Stability in a general oligopoly model

We analyze a general but parsimonious price competition model for an oligopoly in which each firm offers any number of products. The demand volumes are general piecewise affine functions of the full price vector, generated as the “regular” extension of a base set of affine functions. The model specifies a product assortment, along with their prices and demand volumes, in contrast to most commonly used demand models. We identify a fully best response operator which is monotonically increasing so that the market converges to a Nash equilibrium, when firms dynamically adjust their prices, as best responses to their competitors' prices, at least when starting in one of two price regions. Moreover, geometrically fast convergence to a common equilibrium can be guaranteed for an arbitrary starting point, under an additional condition for the price sensitivity matrix.     

修正的响应面方法优化螺栓法兰连接结构几何参数

采用响应面法对螺栓法兰连接进行优化设计时,考虑到经典响应面模型的局限性,在获得结构优化参数与响应指标内在联系的基础上,提出了修正响应面模型;设计了数值试验并对比了数值试验值与前述两种响应面模型预测值,结果表明修正响应面模型的预测值不仅误差相对比较均匀,且最大误差绝对值要明显小于经典响应面模型的相应值。采用遗传算法对修正响应面模型进行了以法兰质量最轻为优化目标的参数优化,取得了比较理想的优化结果。     

Surface modification of ammonium nitrate by coating with surfactant materials to reduce hygroscopicity

Ammonium nitrate (AN) is promising oxidizer in green propellants. In this work, the physical coating method was improved to modify the surface of ammonium nitrate particles with different surfactant materials to reduce hygroscopicity. Cetylalcohol, stearic acid, stearyl alcohol, palmic acid, lauric acid, stearsmide, tetradecylamine, dodecylamine, and tetradecanol were used as coating surfactant agents. The hygroscopicity was tested for ammonium nitrate with and without coating. Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) were used to characterize the surface of coated and uncoated ammonium nitrate. The mass ratio of coating layer and decline of absorption rate of ammonium nitrate coated by cetylalcohol were 1.00%, and 28.40%, respectively. The results indicate that coating with cetylalcohol surfactant have advantages over the other surfactants in term of low mass ratio of coating layer, and high decline of moisture absorption rate. Thus, cetylalcohol would be a promising coating surfactant material for ammonium nitrate. The idea and approach presented in this study have potential to made hydrophobic layer on the surface of particles to reduce hygroscopicity of AN, and also help the researcher to improving anti-hygroscopicity of ammonium salts.     

基于MAXSIM平台的巡逻战法仿真建模

MAXSIM平台具有良好的二次开发性,通过MAXSIM平台进行战法研究将更好地满足战术战役级的军事仿真需求。目前MAXSIM平台中巡逻战法只具备发现报告对方目标及返港能力、未能列出不同巡逻战法,通过行为编辑器（ BE）编写常用的巡逻战法,完善了MAXSIM平台的行为知识库（ BKB）,使水面舰艇具备发现敌方目标后进行追逐、攻击的能力,并提出根据Bezier曲线算法对目标航行轨迹进行预判的追逐方式,对进一步研究巡逻战法的应用具有借鉴意义。     

一种新的复合导引头多源异步信息融合精确拦截算法

针对单一制导体制难以满足现代战场作战需求,而多传感器数据更新率不同步的问题,建立一种新的微惯导/毫米波/红外复合制导体制,研究了该体制下多传感器异步信息融合的时间同步和空间配准问题;提出一种自适应Unscented卡尔曼滤波算法,该算法采用预测残差构造状态模型误差统计量,通过自适应因子调整状态模型信息对状态参数估值的贡献,有效控制状态模型噪声异常对状态参数估值的影响。将提出的算法应用到微惯导/毫米波/红外复合制导系统中进行仿真验证,结果表明,提出的自适应Unscented卡尔曼滤波算法的解算精度高于标准扩展卡尔曼滤波和Unscented卡尔曼滤波算法,能有效提高导弹的制导的解算精度。     

复合导引头多源异步信息融合精确拦截算法

针对单一制导体制难以满足现代战场作战需求且多传感器数据更新率不同步的问题,建立一种新的微惯导/毫米波/红外复合制导体制,研究了该体制下多传感器异步信息融合的时间同步和空间配准问题;提出一种自适应无迹卡尔曼滤波算法,该算法采用预测残差构造状态模型误差统计量,通过自适应因子调整状态模型信息对状态参数估值的贡献,有效控制状态模型噪声异常对状态参数估值的影响。将提出的算法应用到微惯导/毫米波/红外复合制导系统中进行仿真验证,结果表明,提出的自适应无迹卡尔曼滤波算法的解算精度高于标准扩展卡尔曼滤波和无迹卡尔曼滤波算法,能有效提高导弹的制导的解算精度。     

我国ICF激光装置研制系统方法论解析

按照系统科学观点,ICF激光装置应归类为复杂巨系统,具有一般复杂系统的典型特征;我国ICF激光装置研制符合典型的系统工程实践,包含系统工程方法论的一般应用,以及基于我国宏观系统环境特点的综合集成方法论的独特探索。系统方法论是这个实践的灵魂。基于战略发展需要,应建立我国ICF激光装置系统工程管理框架与规范。     

Humanitarian response to hurricane disasters: Coordinating flood‐risk mitigation with fundraising and relief operations

To alleviate flooding, caused by hurricanes, governments build structural barriers called levees. In addition, relief providers such as the nongovernmental organizations and charities raise funds, and procure and deliver supplies (food, water, and medicines) for humanitarian relief. The strategy for managing disasters must, therefore, weigh the costs and benefits of building levees as well as procuring and delivering supplies. We use a three‐stage decision making framework to study how the investment in levee capacity can be integrated with supply procurements, fundraising, and rapid response. One of our major findings is that a large fundraising cost discourages postdisaster funding, implying relatively large investments in levee and prepositioned supplies. That notwithstanding, a large social value (of saving life) can tilt the balance in favor of postdisaster funding. If the levee capacity increases, funding for predisaster procurement is reduced without affecting postdisaster funding. For a sufficiently large increase in capacity, however, postdisaster response becomes superfluous. We also find that hurricane uncertainty motivates levees with large capacity. In contrast, levee‐failures motivate levees with small capacity.     

水面舰艇作战指挥效能的灰色模糊综合评估法

通过对水面舰艇作战指挥系统组成及实施指挥过程的分析,建立其作战指挥效能评估的二级指标体系.基于灰色模糊数学理论,提出了水面舰艇作战指挥效能评估的灰色模糊综合评估法.该方法能更有效地解决既带模糊性又带灰色性的作战指挥效能评估问题.     

Integrated guidance and control of guided projectile with multiple constraints based on fuzzy adaptive and dynamic surface

Based on fuzzy adaptive and dynamic surface (FADS), an integrated guidance and control (IGC) approach was proposed for large caliber naval gun guided projectile, which was robust to target maneuver, canard dynamic characteristics, and multiple constraints, such as impact angle, limited measurement of line of sight (LOS) angle rate and nonlinear saturation of canard deflection. Initially, a strict feedback cascade model of IGC in longitudinal plane was established, and extended state observer (ESO) was designed to estimate LOS angle rate and uncertain disturbances with unknown boundary inside and outside of system, including aerodynamic parameters perturbation, target maneuver and model errors. Secondly, aiming at zeroing LOS angle tracking error and LOS angle rate in finite time, a nonsingular terminal sliding mode (NTSM) was designed with adaptive exponential reaching law. Furthermore, combining with dynamic surface, which prevented the complex differential of virtual control laws, the fuzzy adaptive systems were designed to approximate observation errors of uncertain disturbances and to reduce chatter of control law. Finally, the adaptive Nussbaum gain function was introduced to compensate nonlinear saturation of canard deflection. The LOS angle tracking error and LOS angle rate were convergent in finite time and whole system states were uniform ultimately bounded, rigorously proven by Lyapunov stability theory. Hardware-in-the-loop simulation (HILS) and digital simulation experiments both showed FADS provided guided projectile with good guidance performance while striking targets with different maneuvering forms.