舰空导弹拦截群目标火力分配作战效能研究

水面舰艇海上作战的主要威胁来自于敌方反舰导弹的攻击,因而水面舰艇的反导作战能力成为其作战效能的重要指标之一。通过建立舰空导弹的反导模型,结合复杂电磁环境下的目标捕获判断,运用蒙特卡罗法对舰空导弹反导效能进行综合评估,得出对舰空导弹武器系统效能影响的重要因素,通过分析得出几个有益作战的结论。     

高校学生宿舍楼初期火灾的扑救与逃生

高校学生公寓、宿舍是学生休息、生活、学习的综合场所,由于当前学生数量成倍增长、电脑电视进入宿舍,学生生活学习用品增多,使得楼内可燃物随之增多,加之一些学生违反宿舍安全管理规定,不安全隐患急剧增多,火灾发生的几率明显增大。阐明了高校学生宿舍楼初期火灾的扑救办法和火灾中的逃生技巧,以期最大限度的减少财产损失和人员伤亡。     

基于全寿命周期的消防装备管理系统化组织体系建立

目前消防装备管理存在着管理环节分离,管理决策缺乏科学性,经费使用效益低下等问题。以全寿命周期管理理念,推进消防装备管理创新,建立消防装备管理系统化组织体系,是解决问题的关键。     

基于加速寿命试验的晶体管静电放电潜在性失效的研究

对高频小功率硅双极结型晶体管2SC3356进行静电放电试验,并利用加速寿命试验原理对两组器件进行加速寿命试验。采用Arrhenius模型对试验结果进行计算分析,发现低于损伤阈值的ESD注入可以使器件的寿命缩短,得出ESD可以在高频小功率硅双极结型晶体管内部造成潜在性失效,使得器件寿命缩短。     

Automated integration of real-time and non-real-time defense systems

Various application domains require the integration of distributed real-time or near-real-time systems with non-real-time systems.Smart cities,smart homes,ambient intelligent systems,or network-centric defense systems are among these application domains.Data Distribution Service(DDS)is a communi-cation mechanism based on Data-Centric Publish-Subscribe(DCPS)model.It is used for distributed systems with real-time operational constraints.Java Message Service(JMS)is a messaging standard for enterprise systems using Service Oriented Architecture(SOA)for non-real-time operations.JMS allows Java programs to exchange messages in a loosely coupled fashion.JMS also supports sending and receiving messages using a messaging queue and a publish-subscribe interface.In this article,we pro-pose an architecture enabling the automated integration of distributed real-time and non-real-time systems.We test our proposed architecture using a distributed Command,Control,Communications,Computers,and Intelligence(C4I)system.The system has DDS-based real-time Combat Management System components deployed to naval warships,and SOA-based non-real-time Command and Control components used at headquarters.The proposed solution enables the exchange of data between these two systems efficiently.We compare the proposed solution with a similar study.Our solution is superior in terms of automation support,ease of implementation,scalability,and performance.     

进度风险的随机网络建模与仿真分析

为研究装备研制工程进度的风险分布特征,建立了包含正态分布、β分布、三角分布的随机网络进度风险分析模型,通过蒙特卡罗法仿真获得工程项目的进度估计及其统计分布特性,从而获得工程总工期的风险,并结合实例进行了分析.     

武器装备全寿命费用宏观控制的系统动力学模型

以武器装备作战能力差距为牵引,以全寿命周期阶段对作战能力的影响为主要依据,建立了基于系统动力学的武器装备全寿命费用控制分析模型,客观、合理地描述了全寿命周期各阶段之间的相互影响,并对武器装备全寿命费用宏观费用控制问题进行了仿真实验分析。     

On the median residual lifetime and its aging properties: A characterization theorem and applications

This paper is devoted to study several aspects of the median residual life function (MERLF). In reliability studies, it is well known that, although the MERLF have several advantages over the mean residual life function (MRLF), the MRLF has the good property of uniquely determine a life distribution whereas either the median residual life function (MERLF) or an α‐percentile residual life do not have such good property. We shall give a characterization result where knowledge of both the MERLF and the survival function on an interval does uniquely determine the distribution. Moreover, in order to apply this characterization in practical situations, we propose a method to estimate the necessary information of the survival function. Relationships between analytical properties of the survival function and its associated MERLF are also obtained. Bryson and Siddiqui [J Am Statist Assoc 64 (1969), 1472–1483] proved relationships among seven criteria for aging, out of which two contained the MRLF (decreasing MRLF and net decreasing MRLF). In this paper, we prove that the same pattern of relationships holds if the MRLF is replaced by the MERLF. We also examine the aging criteria corresponding to an increasing MERLF and show that there is no relation between the behavior (increasing or decreasing) of the MERLF and of the MRLF. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Distribution network design: Selection and sizing of congested connections

This paper focuses on certain types of distribution networks in which commodity flows must go through connections that are subject to congestion. Connections serve as transshipment and/or switching points and are modeled as M/G/1 queues. The goal is to select connections, assign flows to the connections, and size their capacities, simultaneously. The capacities are controlled by both the mean and the variability of service time at each connection. We formulate this problem as a mixed integer nonlinear optimization problem for both the fixed and variable service rate cases. For the fixed service rate case, we prove that the objective function is convex and then develop an outer approximation algorithm. For the variable service rate case, both mean and second moment of service time are decision variables. We establish that the utilization rates at the homogeneous connections are identical for an optimal solution. Based on this key finding, we develop a Lagrangian relaxation algorithm. Numerical experiments are conducted to verify the quality of the solution techniques proposed. The essential contribution of this work is the explicit modeling of connection capacity (through the mean and the variability of service time) using a queueing framework. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

海岛阵地环境下弹药贮存寿命评估

针对海岛高温、高湿的自然环境,建立了海岛阵地环境下弹药的可靠贮存寿命模型,并以某型号弹药为研究对象,对其试验数据进行了分析,得出了在一定置信度下弹药的贮存寿命。