Humanitarian response to hurricane disasters: Coordinating flood‐risk mitigation with fundraising and relief operations

To alleviate flooding, caused by hurricanes, governments build structural barriers called levees. In addition, relief providers such as the nongovernmental organizations and charities raise funds, and procure and deliver supplies (food, water, and medicines) for humanitarian relief. The strategy for managing disasters must, therefore, weigh the costs and benefits of building levees as well as procuring and delivering supplies. We use a three‐stage decision making framework to study how the investment in levee capacity can be integrated with supply procurements, fundraising, and rapid response. One of our major findings is that a large fundraising cost discourages postdisaster funding, implying relatively large investments in levee and prepositioned supplies. That notwithstanding, a large social value (of saving life) can tilt the balance in favor of postdisaster funding. If the levee capacity increases, funding for predisaster procurement is reduced without affecting postdisaster funding. For a sufficiently large increase in capacity, however, postdisaster response becomes superfluous. We also find that hurricane uncertainty motivates levees with large capacity. In contrast, levee‐failures motivate levees with small capacity.     

Efficient budget allocation strategies for elementary effects method in stochastic simulation

This paper focuses on extending the Morris' elementary effects method (MM) for sensitivity analysis/factor screening originated in the context of deterministic computer experiments to the stochastic simulation setting. Given a fixed simulation budget to expend, the main objective is to provide efficient and accurate estimates of main and interaction (or nonlinear) effects coined by the standard MM for characterizing the importance of each factor, despite the impact of simulation errors. Taking into account both the factor/input sampling uncertainty rooted in MM and the random errors inherent in a stochastic simulation, we develop efficient budget allocation strategies for implementing MM in this new context. Under each strategy proposed, we derive its corresponding optimal budget partition and optimal budget allocation rules. Numerical results corroborate the practical effectiveness of the proposed budget allocation strategies.     

定向越野路线设计原则与实践

近年来,定向越野因其强参与性、强挑战性在国内发展迅速,相比之下高水平的制图员和运动员的成长却十分缓慢。想要国内定向人才尽快成长,每一次的训练、每一次比赛的路线设计就显得十分重要。好的路线设计充分展现定向运动的特征,让所有参与人员受益匪浅。鉴于国内对路线设计理论的研究还不充分、不系统,本文就路线设计的原则与技巧进行了系统的探讨,旨在丰富路线设计的理论知识体系。     

大空间建筑消防设计探讨

大空间建筑消防设计过程中,需要根据不同的外界条件以及消防系统特点来选择灭火系统。结合部分工程设计,分析对比了不同类型消防灭火设施的特点,并总结了其性能化设计中消火栓系统、自动喷水灭火系统、消防水炮系统应注意的问题,同时简要说明了消防用水量的计算方法。     

大型室内市场建筑消防设计

分析了目前大型室内市场建筑现状,总结出其防火设计的难点,提出了防火设计的基本原则,并从总平面布局、防火分区、防排烟、消防设施以及内部装修等方面提出了具体的对策。     

基于均匀设计的临近空间无动力攻击器运动参数响应面建模

为探求临近空间无动力攻击器运动参数的解析模型,采用均匀设计试验方法,以攻击器发射参数为设计变量,从设计空间中选择一些特定的设计点,构造了临近空间攻击器速度、射程以及飞行时间的响应面模型。通过仿真算例,对各响应面模型分别进行显著性检验,证明了所建立的响应面都具有较高的近似精度。     

油料洞库油罐通气管道防雷设计分析

油料洞库油罐通气管道防雷设计是油料洞库安全设计的重要组成部分。分析了油料洞库油罐通气管道的工艺组成和设计要求,根据油料洞库爆炸危险区域划分,剖析了通气管道独立避雷针的设计要求。推导了单支独立避雷针的安装高度和保护范围计算公式,算例给出了避雷针的设计计算过程。最后提出了结论及建议。     

双枝模糊评判在舰炮性能评估中的应用

针对舰炮武器性能指标,运用双枝模糊决策方法对舰炮武器性能进行综合评估。该方法提出了新的论域[-1,1]使评估更能符合人的思维逻辑,能够客观的对舰炮性能进行评估,通过对多中舰炮的具体参数指标进评估,得出各种舰炮的性能优劣的排序,具体的数学模型仿真表明,对舰炮武器性能的评估是行之有效的。     

光学阵列器件的慢刀伺服车削加工技术

慢刀伺服技术是相对于快刀伺服提出的方法.采用C轴、X轴、Z轴联动的方法在极坐标或圆柱坐标内进行加工.光学阵列如微透镜阵列、微反射镜阵列在高速数据、声音和视频信号传输中具有重要作用.将光学阵列看作一个自由曲面,使用慢刀伺服车削技术一次加工成形,可以解决传统加工中将光学阵列分块加工后拼装和调整的困难.但是由于光学阵列表面形状复杂,其表面法线的突变可能会使机床运动超出伺服轴执行能力.根据慢刀伺服加工技术的特点,建立了伺服轴执行能力限制曲线,研究了不同刀具半径补偿方式对加工的影响.实验结果表明,根据机床伺服轴执,厅能力合理选择刀具半径补偿方式可实现微光学阵列器件高精度加工.     

内表面间垂直度的高精度测量方法设计与误差分析

针对框体类零件超精密加工的难点问题--内表面问垂直度误差的高精度测量,提出了一种基于波面干涉技术测量的新方法,建立了垂直度测量系统,分析了各调整误差对测量结果的影响.该方法能够实现框体类零件内表面间垂直度误差的高精度测量与评价,并能得到误差的三维分布,测量结果可直接用于零件的确定性修形加工.实验表明,该方法可实现0.6"的综合测量精度.