排序方式: 共有87条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
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为了提高装备战损模拟的效率,以蒙特卡洛方法为基础,构建了关于装备战损的解析模型。首先采用序贯法优化了仿真次数,以便以较少的仿真次数获得较高的仿真精度;分析了单因素对于装备损伤的影响,并建立了一元回归模型;采用正交试验分析了多因素之间的交互作用,并综合一元回归模型得出了装备战损的多元回归模型;最后结合弹着点分布模型与多元回归模型,建立了装备战损的解析模型,并通过实例验证了解析模型的正确性。 相似文献
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By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013 相似文献
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火力控制系统研究的人工神经网络方法 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
人工神经网络提供了新的信息处理方法。着重讨论了多层前向网络的基本特性,结合火力控制系统的研究分析了网络应用的几个方面,并给出了有关的例子。此外,分析了网络设计方面的有关问题。 相似文献
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Zhang Zhihua 《海军工程大学学报》1998,(2)
讨论了Weibul场合下恒定应力加速寿命试验的最优线性无偏估计及保序估计,获得了保序估计的表示式,并给出了一个模拟例子. 相似文献
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Ronald D. Fricker 《海军后勤学研究》1998,45(1):1-22
This paper revisits the modeling by Bracken [3] of the Ardennes campaign of World War II using the Lanchester equations. It revises and extends that analysis in a number of ways: (1) It more accurately fits the model parameters using linear regression; (2) it considers the data from the entire campaign; and (3) it adds in air sortie data. In contrast to previous results, it concludes by showing that neither the Lanchester linear or Lanchester square laws fit the data. A new form of the Lanchester equations emerges with a physical interpretation. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 1–22, 1998 相似文献
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The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a distribution function with increasing failure rate is derived, based on a collection of series system data. Applications can arise in industries where operating environments make available only such system-level data, due to system configuration or type-II censoring. The estimator can be solved using isotonic regression. For the special case in which systems contain one component, the estimator is equivalent to the restricted maximum likelihood estimator of Marshall and Proschan [9]. The MLE is illustrated using emergency diesel generator failure data from the nuclear industry. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 115–123, 1998 相似文献
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《防务技术》2020,16(4):846-855
Aiming at the problem that the traditional Unscented Kalman Filtering (UKF) algorithm can’t solve the problem that the measurement covariance matrix is unknown and the measured value contains outliers, this paper proposes a robust adaptive UKF algorithm based on Support Vector Regression (SVR). The algorithm combines the advantages of support vector regression with small samples, nonlinear learning ability and online estimation capability of adaptive algorithm based on innovation. Firstly, the SVR model is trained by using the innovation in the sliding window, and the new innovation is monitored. If the deviation between the estimated innovation and the measured innovation exceeds a given threshold, then measured innovation will be replaced by the predicted innovation, and then the processed innovation is used to calculate the measurement noise covariance matrix using the adaptive estimation algorithm. Simulation experiments and measured data experiments show that SVRUKF is significantly better than the traditional UKF, robust UKF and adaptive UKF algorithms for the case where the covariance matrix is unknown and the measured values have outliers. 相似文献
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线性回归模型系数Stein估计的改进研究 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
针对线性回归模型病态的根本原因,提出了一类新的估计———c-k型估计,将岭估计与Stein估计统一到一个估计类;研究了这一估计类,证明利用岭回归技术可以改进著名的Stein估计(在均方误差意义下);同时研究了相应参数的最优值,分别给出了它的一个上界及下界,为病态线性回归模型系数的有偏估计提供了改进的技术途径. 相似文献