Using strategic culture to understand participation in expeditionary operations: Australia,Poland, and the coalition against the Islamic State

This article investigates how strategic culture influenced the decision-making of Australia and Poland regarding the global coalition against the Islamic State. In the coalition, Australia has followed its tradition of active participation in United States-led operations, while Poland has embarked on a more cautious line, thereby breaking with its previous policy of active participation. The article examines how Australian and Polish responses to the coalition were shaped by five cultural elements: dominant threat perception, core task of the armed forces, strategic partners, experiences of participating in coalitions of the willing, and approach to the international legality of expeditionary operations. It finds that Australia and Poland differed on all five elements but that the major differences are found in dominant threat perception and core task of the armed forces.     

基于改进协方差控制的传感器管理算法

针对传统的基于协方差控制的传感器管理算法使用全遍历方法所造成的计算量大,以及传感器切换频繁的问题,提出了一种基于改进协方差控制的传感器管理算法。该算法在每一时刻首先判断前一时刻所用传感器组是否能够满足目标跟踪需求,以滤波协方差与期望协方差的偏差作为参考,结合量纲变换和特征值求取,为协方差偏差矩阵经过量纲变换后得到的量纲一致阵的所有特征值设定一个精度阈值,然后判断滤波协方差是否满足期望,从而决定是否维持当前选择的传感器组。在目标作匀速、匀加速、协同转弯等多种场景下进行了算法性能测试分析,仿真结果表明,该算法不仅在大部分场景下满足目标跟踪精度,而且能够提高传感器管理算法的实时性,同时降低传感器的切换频率。     

兵棋推演：复杂系统管理的创新与实践

复杂系统性质决定了复杂系统管理的特殊性,而兵棋推演可以为复杂系统管理提供更加符合其特性的决策辅助支持。讨论了复杂系统的性质及其影响,研究了兵棋推演用于复杂系统管理的原因和方法,并结合战争兵棋推演,介绍了兵棋工程建设中系统研发、推演组织和工程管理方面的创新与实践问题。最后,给出了未来发展的趋势。     

基于复杂网络的“云作战”体系模型及仿真

根据现代作战循环理论,用复杂网络的方法把作战体系的各种作战单元抽象为节点,将节点之间相互关系抽象为节点间的边,制定作战体系模型的构建规则,分别构建传统作战体系模型和“云作战”体系模型,提出作战体系度量指标,并进行仿真分析,对比两种作战体系作战能力和抗毁能力。     

基于规则的动态频谱接入研究

动态频谱接入面临的关键技术之一是对接入时机和方式进行有效地管控,防止由于频谱的接入使用过于灵活造成用频的干扰和混乱。将频谱接入的时间和方式给予规则上的约束和指导,基于规则构建动态频谱管理框架可以有效实现频谱的实时管控。对动态频谱接入的规则及表述方式进行了讨论,分析了基于规则的动态频谱接入过程,最后结合美军XG项目的试验结果分析了基于规则的动态频谱接入的应用前景。     

基于增强现实的装备诱导维修系统设计与实现

针对目前装备维修过程中存在的复杂度高、上手慢和安全性低等问题,构建了一个诱导维修原型系统,并围绕增强现实关键技术阐述了诱导维修系统的设计与实现;采用了模块化设计方法,通过分析诱导维修系统设计需求,对系统所需要的各个功能模块进行了设计,并且使得系统的维修任务能够根据维修对象的改变在框架不变的前提下得到修改或升级;利用该原型系统对发动机活塞环和离合器片更换两项维修任务进行了诱导,验证了系统的功能。     

特种作战力量网络空间防御作战效能评估方法?

根据特种作战力量网络空间防御作战系统的结构模型的预警、保护、检测、响应和恢复五个方面,按照指标的不同类型和特点,利用模糊综合评判法对指标进行量化、一致化和标准化处理,利用层次分析法确定各指标的权值,最后利用综合加权法建立综合效能评估模型从而实现对网络空间防御作战的效能评估。该方法适用性和实用性强,为网络空间防御作战效能的评估提供一种方法和思路。     

Stochastic call center staffing with uncertain arrival,service and abandonment rates: A Bayesian perspective

In this article, we introduce staffing strategies for the Erlang‐A queuing system in call center operations with uncertain arrival, service, and abandonment rates. In doing so, we model the system rates using gamma distributions that create randomness in operating characteristics used in the optimization formulation. We divide the day into discrete time intervals where a simulation based stochastic programming method is used to determine staffing levels. More specifically, we develop a model to select the optimal number of agents required for a given time interval by minimizing an expected cost function, which consists of agent and abandonment (opportunity) costs, while considering the service quality requirements such as the delay probability. The objective function as well as the constraints in our formulation are random variables. The novelty of our approach is to introduce a solution method for the staffing of an operation where all three system rates (arrival, service, and abandonment) are random variables. We illustrate the use of the proposed model using both real and simulated call center data. In addition, we provide solution comparisons across different formulations, consider a dynamic extension, and discuss sensitivity implications of changing constraint upper bounds as well as prior hyper‐parameters. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 460–478, 2016     

将关联规则挖掘算法应用于警校学员队信息管理

从介绍关联规则的基本概念、基本思想入手,根据警校学员队信息管理现状和存在的不足,提出将关联规则应用于学员队信息管理建设的设想。     

校园网安全研究

网络技术不断发展,传输和处理的信息越来越多,试图获取或破坏网络信息的人也越来越多,给网络信息增加了许多安全隐患,校园网更是成了攻击网络和保卫网络的红蓝对抗演练战场,人为的网络入侵和攻击行为使得网络安全面临新的挑战,如何保证校园网安全,成为高校的一项很重要的任务。