基于三阶段过程模型的军交运输体系建模

信息化条件下军交运输体系复杂性问题日益凸显,军交运输体系建设已经进入能力“涌现”的新阶段。本文在分析军交运输体系概念内涵和体系特征的基础上,运用体系层次划分模型和三阶段过程模型,分别从定义阶段、抽象阶段和实施阶段对军交运输体系建模方法进行了研究,搭建了体系建模总体框架,建立了军交运输体系概念抽象模型,并对军交运输体系问题建模仿真方法进行了分析,为全新规划军交运输体系建设提供了新的途径。     

Annealing adaptive search,cross‐entropy,and stochastic approximation in global optimization

The Annealing Adaptive Search (AAS) algorithm for global optimization searches the solution space by sampling from a sequence of Boltzmann distributions. For a class of optimization problems, it has been shown that the complexity of AAS increases at most linearly in the problem dimension. However, despite its desirable property, sampling from a Boltzmann distribution at each iteration of the algorithm remains a practical challenge. Prior work to address this issue has focused on embedding Markov chain‐based sampling techniques within the AAS framework. In this article, based on ideas from the recent Cross‐Entropy method and Model Reference Adaptive Search, we propose an algorithm, called Model‐based Annealing Random Search (MARS), that complements prior work by sampling solutions from a sequence of surrogate distributions that iteratively approximate the target Boltzmann distributions. We establish a novel connection between MARS and the well‐known Stochastic Approximation method. By exploiting this connection, we prove the global convergence of MARS and characterize its asymptotic convergence rate behavior. Our empirical results indicate promising performance of the algorithm in comparison with some of the existing methods. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

BTT导弹制导律研究综述

与STT导弹相比,BTT导弹在气动效率、机动能力、控制性能等方面具有明显优势,但其运动耦合特性也给传统研究框架下的制导律设计带来了挑战。本文针对BTT导弹制导律设计问题展开研究,首先描述了BTT导弹制导基本问题,分析了BTT导弹制导律设计的技术难点,需要综合考虑运动耦合、多约束、目标机动、弹体动态效应等因素,然后综述了国内外现代制导律设计的基本方法,将其分为双通道解耦法、球坐标法、现代几何法等,最后指出了BTT导弹制导律的进一步研究方向。     

基于能量函数的插值代理模型推广能力评价准则

本文分析了插值型代理模型的特性,提出了影响插值代理模型的推广能力的重要因素是代理模型的振荡特性,分析表明:振荡剧烈的代理模型,其推广能力就弱。为了评价代理模型的推广能力,本文提出基于能量函数方法的评价方法。能量函数方法是通过计算代理模型的一阶和二阶导数,得出代理模型的振荡情况来进行评价。能量函数越高,代理模型的振荡越剧烈,因而其推广能力越差。测试函数表明,能量函数方法在评价代理模型推广能力上是有效的。     

基于维纳过程金属化膜电容器的剩余寿命预测

金属化膜电容器是惯性约束聚变激光装置能源系统最重要的元器件,对个体电容器的剩余寿命进行有效的预测对整个装置的可靠性水平有着重要的影响.为有效地预测个体电容器的剩余寿命,提出了融合单个电容器性能退化数据与先验性能退化数据信息的预测方法.采用Wiener过程对其性能退化过程进行建模,并根据先验退化数据信息构造参数的先验分布...     

基于Gauss伪谱法的航天器气动力辅助平面变轨问题研究

气动力辅助变轨技术可以有效地节约燃料,是未来航天器新型变轨技术的发展方向之一.该文采用Gauss伪谱法对航天器从高轨道向低轨道共面轨道转移问题进行了研究.在考虑热流限制、控制约束的条件下,得到了航天器大气飞行段的次优轨迹,并对轨迹特性进行了分析,证明优化结果满足一阶最优性必要条件.同时采用间接法处理该问题,对两种方法的...     

Impact of transfer pricing methods for tax purposes on supply chain performance under demand uncertainty

Transfer pricing refers to the pricing of an intermediate product or service within a firm. This product or service is transferred between two divisions of the firm. Thus, transfer pricing is closely related to the allocation of profits in a supply chain. Motivated by the significant impact of transfer pricing methods for tax purposes on operational decisions and the corresponding profits of a supply chain, in this article, we study a decentralized supply chain of a multinational firm consisting of two divisions: a manufacturing division and a retail division. These two divisions are located in different countries under demand uncertainty. The retail division orders an intermediate product from the upstream manufacturing division and sets the retail price under random customer demand. The manufacturing division accepts or rejects the retail division's order. We specifically consider two commonly used transfer pricing methods for tax purposes: the cost‐plus method and the resale‐price method. We compare the supply chain profits under these two methods. Based on the newsvendor framework, our analysis shows that the cost‐plus method tends to allocate a higher percentage of profit to the retail division, whereas the resale‐price method tends to achieve a higher firm‐wide profit. However, as the variability of demand increases, our numerical study suggests that the firm‐wide and divisional profits tend to be higher under the cost‐plus method than they are under the resale‐price method. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

一种面向大规模HLA仿真的并行区域匹配算法

HLA仿真中,数据分发管理实现基于值的过滤,可以有效减少盟员接收冗余数据的可能性和网络中的数据流量。大规模HLA仿真系统在仿真推进中需要大量的区域匹配计算以维护数据分发管理的正确性。现有的区域匹配算法大多需要对所有区域进行匹配计算,造成了大量计算资源的浪费;同时,主要基于串行匹配思想,难以充分发挥多核平台的并行计算优势。针对现有区域匹配算法的局限性,提出了一种面向大规模HLA仿真的并行区域匹配算法,该算法能够实现对一次仿真推进中多个改变区域的并行匹配计算,同时在匹配计算中采用基于移动相交的基本思想,利用区域范围移动前后的历史信息,将匹配限定在移动区间之内,减少了大量的无关计算。理论分析与实验结果表明该算法尤其适合基于多核计算平台构建大规模分布式仿真的应用需求。     

小口径空炸射击高炮武器系统的点射毁伤概率

分析了各子系统所引起射击诸元误差分量的相关性和重复性;假定点射中射击诸元误差呈正态分布,随机生成射击诸元误差分量;根据射击诸元误差与射击误差的关系,计算射击误差;结合空炸毁伤定律,计算点射毁伤概率;通过算例,研究了弱相关误差的相关系数与点射毁伤概率的关系.     

任务驱动下航材需求量的GA-GM-BP预测

机务保障影响着航空装备战斗力的生成,机务保障资源是任务成功率的物质支撑.基于航材需求信息的灰色性,通过采用DEMATEL方法提取影响航空备件需求量的关键影响因素,采用遗传算法优化的灰色神经网络对需求量进行了仿真预测,其预测精度较BP神经网络和灰色神经网络都高.该方法对于其他航空机务保障资源的需求预测有借鉴意义.