大空间建筑防火设计应注意的问题

大空间建筑是近年发展起来的新兴建筑。本文分析了大空间建筑的火灾危险性 ,并就其防火设计提出了对策。     

武器系统研制进度风险分析方法研究

首先对大型武器系统研制进度风险分析的一般特点进行了讨论 ,然后根据工期要求紧迫项目的特点 ,利用瑞利分布对进度风险分析的方法进行了研究 ,并结合实例对某系统研制进度风险进行了定量分析     

Humanitarian response to hurricane disasters: Coordinating flood‐risk mitigation with fundraising and relief operations

To alleviate flooding, caused by hurricanes, governments build structural barriers called levees. In addition, relief providers such as the nongovernmental organizations and charities raise funds, and procure and deliver supplies (food, water, and medicines) for humanitarian relief. The strategy for managing disasters must, therefore, weigh the costs and benefits of building levees as well as procuring and delivering supplies. We use a three‐stage decision making framework to study how the investment in levee capacity can be integrated with supply procurements, fundraising, and rapid response. One of our major findings is that a large fundraising cost discourages postdisaster funding, implying relatively large investments in levee and prepositioned supplies. That notwithstanding, a large social value (of saving life) can tilt the balance in favor of postdisaster funding. If the levee capacity increases, funding for predisaster procurement is reduced without affecting postdisaster funding. For a sufficiently large increase in capacity, however, postdisaster response becomes superfluous. We also find that hurricane uncertainty motivates levees with large capacity. In contrast, levee‐failures motivate levees with small capacity.     

Prospect theory and foreign policy decision-making: Underexposed issues,advancements, and ways forward

How much mileage can we get out of prospect theory to explain foreign policy decision-making? To answer this question, we first argue that risk as outcome uncertainty is the appropriate definition in prospect-theoretical applications. Then, we indicate that probability weighting—a crucial component of prospect theory—is typically ignored in such applications. We argue why this is problematic and suggest how to move forward. Next, we discuss how to establish the reference point in the face of outcomes in multiple dimensions, as is typically the case in foreign policy decision-making. Finally, we discuss what we have learnt regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions and the differences across individuals in the theory’s applicability. Overall, our contribution lies in identifying several underexposed or neglected issues (e.g., the definition of risk and probability weighting), in examining the advancements regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions, and in discussing avenues for further research.     

The continuing resonance of the war as risk management perspective for understanding military interventions

In the late 1990s and 2000s, a slew of books and journal articles proposed that a nexus between risk management and warfare was emerging. This article argues that risk management ideas continue to shape recent campaigns against Libya, Islamic State, Syria, and the war on terror from Niger, Yemen to Somalia. It uses existing literature on risk and warfare to examine four key aspects of contemporary interventions. First, the article evaluates the overall strategic context as security concerns shift from terrorism toward renewed great power competition. Second, it re-assesses the risk calculus for military action through the language and grammar of risk invoked by politicians. Third and fourth, it addresses the continuing reliance on air power and the managerial ethos of military operations as important features of war as risk management.     

基于Fuzzy DEMATEL的军民融合后勤保障制约因素研究

现代后勤就是军民融合后勤。从思想性禁锢、体制性障碍、结构性矛盾和政策性瓶颈4个维度,系统地分析军民融合后勤保障存在的矛盾问题,构建军民融合后勤保障制约因素体系。引入Fuzzy DEMATEL方法,定量分析制约因素间的影响关系及作用机理,遴选出制约军民融合后勤保障深度发展的关键因素,为促进军民融合后勤保障健康有序发展,提供一定的理论依据和实用的操作方法。研究表明,迫切需要找到化解制约因素的有效途径,推动军民融合后勤保障向更高层次、更广范围、更深程度发展。     

在建高层建筑火灾隐患及预防对策

从在建高层建筑的建筑特点、火灾特点等方面的因素入手,结合近期发生的在建高层建筑火灾情况,分析在建高层建筑存在的火灾隐患,提出笔者对在建高层建筑火灾预防扑救的一些看法。     

三氯氢硅的火灾危险性及消防安全对策

针对三氯氢硅存在的火灾危险性进行分析,探讨其卸载时应注意的事项,并提出有效的安全防护、泄漏处理、灭火等方面的有效措施。     

大型室内市场建筑消防设计

分析了目前大型室内市场建筑现状,总结出其防火设计的难点,提出了防火设计的基本原则,并从总平面布局、防火分区、防排烟、消防设施以及内部装修等方面提出了具体的对策。     

西部少数民族地区农村义务教育不公平的影响因素分析

西部少数民族地区农村义务教育水平的提高是我国教育事业发展的当务之急。由于种种原因,导致西部少数民族地区及农村偏远地区相对于东、中部及城市地区的义务教育发展处于不公平的地位。为了对西部少数民族地区农村义务教育不公平有一个深入的认识,本文从经济发展、政策导向、思想观念、教育硬件设施与师资四个方面进行了分析,针对影响因素提出了推进西部少数民族地区农村义务教育均衡发展的构想。