Dynamic coordination of production planning and sales admission control in the presence of a spot market

We consider the decision‐making problem of dynamically scheduling the production of a single make‐to stock (MTS) product in connection with the product's concurrent sales in a spot market and a long‐term supply channel. The spot market is run by a business to business (B2B) online exchange, whereas the long‐term channel is established by a structured contract. The product's price in the spot market is exogenous, evolves as a continuous time Markov chain, and affects demand, which arrives sequentially as a Markov‐modulated Poisson process (MMPP). The manufacturer is obliged to fulfill demand in the long‐term channel, but is able to rein in sales in the spot market. This is a significant strategic decision for a manufacturer in entering a favorable contract. The profitability of the contract must be evaluated by optimal performance. The current problem, therefore, arises as a prerequisite to exploring contracting strategies. We reveal that the optimal strategy of coordinating production and sales is structured by the spot price dependent on the base stock and sell‐down thresholds. Moreover, we can exploit the structural properties of the optimal strategy to conceive an efficient algorithm. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Optimal control of a production‐inventory system with both backorders and lost sales

We consider the optimal control of a production inventory‐system with a single product and two customer classes where items are produced one unit at a time. Upon arrival, customer orders can be fulfilled from existing inventory, if there is any, backordered, or rejected. The two classes are differentiated by their backorder and lost sales costs. At each decision epoch, we must determine whether or not to produce an item and if so, whether to use this item to increase inventory or to reduce backlog. At each decision epoch, we must also determine whether or not to satisfy demand from a particular class (should one arise), backorder it, or reject it. In doing so, we must balance inventory holding costs against the costs of backordering and lost sales. We formulate the problem as a Markov decision process and use it to characterize the structure of the optimal policy. We show that the optimal policy can be described by three state‐dependent thresholds: a production base‐stock level and two order‐admission levels, one for each class. The production base‐stock level determines when production takes place and how to allocate items that are produced. This base‐stock level also determines when orders from the class with the lower shortage costs (Class 2) are backordered and not fulfilled from inventory. The order‐admission levels determine when orders should be rejected. We show that the threshold levels are monotonic (either nonincreasing or nondecreasing) in the backorder level of Class 2. We also characterize analytically the sensitivity of these thresholds to the various cost parameters. Using numerical results, we compare the performance of the optimal policy against several heuristics and show that those that do not allow for the possibility of both backordering and rejecting orders can perform poorly.© 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2010     

三种艉部附体方案的粘性阻力数值计算

水面船舶艉部附体不但影响船舶的阻力,而且对螺旋桨的伴流分数以及推力减额也会产生较大影响。近年来,越来越多的研究者都重视使用数值方法进行船舶附体优化设计。在分析某排水型水面船舶艉部附体特点以及优化目标后,设计出两套艉部附体优化方案。通过数值计算方法对这3种方案的船体带附体模型在不同雷诺数条件下进行三维粘性流场的数值模拟。分析比较了它们的粘性阻力和螺旋桨桨盘面处的伴流,最后得到双尾鳍附件的最优方案。     

改革开放以来我国经济法取得的主要成效及发展方向

中国特色经济法是改革开放的产物,有力地促进了社会主义市场经济的健康、快速发展。经济法在保证经济实现科学发展的同时,自身也突破了对调整能力的传统认识,区分了经济法与行政法,明确了经济法的正确定位,创新了经济法的发展观,提出了“经济法主体”概念,冲破了公法与私法的界限,形成了与相关学科协调发展的经济法学研究格局。今后,经济法的发展必须重视从完善社会主义市场经济基本制度,健全现代市场体系,规范政府科学干预经济生活,宏观调控的重点、热点、难点问题和基础理论研究的创新上把握研究重点,保证经济实现科学发展。     

指令时延对舰空导弹中末制导交班误差影响分析

从目标作直线飞行和机动飞行两种情况出发,建立相应的舰空导弹中末制导交班时的导引头指向误差模型和导弹速度矢量指向误差模型,指出了相应的误差修正方法,进行了仿真计算,并分析了计算结果.仿真结果验证了上述模型的正确性.     

火炮驻退机状态评估中的特征提取方法

人工后坐条件下各检测参数受驻退机技术状态变化影响较小,为准确评估火炮驻退机的技术状态,需要从检测参数中提取科学有效的指标特征。利用人工后坐在线检测设备中推炮速度可调和高分辨率数据采集卡的优势,将对驻退机磨损比较敏感的液压阻力参数从可测的后坐阻力中分离,基于模板匹配的思路建立了液压阻力模板曲线。对不同技术状态驻退机的液压阻力曲线与模板曲线进行了相关性分析,并对驻退机磨损特征参数进行了有效提取。其结果作为驻退机模式识别中的评估指标,可使驻退机技术状态评估更加精确。     

接敌前基于D-S理论的空战意图预测

接敌前是指敌机刚进入我方预警系统的探测范围(一般为400 km),并截获敌机,获得了敌机的运动参数,对敌机进行实时跟踪。为了完成对敌机目标意图的预测,为接敌前的自主决策打下基础,在D-S证据理论的基础上,选取合适的态势元素,分析各态势元素对敌机意图的影响,建立了目标意图预测模型,该模型具有一定的表达性和准确性。仿真实验表明,使用该模型能在敌机相距较远时以一定的准确性判断敌机的意图,实用性强,为接敌前基于意图预测的自主决策留出足够的时间。     

《如何阅读一本书》在高三现代文阅读备考中的开发探索

高三现代文阅读是高三语文备考的重点和难点,常规的备考指导耗时费力,但收效微小。以2013———2015年高考全国卷小说阅读为例,从提高阅读速度、学会主动阅读两大方面开发《如何阅读一本书》相关理念和方法,以指导高三学生的现代文阅读的备考,从而培养高三学生高效阅读的习惯和良好的阅读爱好。     

水面舰船减阻节能球鼻艏理论及模型试验研究

基于线性兴波理论,对水面舰船加装减阻节能球鼻艏进行理论和试验研究,发现水面舰船加装减阻节能球鼻艏可获得较好的减阻效果。根据理论优化结果选取多个理论模型进行船模阻力及波形试验。试验结果表明,球鼻艏在特定的中高航速下可以使兴波阻力最多减少37%,总阻力最多减少15%。     

计及航行纵倾变化的穿浪双体船阻力预报新方法研究

针对穿浪双体船航行纵倾随航速变化较为明显的特点,结合薄船理论和帐篷函数法,提出了一种计及艇体航行纵倾变化的穿浪双体船阻力预报方法.通过对某型穿浪双体船阻力的计算结果与模型试验结果的对比,考核了该预报方法的有效性,并得出穿浪双体船片体间距变化对阻力的影响规律,即片体间距越大,其兴波阻力、总阻力越小.研究表明,该方法能提高穿浪双体船的预报精度.