟分析,并对单一释放源条件下扩散规律进行比较,分析弹药堆垛对气体扩散的影响．通过对洞库内有害气体的整体分布规律的研究,找到了库房内有害气体浓度最高的位置．最后,通过实验对仿真结果进行验证．     

UN-Consistent: A Comparison of Australia's Military Interventions in Somalia and Rwanda

This article seeks to compare Australia's involvement in two key 1990s peace missions: those to Somalia in 1992–93 and Rwanda in 1994–95. While there are many similarities between the two missions in terms of time, scale and theatre, the differences are more important. Both missions are usually recalled as failures despite the Australian troops having been extremely successful in their roles during both deployments. Moreover the experiences with intervention in Africa seem to have forever blighted Australian participation in peace missions on that continent.     

深V型滑行艇横摇阻尼的实验确定

对深V型滑行艇模型进行了静水横摇衰减实验和零速正横浪规则波中横摇运动实验,讨论了在处理试验数据时所面临的一些问题;采用分段最小二乘拟合法对静水横摇衰减实验曲线进行光顺,用峰值处理法计算不同横摇角时的横摇阻尼,并进行多项式回归得到深V型滑行艇横摇阻尼公式.     

气体炮法测评抗冲元件的动态特性

提出了一种测评抗冲元件动态特性的方法.通过气体炮发射的炮弹撞击砧块,使之获得一定的初速度,再利用砧块的惯性对抗冲元件施加冲击载荷.使用激光位移传感器和测力钢块分别测量力和位移,解决了特殊情况下数据测量的问题.     

针栓喷管技术在固体姿轨控系统中的应用研究

论述了针栓喷管技术在固体姿轨控系统中的应用,研究了针栓喷管的技术途径,防热材料选择,针栓驱动方案选择,针栓结构设计,以及多喷管系统的推力管理方案.并对在不同压强和针栓位置情况下的内流场数值模拟,最后提出针栓喷管在姿轨控系统中应用的关键技术和发展方向.     

无管网七氟丙烷灭火系统在小面积精密仪器场所的运用

小面积精密仪器场所由于其精密性和重要性,适于设置气体灭火系统。通过分析比较各种气体灭火剂、有管网和无管网气体自动灭火系统的优缺点及其性价比,得出无管网柜式七氟丙烷灭火系统是小面积精密仪器场所最合适的灭火系统。     

Gas metal arc welding of high nitrogen stainless steel with Ar-N2-O2 ternary shielding gas

High nitrogen stainless steel with nitrogen content of 0.75％was welded by gas metal arc welding with Ar—N2-O2 ternary shielding gas. The effect of the ternary shielding gas on the retention and improvement of nitrogen content in the weld was identified. Surfacing test was conducted first to compare the ability of O2 and CO2 in prompting nitrogen dissolution. The nitrogen content of the surfacing metal with O2 is slightly higher than CO2. And then Ar—N2-O2 shielding gas was applied to weld high nitrogen stainless steel. After using N2-containing shielding gas, the nitrogen content of the weld was improved by 0.1 wt％. As N2 continued to increase, the increment of nitrogen content was not obvious, but the ferrite decreased from the top to the bottom. When the proportion of N2 reached 20％, a full austenitic weld was obtained and the tensile strength was improved by 8.7％. Combined with the results of surfacing test and welding test, it is concluded that the main effect of N2 is to inhibit the escape of nitrogen and suppress the ni-trogen diffusion from bottom to the top in the molten pool.     

有机氟工业中残液气的分离鉴定

研究了利用GDX-501气固色谱柱分离有机氟工业中残液气的条件;使用GC-MS技术鉴定了有机氟工业中残液气的成分。