小样本装备软件成本估算相关向量机建模

针对装备软件成本估算时面临的历史数据少的小样本难题,提出把机器学习理论运用到装备软件成本估算研究领域,构建了基于相关向量机的小样本装备软件成本估算模型,采用COCOMO模型数据库中的数据对所构建模型进行训练和验证。为进一步验证所构建模型的合理性,在机器学习领域分别运用支持向量机模型和神经网络模型对相同数据进行估算,实验结果证明了基于相关向量机估算模型在小样本装备软件成本估算时比其他两种模型更精确。     

基于遗传算法的装备使用保障费用灰色组合预测

针对目前对武器装备寿命周期费用估算建模难以实施的情况,以准确预测武器装备寿命周期费用的主要组成部分—装备使用保障费用为出发点,依据装备使用保障费用的特点建立了装备使用保障费用的灰色组合预测模型,指出了用蚁群算法优化组合权系数的不足,并提出了新的优化方法—遗传算法。最后,结合实例验证说明了该模型的预测效果优于蚁群优化的方法,为准确估算武器装备寿命周期费用提供了依据。     

Optimal pricing and inventory control policy in periodic‐review systems with fixed ordering cost and lost sales

This paper studies a periodic‐review pricing and inventory control problem for a retailer, which faces stochastic price‐sensitive demand, under quite general modeling assumptions. Any unsatisfied demand is lost, and any leftover inventory at the end of the finite selling horizon has a salvage value. The cost component for the retailer includes holding, shortage, and both variable and fixed ordering costs. The retailer's objective is to maximize its discounted expected profit over the selling horizon by dynamically deciding on the optimal pricing and replenishment policy for each period. We show that, under a mild assumption on the additive demand function, at the beginning of each period an (s,S) policy is optimal for replenishment, and the value of the optimal price depends on the inventory level after the replenishment decision has been done. Our numerical study also suggests that for a sufficiently long selling horizon, the optimal policy is almost stationary. Furthermore, the fixed ordering cost (K) plays a significant role in our modeling framework. Specifically, any increase in K results in lower s and higher S. On the other hand, the profit impact of dynamically changing the retail price, contrasted with a single fixed price throughout the selling horizon, also increases with K. We demonstrate that using the optimal policy values from a model with backordering of unmet demands as approximations in our model might result in significant profit penalty. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

防空导弹成本与防空导弹武器装备建设

在分析低成本防空导弹概念和需求的基础上,探讨了防空导弹武器系统的成本分解结构和对成本价格的敏感因素,研究了实现低成本的可行性、必要性及其与陆军防空装备体系建设的关系。     

论四值动态代价分析方法

本文在文献[10]的基础上,着重论述了四值动态代价分析方法引进故障电路代价FC和故障可测度T的新概念的必要性。并从预报数字电路中的不可测故障、提高故障敏化效率和选取引线置值模式的效率三方面,对四值分析与文献[1]的二值分析进行了详细比较,结论是:四值分析定义的可测度比二值更接近数字电路实际,加速测试生成的效果更好。实践表明,四值分析用于自动测试生成系统ATGS,所节省的计算机CPU时间为二值分析的3倍。     

寿命周期费用分析在保障性分析中的应用

探讨了费用分析在保障性分析中的作用和实际应用;介绍了在装备研制过程中应用保障性分析所产生的效益.     

数据包络分析(DEA)方法在导弹武器系统参数-费用分析中的应用

采用ＤＥＡ方法,计算和分析了国外几种典型导弹武器系统的研制费用与其性能参数的关系,与回归方法相比有明显的优点     

数字式鉴相器的相位失真分析

数字式鉴相器的相位失真是导致产生寄生信号和额外相位噪声并使锁相环路不稳定的主要因素之一。锁相环路是通讯设备、测试仪器和雷达中的一个关键部件,因此,减少鉴相器相位失真,对于系统设计是很重要的。利用差分电路,可以有效地减小鉴相器相位失真的影响。     

A decomposition algorithm applied to planning the interdiction of stochastic networks

We describe the application of a decomposition based solution method to a class of network interdiction problems. The problem of maximizing the probability of sufficient disruption of the flow of information or goods in a network whose characteristics are not certain is shown to be solved effectively by applying a scenario decomposition method developed by Riis and Schultz [Comput Optim Appl 24 (2003), 267–287]. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm and design decisions that result in speed improvements. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

社会历史发展中价值实现的辩证性

马克思创立的唯物史观富有深刻的价值内涵,一部社会发展史就是一部价值实现的历史。人类历史发展过程中价值的实现并不是一帆风顺的,是一个付出代价和扬弃代价的辩证过程,需要人们权衡利弊进行正确的价值选择,从而为社会进步谋求一条更好的发展之路。